Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

How are we sure this isnt like the last time he claimed they had a deal and it was fucking nothing? Please tell me this is for show and operation Reddit Furry will commence in earnest.
We don't. Iranian PTB is being shown to be at complete odds and internally divided, and the stress is getting bad enough the cracks are starting to show publicly. There is a non-zero chance the Civil War starts with government factions attacking each other instead of populace uprising.

They should have another meeting fo discuss what to do about this
What? No no no you can't just have a meeting. That's far too much action for a Eurocrat. You need to first have a subcommitte to review proposals for who should at the meeting. Then have a meeting to go over the proposals, and work out the attendees for the meeting. Then you need to make sure to have another meeting before hand to set the agenda for the meeting.
THEN you can schedule the meeting to begin exploration of the discussion of what might be potential responses.

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Queer Starmer reminding everyone that he is eager to play goalie once the hockey match is over.
I think as a deescalation sign of good will and rebuilding relations, the US and Iran should work together to sink british & french shipping in the gulf.

He keeps insisting America would make Iran swear off nuclear proliferation forever, which is pretty much the only geopolitically substantial change the war should achieve, otherwise this would all be just a pointless excursion in the most positive light, or more practically, a strategic failure on the part of the US and Israel.
Excuse me sir. I don't think you've been keeping up, but several thousand brown muslims died, and something like nearly 100 jews.
Its progress towards a better world.

These aren't the words of a man in control of a situation.

It's been an extremely embarrassing day for Trump.
lol. We've got a tanker running victory laps in the strait, Iran has cucked on shipping but is still being blockaded. Yes, definitely Trump getting embarrassed.

Already posted. Please use the highlight feature to keep up with latest developments.

Harakat Ashab al-Yamin al-Islamiya, the Iranian proxy group based in Europe, carried out two additional attacks in the United Kingdom. One targeting Iran International and the other claims to have targeted the Israeli Embassy in the UK, although the footage for that is just them launching a drone, which they claim contained "radioactive material" :sighduck:

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Another version of the Iran International video:


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They also claimed to attack a "Center for Zionism" in North Macedonia and a restaurant in Munich.

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Just part and parcel of living in modern cities with Muslims in them.


Revolution posting

I wouldn't even necessarily rule out revolution later once the water crisis really starts biting in the summer heat, tbh.
This shit right here. Everyone multipolaring themselves raw to "IRGC WINS BECAUSE SOME OF THEM SURVIVE!" really needs to wait until September before you stand on the deck of that sunken Iranian drone ship and declare mission accomplished.

and to be true and honest. Right now, today, Friday April 17 if nothing else changes I'd give the regime 70/30 odds of retaining power in september no matter how spicy the summer gets. But they are going be getting progressively weaker unless they implement massive reforms they seem ill-disposed to implementing.

The only promise of regime change was given to Iraninan people themselves to act and they failed. Other than that Iran has been bitch slapped into submission, the strait was their only leverage.
They were told not to do anything. They're still being told not to do anything.
First speech Trump made he told them if they want freedom then take it, themselves. Reddit would make out boots on the ground didn't free anyone when that was never the promise.
I don't believe it's over yet. Not even close.

All we know for certain is that messaging from the Jews, The Shah, and the US has been clear on one matter:
The Iranian people have been told to stay indoors, stay away from military and government targets, and wait. There has been nothing to counter that messaging.

There was reports from Trump we went the Iranian population guns via the Kurds but the kurds kept them. We have absolutely nothing to verify that other than Trump's own statement and lol taking Trump's word as solid truth.

Who knows if there will ever be a "Your moment has come" message. Its not impossible trump pulls a VZ where he leaves an easily controlled puppet running things until the next election.

No one knows what an Iranian revolution might look like. It might be me a massive popular uprising, it might just be 4 small Baloch towns. People are still showing anti-regime statements from their balconies at night, and we're getting kino video of Basij drive-bys so there seems to be a number of people very, very unhappy with the current state of the country.


