Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

1772131233629.png
Fifth Fleet HQ in Bahrain is down to a skeleton crew.

1772131270179.png
A US official says the Ford will be in the Middle East by the end of the week. If true then that means it'll be off the coast of Israel or Lebanon.

1772131429047.png
MedMan continues to be the best Middle East news channel on Telegram.

1772131512303.png
Negotiation bros, it's joever...

1772131562356.png
Two defense officials claim we only have seven to ten days worth of ordinance in the Gulf.
 
If this is true the potential of a strike gets pushed back even further lmao. Maybe mid April.
We have no idea what they meant or even what they consider a "lengthy" bombing campaign.

How broad of a campaign are they considering? What volume of munitions are they planning on expending? How do changes to the quantity and type of targets affect the burn down rate on the munitions?

If we "only" have sufficient forces in place for seven to ten days, how many more forces can they mobilize within that seven to ten day window? How much more ordnance can they bring in during that timeframe?

EDIT: typo
 
Last edited:
We have no idea what they meant or even what they consider a "lengthy" bombing campaign.

How broad of a campaign are they considering? What volume of munitions are they planning on expanding? How do changes to the quantity and type of targets affect the burn down rate on the munitions?

If we "only" have sufficient forces in place for seven to ten days, how many more forces can they mobilize within that seven to ten day window? How much more ordnance can they bring in during that timeframe?
The way I look at it is that if the current regime of Iran thinks its going out they will literally go balls to the walls and throw everything. How much damage would that do? Who knows. Logistically speaking here its better to have more then less. If we strike we need to be able to protect our interests in the region as well as allies. (Im not just talking about Isreal)
 
We have no idea what they meant or even what they consider a "lengthy" bombing campaign.

How broad of a campaign are they considering? What volume of munitions are they planning on expanding? How do changes to the quantity and type of targets affect the burn down rate on the munitions?

If we "only" have sufficient forces in place for seven to ten days, how many more forces can they mobilize within that seven to ten day window? How much more ordnance can they bring in during that timeframe?
13 days duh
 
Two defense officials claim we only have seven to ten days worth of ordinance in the Gulf.
considering an F-35 can carry 18,000 pounds
F-16 17,000
F-15E 24,000
F-15EX 30,000
F-18 18,000
F-22 theoretically 22,000 pounds if it uses the external hardpoints but it loses a lot of maneuverability and stealth

according to defencegeek as of 3 days ago, here's what's in CENTCOM: https://x.com/DefenceGeek/status/2025992367254196283/photo/1

42 F-35s
48 F-16s
36 F-15Es (presumably some EXs in there)
12 F-22s (they're in Israel now)
84 F-18s

Plus in Europe (some of these have been moved to CENTCOM since the 23rd) (more planes, including more F-22s, have been moved to europe/are on the way since the 23rd)
36 F-35s
24 F-15Es (presumably some EXs in there)
12 F-16s

That's a lot of bombs. Also I think this is some 'oh yeah Iran we only have enough bombs in theater for a week uh huh we totally dont have enough to go for longer than that yup believe us'
 
1772136885482.png
The Ghost of Tehran brought down a MQ-4C!!!! Wait, what's the source?
1772136972359.png
lol

1772137108750.png
The Iranians are trying to blackpill Shahbros by talking about how great the talks are going. Everyone knows we're stalling until we're ready to fuck them.

1772137519608.png
Another tanker, a KC-46 from Pease AFB, is landing at Ben Gurion. That's five tankers now.
 
Last edited:
I don't know why they keep calling them 'talks' when they are in separate rooms and using some Omani diplomat as a carrier pigeon. Iran loves these indirect talks. I wonder if they just draw pictures of missiles and have them ferried back and forth.
 
View attachment 8623602
The Ghost of Tehran brought down a MQ-4C!!!! Wait, what's the source?
View attachment 8623606
lol

View attachment 8623615
The Iranians are trying to blackpill Shahbros by talking about how great the talks are going. Everyone knows we're stalling until we're ready to fuck them.

View attachment 8623657
Another tanker, a KC-46 from Pease AFB, is landing at Ben Gurion. That's five tankers now.
The amount of drones they have shot down or ew'd into landing isn't great. China prob has their hands on those in tact air frames
 
I don't know why they keep calling them 'talks' when they are in separate rooms and using some Omani diplomat as a carrier pigeon. Iran loves these indirect talks. I wonder if they just draw pictures of missiles and have them ferried back and forth.
They probably know these talks are pointless just like everyone else. But they still have to do the bare minimum just so the Americans cant say Iran is refusing to negotiate.
 
View attachment 8623292
Fifth Fleet HQ in Bahrain is down to a skeleton crew.

View attachment 8623293
A US official says the Ford will be in the Middle East by the end of the week. If true then that means it'll be off the coast of Israel or Lebanon.

View attachment 8623304
MedMan continues to be the best Middle East news channel on Telegram.

View attachment 8623308
Negotiation bros, it's joever...

View attachment 8623310
Two defense officials claim we only have seven to ten days worth of ordinance in the Gulf.
When was the last time US strikes on Iran lasted more than 48 hours? I don't see the US gearing up for Iraqi Ocupation 2.0.
 
The amount of drones they have shot down or ew'd into landing isn't great. China prob has their hands on those in tact air frames
They got a RQ-170 a few years ago and made a copy of it but just because you have an airframe doesn't mean to have the material science experience to make the same materials needed to manufacture it.
When was the last time US strikes on Iran lasted more than 48 hours? I don't see the US gearing up for Iraqi Ocupation 2.0.
It'll be Shock & Awe 2 for a week before the IRGC runs out of anyone over the rank of 2nd Lt. Mossad, the CIA, Israeli and American SpecOps are also in country to kill any high ranking officers and officials. They're also be coordinating with local insurgent groups which explains why there's fires and explosions every few days.

1772140113869.png
Our Shahed copies are ready. That's a great idea to cause confusion in Iran if they see drones that look like theirs hitting targets.

1772140058777.png
Iran is rejecting all demands made by the US.
 
They got a RQ-170 a few years ago and made a copy of it but just because you have an airframe doesn't mean to have the material science experience to make the same materials needed to manufacture it.

It'll be Shock & Awe 2 for a week before the IRGC runs out of anyone over the rank of 2nd Lt. Mossad, the CIA, Israeli and American SpecOps are also in country to kill any high ranking officers and officials. They're also be coordinating with local insurgent groups which explains why there's fires and explosions every few days.

View attachment 8623803
Our Shahed copies are ready. That's a great idea to cause confusion in Iran if they see drones that look like theirs hitting targets.

View attachment 8623801
Iran is rejecting all demands made by the US.

I believe they also shot down an air force rec drone too. And also downed a predator
 
I believe they also shot down an air force rec drone too. And also downed a predator
The US has lost like 5 drones to crashes and shoot-downs involving Iran in 20 years. Nobody gives a fuck. Nobody cares
 
I absolutely agree. However, if everyone is running with the 40,000 number, this whole issue of trying to extract promises from IRoI regarding the nuclear program (even if it is a cynical stall tactic) looks absolutely insane and the kind of thing that should not require debate to go in and clean house.

4000 is bad, but at least a percentage of that could reasonably include security forces acting in self defense against zombie hordes of rioters. 40000 is completely beyond the pale and delegitimizes the diplomatic line of effort.

If the international community actually believes the number is 40,000 we shouldn't be the only motherfuckers getting jocked up to kick the regime out. Which makes me think they don't even believe it.
Or they’re just a bunch of pussies
 
Back
Top Bottom