Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

If riots do pop off again, it'll be interesting to see how the response varies this time, with our assets already in the region and Iran having no money to pay their militia thugs.
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If riots do pop off again, it'll be interesting to see how the response varies this time, with our assets already in the region and Iran having no money to pay their militia thugs.
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This is why I suspect Trump's not actually going to do B&PD or any sort of strikes unless the IRGC decides to pop off first. It's a lot easier (and cheaper) to just choke off Iran's revenue stream and watch the regime flail around trying to keep their pets paid. We'll see how long they can hold it together, but things were already in bad shape before the war, and now they're going to have a hard time keeping their mercs and Basij paid, to say nothing of everyone else in the country.

Right now, Iran's being run under effective martial law by a military junta acting for the Gayatollah. We'll see if they can maintain that, and what the US response will be if they get desperate enough to try and go down swinging.
 
Meanwhile, Bessent has found he enjoys beating the shit out of Iran almost as much as he does Elon Musk.
Iran started flaring off a LOT of methane from its wells today, which is a big sign they're very close to being out of storage in general
 
If riots do pop off again, it'll be interesting to see how the response varies this time, with our assets already in the region and Iran having no money to pay their militia thugs.
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Not only do they have no money to pay the Basij this time but we blew up most of their police and Basij buildings.

Iran started flaring off a LOT of methane from its wells today, which is a big sign they're very close to being out of storage in general
My sources in Iran tell me that the oil wells are perfectly fine and there is plenty of storage! The methane you speak of is because of spies from the Zionist Entity putting a jewish curse on all of their hummus, making the population near the oil wells extra gassy.

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CENTCOM on Monday released an image of the missile destroyer USS Rafael Peralta carrying out a mission to blockade Iranian ports by the United States. The image, taken on Sunday, shows the American ship preventing the tanker "Stream" from reaching an Iranian port.
 
Iran started flaring off a LOT of methane from its wells today, which is a big sign they're very close to being out of storage in general

They are just employing revolutionary maskirovka to trick Trump (the walls are closing in) into thinking the blockade is working while their shadow fleet secretly continues to evade the US Navy. 2 more weeks until the global economy collapse!
 
Iran having no money to pay their militia thugs.
they're going to have a hard time keeping their mercs and Basij paid
they have no money to pay the Basij
They can print money. The effect dwindles and straightforwardly they will pay an exponential price for it, but I think people will accept the printed money for now.
It is hard to predict exactly when their credit will dwindle to the point they cannot pay people, with our limited information. It could already have begun, but I would not be certain.
The methane you speak of is because of spies from the Zionist Entity
This is just smoke from the gas chambers.
 
Yeah, Im not understanding the delay and kicking the can down the road with honorsperging and talks. Its a waste of time and like it or not, the longer it drags on, it does hurt Trump. It also hurts Asian countries and China, maybe thats the point, but to the general American public, you're burning valuable time and goodwill. You have to kill the next round of IRGC generals.

Maybe its giving the US mil time to reshuffle their assets, but that could have been done earlier. Idk, but I am frustrated with the lack of progress, maybe Iran is fighting more behind the scenes but its time to escalate the next round of strikes.
I definitely feel you, and I agree with you its the wrong play, but I understand it.

Right now the US is strangling Iran with almost zero risk. Their currency is in even greater freefall, they have almost no money coming in. If it weren't for the other gulf nations, the US could just stand on Iran's neck like this all day. When summer comes, the IRGC is going to have a water crisis.
And not a single US service member is at risk of being shot down by Iran or our allies.

It also lets Israel go and handle Hezbollah, meaning they don't have to worry about attacks from the north if missiles start flying again.

But the other gulf nations is where the problem develops. We're making allies in Asia hurt. Europe can get fucked, they have navies (at least on paper), they can send them if they want, but Korea and Japan particularly are greatly affected. India will also be incentivized to buy more Russian oil. The gulf nations themselves can hold out for a while, but they're going to feel the pinch eventually.