That sounds like either a civil war between two different islamic retard factions, or it will make it triple down on Islamic retardation to become an Afghanistan tier shithole (while still controlling the strait). Both of those will not make people have a positive view on Americans "bringing democracy abroad"
But it will result in dead muslims so positive development for the world.

I really don't get the extremely ignorant notion that simply having a better casualty ratio automatically means you are winning, obviously, no sane person would want to be an IRGC officer when the missiles and strikes were going on under a constant risk of death, just like I wouldn't want to be Vietcong during 'Nam, or a Red Army conscript in the Eastern Front, but guess who won their respective wars?
Again, Trump doesn't have to do anything but keep Iran under sanctions and let the water riots start back this summer.
Its not just casualty rates. Its WHO those casualties are, its a lot of Iranian leadership getting vaporized and not just low level nose-pickers.

Nigger, what the fuck are you talking about? Who has mentioned democracy anywhere in the context of this war? Regime change means bombing our way down the rolodex of sandniggers til we land on one who's smart enough to capitulate with our demands.
His BROOOOCS NPC programming hasn't been updated since Dubya.
 
The Iran HAPPENING could be over this weekend if, and that's a huge IF, the IRGC doesn't go full retard.
There is a non-zero chance the Civil War starts with government factions attacking each other instead of populace uprising.
Come on, Vahidi. Kill the PM, FM, and President, then declare them Mossad spies. You know you wanna.
Can't wait to see you all in the Cuba thread in a few months!
>implying Cuba hasn't already been conquered
 
This was over a month ago and now the IDF claims that the proportion of destroyed launchers is less than it was at the start of the war. Does it really need to be said that they're clearly making shit up?
Even if they are who cares. The point is they're killing the enemy. Some self deprecating Jew on twitter can't stop progress.
 
What? No no no you can't just have a meeting. That's far too much action for a Eurocrat. You need to first have a subcommitte to review proposals for who should at the meeting. Then have a meeting to go over the proposals, and work out the attendees for the meeting. Then you need to make sure to have another meeting before hand to set the agenda for the meeting.
THEN you can schedule the meeting to begin exploration of the discussion of what might be potential responses.
People like to shit on Monarchy these days, but the Trump Administration has been the single greatest example of the strengths of Monarchy in the modern age. While Europe was busy planning a meeting that will plan how to deal with the issue, Trump just dealt with the issue before the meeting even happened. First western Head of State and Government with total control of a great power military in a hundred years that decides "You know, I can just do stuff."
 
It'd be fucking hilarious if the Pakis are just flat-out lying to Trump about what Iran agreed to, as they did back when the ceasefire was first declared.
If another round of in-person negotiations results in them continuing to strong-arm about nukes and shit, I don't think Pakistan will ever recover their Izzat.
 
If you see my post history you know I don't believe this. But the way Trump conducted this doesn't inspire confidence, and the 30%+ gas price increases better have a tangible economic benefit to compensate it if no regime change happens, since all of that just for the islamic regime to continue killing protesters will be poison for the voter.
I don't think you remotely understand the gravity of what has occurred.
1) Iran, the largest state sponsor of terrorism against the US, has been neutered militarily and economically
2) Especially pending the terms of the nuclear deal, we have radically set back a vicious regime from achieving their nuclear ambitions... especially huge considering Iran's spastic attacking of its neighbors aimlessly
3) American military superiority has been demonstrated and proven against Russian and Chinese technology in an active test with a 255:1 death ratio
4) Numerous IRGC leaders, including their divine leader, have been removed... from existence
5) This was done bilaterally with Israel, and active opposition from the rest of the world

This is an overwhelming victory for America and a tremendous geopolitical win largely removing the #2 or #3 biggest enemy to the United States as a major player. Their position in the region is completely gone, having been exposed as a paper tiger rather the biggest bully on the block.

