I think their party breaks up. I really do. In 2019, moderate Democrats are finally beginning to understand they will not win another national election or even statewide election in any but the bluest states while they are still attached to the Progressives. Or even some of the old guard Democrats. After 2020, Moderate Democrats will completely understand that they will never get anywhere staying in a party that loses to Donald Trump twice.
I know it seems unlikely that a party splits, Republicans and Democrats always claim the sane people on the other side will breakaway. But there is a precedent: it's happening right now in the UK. Remember you heard it here first: 2022 midterm elections will see third parties elected to Congress.
Shit is about to hit the fan for them. Between now and the election:
- Obama/Clinton's (and perhaps Biden's) roles in the collusion hoax will come to light.
- Pelosi / Schiff / Nadler will be shown to have knowingly lied about having direct knowledge of collusion.
- Biden and his sons' ties to Ukraine and China will be revealed.
- Ilhan Omar and her fake marriage scam will be blown wide open.
- Kim Foxx will be fully exposed for her corruption. God help them if Michelle Obama and/or Kamala Harris were involved in that Smollett fiasco.
- The Covington lawsuit against the DNC's propaganda arm, aka the mainstream media, will have been settled.
That's too much to bury, even for this media establishment.
Eh, I doubt we'll see the Democrats break apart like the UK parties are doing since America has always been a two-party system at the national levels and is usually a two-party system at the state level, barring very rare exceptions like Jesse Ventura. Britain is a parliamentary republic with different coalitions at all the major levels.
I do agree that no matter how much the MSM, Silicon Valley, and the lefty clickbait mills try to suppress just how fucked the SJW Left and the current iteration of the Democratic Party are about to be, the truth is going to get out and it's gonna come down on them hard, whether that be in the 2020 Presidential Election, the 2022 Mid-Terms, or possibly both,
This current iteration of the Democratic Party is doomed, but I think barring a truly unprecedented crisis, the Democrats as a party will still be around.
The last time a major party collapsed and a new one took its place was when the Republican Party replaced the Whigs and that was mainly because of the American Civil War (or more accurately, the factors that led up to said war)
Nah, I think we'll see a major paradigm shift within the Democrats. It's happened to both political parties throughout the 20th and early 21st Centuries.
Some of the shifts are major.
In the early 20th Century, the Democrats used to be a conservative party and the Republicans used to be a left-leaning party but that changed over time. The major shift began with Franklin D. Roosevelt and his New Deal, but the change really took root in the 1950's and 1960's in tandem with the Civil Rights Movement, with the Democrats becoming increasingly liberal and progressive while the Republicans became more conservative, both fiscally and socially.
Nixon's "Southern Strategy" in the late 1960's and early 1970's combined with Ronald Reagan switching sides around that same time sealed the deal.
The Democrats took on a more progressive approach post-JFK with both LBJ and Carter, but the rise of Ronald Reagan and the crushing defeat of Mondale in 1984 caused the Democrats to go in a more "Blue Dog" direction with a neoliberal populist bent in the 90's with Bill Clinton.
Heck, it can even be argued that Obama began in that direction before becoming a harbinger of "woke" leftist identity politics in his second term, albeit in a mostly inadvertent way since he was a major disappointment for the Millennials and continued a lot of Bush's policies such as bailouts, the Patriot Act/NSA Surveillance State, and the War On Terror, but with a thin veneer of pseudo-leftist platitudes and a lot of neoliberal rhetoric.
Conversely, the Republicans underwent their own shifts under Reagan.
Reagan was a populist at his core but he pandered to the Religious Right, which was then a newly-emerging social backlash against the New Left of the 1960's and 1970's and the overall counterculture associated with it.
From there, the Religious Right became an increasingly important voter block of the Republican Party throughout the 1980's and 1990's and were still the "core" of the GOP establishment up until the late 2000's.
The Religious Right started out with the Moral Majority in the 1980's, working in tandem with "soccer mom" liberal types like Tipper Gore and Joe Lieberman (both of whom could be considered proto-SJW's in a weird sort of way)
That collaboration led to the PMRC hearings and the Satanic Panic becoming a national hysteria for nearly a decade until the FBI officially debunked it in the early 1990's (and it was still a moral hysteria in the Bible Belt afterwards until 9/11 killed it for good)
In the early 1990's came the rise of Bill Clinton, Pat Buchanan, and Ross Perot.