The other thing to consider if the US goes and resets all progress on their oil industry, that will cause much longer lasting hurt on the global oil market by removing a large producer of cheap oil.

I feel like this pause is just lettign Iran restock on drones and dig out more ballistic missiles from their collapsed caves.


My favorite economics youtuber is starting to doom about the energy markets. I actually take this guy pretty seriously so things are about to get bumpy.

tl;dr, it's going to take until 2027 for gas to fully normalize with how long the strait has been closed. But Oil Futures are 500% vibe trading, what you need to watch is the actual commodity cost. But currenlty we're talking to the tune of "25 to 50 cents a gallon" for nations that aren't just dependent on foreign energy or bothered by the strait. It'll be more severe and longer for Asia/africa, Europe will also get it harder, but as long as their refiners are not full on gouge mode, not as hard as Asia.

Also rise in futures has more to do with Bessent saying Russia doesn't get any more sanction waivers.

I generally like Patrick's videos, he's knowledgeable and informative. But he's been failing miserably to hide his TDS for at least a couple of years now.
Fuck I hate what TDS has done to previous normal people.

Maybe, but I dont think hes wrong. The lead time from the price shock being put off by the fact that there was still a shit ton of oil in transit makes sense. And if domestic US producers arent increasing production as he says we may have an issue here soon.
There are concerns, yes. Especially since.... Iranian oil that should have been illegal due to sanctions was doing shit like being transferred at sea and artificially lowering oil price due to targeting the lower end of the market, and that isn't happening with the US stopping literally everything. I'd be curious to see what Venezuela is doing with its swamp sludge numbers. They can really take up a lot of slack in the low-end market if they get to where they were even 10 years ago.

the supposed play is force Lloyd's hand for non-Iranian gulf oil. Right now there is significant EU pressure on the insurer to issue OKs for tankers to exit the gulf. If things look really bad, they will get squeezed to get the tankers moving.

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz:

More proof the retard corral thread is full of europoors, he sounds exactly like them.
As a usual Euroshitter,
Other than complementing Iran's negotiating (fucking lol, but what else can you say "Iran is being absolutely r-tarded"), I don't find his statement all that galling by itself. Germany isn't cuckign on the tolls, he's not accusing the US of warcrimes or anything like that.


Counter turd-world fanfic with your own. I like it.

Wonder if Trump will keep praising Pakistan as wonderful friends and mediators now that they're helping Iran bypass the blockade.
That Peace Prize nomination can only carry them so far.
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Ah, so that's why they're deliberately fucking negotiations.
Oh man, those ethnic separatists on the Paki/Iran border will have a chance to do something supremely hilarious soon.


The 168 Iranian schoolgirls that were murdered by America’s strongest soldier, Tim McVeigh
Alex jones is going have to pay Iran another billion dollars for casting doubt about another school attack.

I wonder how much of the negotiations are just the Pakistanis attempting to deflect from their war with Afghanistan.
Are they still going? I thought they'd signed a ceasefire after bombing Kabul.

All I know is that this is all Pakistan's fault.
This is the objectively correct position in nearly any event.

The Euro lashes out at The American as he is about to run out of gas and various oil byproducts due to The Euro buying all of those products from the Middle East.
The American isn't too worried, as The American can still get gas and oil products from their own land.
NGL Prices do fucking suck, if only we could get some of the recent profits from this conflict back to us citizen instead of more gibs money.
You'd think this would a lesson "maybe we should restart some oil/gas out own turf until we're ready to shut Russian oil off without completely imploding our economies" but that sounds too much like self reliance for the average Euro leader.

It doesnt help that he talked serious smack either. You cannot promise Khorne rivers of blood and mountains of skulls and then not deliver.
this.
 
Iran started flaring off a LOT of methane from its wells today, which is a big sign they're very close to being out of storage in general

I don't think that was methane. The smoke was black as shit.
Preface: I don't know shit about oil so this is all based on a few searches (I wanted to see that sweet sweet oil field smoke)

According to this article that might not be AI generated, it's methane (but a lot more of it than usual).