The cost of this was 15 American lives, using military equipment we'd have paid for anyway, and a month of higher gas prices. This is a massive geopolitical win that will reverberate for years to come. I can guarantee you no voter, outside of maybe Iranian immigrants, genuinely gives a shit about Iran's treatment of its people to the point of it influencing their vote for not instituting regime change. The bleeding hearts who are the ones most liable to care, in fact, sided with Iran in this. Add on to this the economic and resource position of Iran together with its leadership and weakened power strongly opens the door for possible eventual regime change.

Nobody thought this possible, and if any President since Reagan had a crystal ball they'd take this outcome 100 times out of 100.

Get the fuck out of here with this "regime change was the only win condition" nonsense. From the jump it was stated that wasn't the goal.
 
...I am very clearly talking about Israel, given the highlight on the words "Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A."
I don't know if you've noticed but this thread consists of about a dozen Israeli Jews (plus another dozen non-Israeli Jews) furiously circlejerking about how Trump is going to destroy all of their enemies for them, they aren't interesting in talking about whether Trump can restrain Israel.

Netanyahu will do everything in his power to sabotage any deal Trump makes with the Iranians because his life is literally on the line, he's on trial and Israeli elections are this October. The only path that keeps Bibi out of jail is "total victory", or at least an ongoing war that could plausibly result in "total victory". If he gets forced to back down in Lebanon he'll get crushed in the elections and then he'll go directly to prison.

Trump has the power to keep Netanyahu in line but if he actually were willing to exercise that power consistently then we wouldn't be in this mess in the first place.
 
It'd be fucking hilarious if the Pakis are just flat-out lying to Trump about what Iran agreed to, as they did back when the ceasefire was first declared.
If another round of in-person negotiations results in them continuing to strong-arm about nukes and shit, I don't think Pakistan will ever recover their Izzat.
Its honestly more complicated then that. Its a mistake to describe Iran as a unitary State. Its not. Its alot like Lebanon, but where the splits in Lebanon are built on ethnic lines, the splits in Iran are built along organization lines. Iran is not a Nation-State. Its the closest thing we have to a the idea of corprocracy. Rule by corporations. Literally "Night City" from the Cyberpunk series. You have the Mega Corporations. IRGC, Religious Clerics (not the same thing), the National Army, the nominal elected government, the private Land Owners (with their pistachio and olive orchards) and on and on. And even these major groups are not internally unified. For example, the IRGC also owns corporations, land, runs a navy, runs an army, runs an air force, and all of these factions are internally competitive with each other.

The confusion people have with the messaging coming out of iran and even with the negotiations stems entirely from the fact that Iran is not a unified State. Never was. And was in fact deliberately set up to NOT be. Its supporters have crowed about its so called "mosaic defense" where the government of Iran is a Hydra. Cut off one head, two more spawn etc. But the problem with this set up is the various heads of the hydra are as much concerned with biting the other heads as they are the enemies attacking it.

Its also why the "regime change" cope is a cope. How do we define "regime change" in a state where the "regime" is less an organized whole and more an alliance of competing factions. This was never an issue until now because this is the first time the outside world has applied serious force on the Iranian system. Up until two months ago, Iran could pretend to be a single unitary actor under one supreme leader. Now however, the internal chaos is revealed and everyone can see it.

Well, everyone paying attention anyway. Everyone not paying attention assumes the USA is totally losing and its all over.
 
I don't know if you've noticed but this thread consists of about a dozen Israeli Jews (plus another dozen non-Israeli Jews) furiously circlejerking about how Trump is going to destroy all of their enemies for them, they aren't interesting in talking about whether Trump can restrain Israel.
I don't know if you've noticed but your entire post history revolves around crying about Jews.
Back to the debate thread Heinrich, you can circlejerk with Hitler youth there. Israel performed well enough that 1000's of Islamists are now dead.
 
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I don't know if you've noticed but this thread consists of about a dozen Israeli Jews (plus another dozen non-Israeli Jews) furiously circlejerking about how Trump is going to destroy all of their enemies for them, they aren't interesting in talking about whether Trump can restrain Israel.