The election of Clinton was a surprise since Bush Sr. was essentially a third term of Reagan (much how a Hillary Clinton presidency would essentially be a third term of Obama) and Reagan was still fairly popular, to say nothing of America's rapid and overwhelming victory against Iraq in the Gulf War (this was back when Saddam actually had a large army and WMD's, mind you) and a lot of that blame was placed on Pat Buchanan and Ross Perot.
IIRC, Ross Perot's main campaign was built on a populist platform and that was a major reason why he is one of the more successful third-party candidates in recent American history while Pat Buchanan's firebrand platform did split the Religious Right somewhat.
Consequently, the Republicans pandered more and more towards the Religious Right in the 90's and the Religious Right itself got further in bed with the emergent Neoconservatives within the Republican establishment since the Democrats became more left-leaning and the "Moral Guardian" liberals like Tipper Gore and Joe Lieberman were increasingly seen as relics of the 80's, especially since Tipper's husband was the VP of Bill Clinton, who won the 1992 election by catering to MTV and the rock music generation.
This increasingly close relationship between the Religious Right and the Neocons led to its ultimate culmination in the Bush years which were a hot mess to say the least.
Before Trump Derangement Syndrome was a thing, Bush was seen as the next Hitler and unlike Trump, Bush actually was an objectively bad president by most standards.
Heck, I'd say George W. Bush was the worst American president of the post-WWII era (and most would consider him the worst president of the post-Cold War era) and the only reason why he's not considered the very worst is because of James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, and Warren G. Harding were all somehow worse by virtue of helping lead to the Civil War, Jim Crow, and the Great Depression due to their shitty policies and stances regarding slavery, Reconstruction, and post-WWI economic changes.
The media was not as harsh on him as they were with Trump primarily due to 9/11 happening so early in his presidency and stifling the full extent of any criticisms of his policies because 9/11 was such a national trauma that it essentially acted as a cultural resent button of sorts. From a pop culture and political standpoint, 2000 and the first half of 2001 were basically an extension of the late 90's but 9/11 was the big cultural shift that killed the optimism and prosperity of the 1990's and the fairly mild recession of 2001-2002 following the dot com bubble bursting only served to bury it further.
Bush's own failures such as The War On Terror, the Patriot Act, and the 2008 Great Recession combined with the false hope of Obama led us to where we are now in Current Year.
2008 was a given loss for the Republicans but 2012 was a lot closer even with the blandness of Romney taken into account, and I think that was the turning point where the Republican voter base started to turn on the Religious Right and the neocons, which in turn gave us Trump.
In many ways, the failures of Bush (particularly the unholy alliance between the Neocons and the Religious Right) helped lead to the rise of the current SJW zeitgeist of today and much as how the fundies and neocons became a millstone around the GOP's neck, the SJW's are starting to become one for the Democrats.
As it stands, the Religious Right are irrelevant outside of the Bible Belt and the Neocons are near-universally despised even among the fundies.
Even then, the traditional Bible Belt strongholds of the Deep South, Appalachia, and the rural Midwest will probably become more secular conservative as more of the fundie incumbent geezers and their Boomer voter base start aging further and eventually dying out as not only are the Millennials far more secular, but so are the more right-leaning Gen Z if current trends are to be believed.
People can whine about Mike Pence all they want but he is an empty suit in a mostly powerless office that Trump only put in place as a consolation prize for Evangelicals who might've still been upset at Ted Cruz losing the primaries.
Even guys like Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham who were once seen as toadies for the Neocons and Religious Right have adapted the mostly secular and semi-libertarian populism of Trump, especially after both the death of John McCain and the Kavanaugh hearings showing just how awful the SJW's and the Progressives within the Democratic Party truly were
Many of the "Never Trumpers" who were worried about Trump in 2016 have either come around to Trump's side or left office and became irrelevant, with only a few widely detested diehards like Bill Kristol remaining.
Meanwhile, the DNC is more internally divided than ever, with splits not only between moderates and leftists but also splits within different leftist sub-groups.
TL;DR-I don't think the Democratic Party will truly dissolve if Trump wins the 2020 Election, but I do think the SJW and Neoliberal wings of the party are on borrowed time if things keep going the way they are.