The flaring increase is not occurring in a vacuum. Multiple independent sources in April 2026 highlighted Iran’s storage crunch:

  • Kharg Island storage is nearing capacity, forcing operators to either flare, reduce flows gradually, or risk permanent well damage.
  • Estimates of surplus production overwhelm available tanks within days to weeks under the export blackout.
  • Reactivation of older tankers as emergency floating storage, underscoring the desperation to keep oil moving (or at least not shutting in upstream).

Based on the architecture of the flaring tower, if it were liquid oil burning off it would have to pass through the water there for the specific purpose of preventing that (I know nothing of the physical probability of that being possible) under enough pressure to make all the way into the tower pipe.
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So this has gone on for a while and the world's just adapted to the strait being closed. I think only one gulf state's fucked as far as LNG goes but the others have ways around, right?

Iran's flaring oil since they don't have room for it but if they stop, shut-in fucks everything up.

All Trump has to do is sit on his hands.

In hindsight he should have blockaded first so Iran would be fixated on reopening.
 
In hindsight he should have blockaded first so Iran would be fixated on reopening.
I can sort of understand why he didn't. Unlike Venezuela, Iran would have immediately started firing missiles if he'd blockaded before striking first, all of their leaders would have been on high alert, likely depriving us of the kind of decapitation strike we performed when we kicked things off, and their military capabilities wouldn't have been cut by half or more.
By pounding them for a month first, he was able to enforce the blockade while the regime was weak enough not to risk things going hot again immediately.

Speaking of which, Rubio is so excited for Bridge and Power Plant Day that he tripped over himself while mentioning it in his Fox interview.
 
I can't get over that the Longhouse establishment is being publicly faggot about this while privately glad he had the balls.

What makes it worse (or better..?) is that when cornered, Iran doesn't get reasonable, it just triples down. They're fucked, they're out maneuvered, they can't fight their way out of it, and they pissed their neighbors off really, really bad. ISRAEL DEPLOYED IRON DOME TO A FUCKING GULF STATE FFS. I say this because Iran this retarded without nukes (well, IRGC this retarded?) is a different story.

I've had mixed feelings about this from the get go but now I'm thinking it was a fortunate case of Trump stumbling into something by just fucking doing something and adapting after mistakes he could exploit were visible.
 
Isnt there a new anti drone gun kit that basically wires up to a carbine with a detection scope and auto fires once it detects the drone?

Apparently you hold down the trigger and the scope decides when to let it fire when your angle would hit the drone it acquired. Taking away the whole pesky hard to hit problem.

Russians have had luck with birdshot with anti personal drones as well.
That sight is made by some Israeli company and iirc the USMC bought a few thousand.

It looks like a chubby Eotech
 
I can sort of understand why he didn't. Unlike Venezuela, Iran would have immediately started firing missiles if he'd blockaded before striking first, all of their leaders would have been on high alert, likely depriving us of the kind of decapitation strike we performed when we kicked things off, and their military capabilities wouldn't have been cut by half or more.
Pretty much this, unlike Iran, Venezuela never invested in defense because like good beaners we were lazy and confident that it wont be raining any time soon so no need to fix the hole in the roof so it was easier for Trump to choke them economically first and then rape them in the middle of the night with everyone unsuspecting.
 
Pretty much this, unlike Iran, Venezuela never invested in defense because like good beaners we were lazy and confident that it wont be raining any time soon so no need to fix the hole in the roof so it was easier for Trump to choke them economically first and then rape them in the middle of the night with everyone unsuspecting.
It also helps that the Venezuelan establishment were profit driven rather then religious nut jobs. Trump offered Delcy and her crew billions in US investment, they get to keep their fancy houses and positions of power, and all they had to do was turf out the retard and his Asian backers.
 
"It is not clear precisely why Mr. Trump is not satisfied with the proposal that kicks the main catalyst for the war and Trump's near-singleminded obsession down the road, while giving Iran economic relief and no guarantees that they won't just immediately retake control of the Strait once America leaves."
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Imagine being the schmucks getting paid to write this shit.
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