Netanyahu will do everything in his power to sabotage any deal Trump makes with the Iranians because his life is literally on the line, he's on trial and Israeli elections are this October. The only path that keeps Bibi out of jail is "total victory", or at least an ongoing war that could plausibly result in "total victory". If he gets forced to back down in Lebanon he'll get crushed in the elections and then he'll go directly to prison.

Trump has the power to keep Netanyahu in line but if he actually were willing to exercise that power consistently then we wouldn't be in this mess in the first place.
You forgot us US military vets with a serious axe to grind with Iran based on personal experience. There is a reason the US Military is quite happily following the Orange Mans orders to push Iran's shit in. The USA is also a nation of institutions. Maybe not as divided as Iran is internally. But as far as the Military Institution is in America, they've wanted to slaughter Persians for awhile now because of what Iran did to it in Iraq and Afghanistan.
 
I don't know if you've noticed but this thread consists of about a dozen Israeli Jews (plus another dozen non-Israeli Jews) furiously circlejerking about how Trump is going to destroy all of their enemies for them, they aren't interesting in talking about whether Trump can restrain Israel.

Netanyahu will do everything in his power to sabotage any deal Trump makes with the Iranians because his life is literally on the line, he's on trial and Israeli elections are this October. The only path that keeps Bibi out of jail is "total victory", or at least an ongoing war that could plausibly result in "total victory". If he gets forced to back down in Lebanon he'll get crushed in the elections and then he'll go directly to prison.

Trump has the power to keep Netanyahu in line but if he actually were willing to exercise that power consistently then we wouldn't be in this mess in the first place.
You need to read what the deal actually is

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The deal is more comprehensive than the 2004 deal. It allows Israel essentially free rein to bomb Hezbollah at anytime and allows it to keep what it's already captured until an unspecified future date. This is why the IDF launched a special operation to capture a strategic point right before the ceasefire.

What Trump is saying with the prohibition thing is not the deal. It's a side thing that he decided by himself and tweeted out.
 
You need to read what the deal actually is

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The deal is more comprehensive than the 2004 deal. It allows Israel essentially free rein to bomb Hezbollah at anytime and allows it to keep what it's already captured until an unspecified future date. This is why the IDF launched a special operation to capture a strategic point right before the ceasefire.

What Trump is saying with the prohibition thing is not the deal. It's a side thing that he decided by himself and tweeted out.
I think it's good to help Lebanon disarm Hezbollah. Will Tucker Carlson, the greatest supporter of Lebanese Christians, approve of this?! I can't rest well if Tucker Carlson doesn't approve of this!
 
"you have to use our routes" they say like there aren't just cruise ships rolling through the normal routes just fine right now
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>yo dawg!
>i heard you put up a blockade so i blockaded your blockade so i could block any aid coming to your country of aids and keep making your buildings blocks with air raids
 
"you have to use our routes" they say like there aren't just cruise ships rolling through the normal routes just fine right now
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Strictly in Omani Territorial waters.

Iran has run into the flaw in their magical incantations about "international law" that they spew like the Demons in that Frieren Anime. Iran doesnt give a shit about international law. They are just amazed how when they say the words they dont understand, the people they prey upon suddenly do what they want so they can kill and eat them.


 
"you have to use our routes" they say like there aren't just cruise ships rolling through the normal routes just fine right now
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damn i thought cruise ships are just boomers drinking and gambling?
if i knew they offered awesome experiences like blockade running in hot war zones i'd have signed the fuck up for one months ago!

imagine the tour guide being like
>to the left you can see a US guided missile destroyer!
>and if you use your binoculars, there's two iranian speedboats visible to our right!
>don't miss tonights chinese buffet and all you can drink caipirinha experience at the food court!
>three shahed drones on route to dubai can be seen passing over us! for just $400 you can access the upper decks and watch our air defense crew launch stinger missiles at them!
 
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