US The FISA Report

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The FISA Report
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Much like with the FBI's report on the handling of the Clinton Email investigation, I don't care what the mainstream outlets will have to say about the FISA Report. This report is over 400 pages long and not a word of it leaked to the press ahead of time, and on top of that they're all window-licking idiots so I couldn't give half of a rat's ass what they have to say about it. I'm sure that at some point one of them will manage to push out a good article about it, but I want this thread to be a repository and a page-by-page examination of the report and its contents independent from journalistic vomit.

If you need a primer on what exactly FISA surveillance even means, there's an excellent primer for it over here, and the same author also wrote a long article concerning the oddities in Carter Page's FISA warrant over here. In the event that you're just curious about how we got to this point or want an overall history of the entire debacle, there's a summary for all of that over here.

The gist of it is that FISA Title I and Title III surveillance require there be probable cause to believe the proposed target is a foreign power or an agent of a foreign power. They're explicitly designed for foreign spies. These warrants are not supposed to be used against U.S. citizens without a goddamned good reason, and yet that's exactly what happened, and it happened multiple times. It also conveniently just happened to be people in Trump's campaign that were campaign managers who got hit with these FISA warrants, meaning that because of the Three-Hop Rule, the Obama administration was essentially given free reign to spy on literally everyone in Trump's campaign, including Trump himself.

If you were wondering why Horowitz' investigation had to dip so far back to the point where it completely predated all of the Russiagate crap then congratulations, you're asking yourself a smart question. It all had to be rewound to the very beginning because at the very start of this, the entire Trump-Russia collusion narrative was predicated on a hoax, and then everything that came after that hoax just piled onto the lies. Every breathless second the media screamed about Russian collusion, every politician screaming about impeaching "Trump, the Russian Asset", all of it was built on top of this one, original lie, and without it the entire house of cards just falls to pieces.

The reason that Horowitz dug all the way back into the FISA warrants is because one man proved beyond any shadow of any doubt that these warrants could not have been obtained legally. Mueller's Special Counsel proved beyond a doubt that the entire Trump-Russia collusion story was nothing more than a wild conspiracy theory. There has never been evidence put forward to prove that a word of it was real, and because of that, there clearly was not probable cause to allow for FISA warrants to be obtained against Trump campaign members. Despite what so many people were expecting Mueller to do, the only thing that Mueller's S.C. succeeded at doing was stripping away the cover story for the spying on the Trump campaign.

Whether or not that was intentional is anyone's guess and you're likely never going to be able to prove the Mueller "White hat/Black hat" theory one way or the other anyways, so it's a bit of a moot point. The fact remains that at the very end of his investigation, it was proven that there was no definitive evidence or probable cause to assume that the Trump campaign was colluding with Russia. Now you know why it was Rod Rosenstein's job to give these frantic, desperate bloodhounds the wider and ever-widening scope they kept asking of him. At the end of this, when Mueller himself was going to be forced to admit he couldn't find any evidence, it was game over for the Collusion Narrative.

Thank you, Robert Mueller.

The only real questions left are as to how the Steele Dossier (Remember that one? It's been awhile.) wound up being shoved ass-first into these FISA warrants even though the Steele Dossier was a remarkably flawed piece of opposition research, and how the FISA warrants were renewed four times in the absence of any legitimate evidence. I'm expecting to hear quite a bit about Rudolph Contreras and the FISC court somewhere in this report, because there were a lot of questions surrounding that whole mess that are in desperate need of an answer.

Either way, I don't want to write a preamble longer than the fucking report itself, so let's see how idiotic our government was with the FISA warrants.
 
Everything about this passage screams like somebody no self-respecting investigator would touch without a Himalayan mountain's worth of salt, but at the same time I can't help but wonder if Person 1 in question happens to be Trump himself in a domino mask.

If Trump somehow set up Russia Gate to own the Libs he deserves a third term
 
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Ten more significant errors on top of the previous seven? Nawh son I don't buy for a second that this was legitimate anymore. Omission, omission, omission, and then in #9 we have someone fucking editing information to fit a narrative? You've got to be shitting me with this.
 
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So right out of the gate they're laying out the Steele Dossier as being the only form of evidence that was procured for the launch of Crossfire Hurricane. They're not saying it outright, but that's the only bit of information I can think of off the top of my head that would apply in that paragraph, and then they go on to make sure that everyone understands that there needs to be an actual, legitimate purpose associated with the investigation.

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I also find it very interesting that apparently at no point during the opening of Crossfire Hurricane did the FBI see fit to inform any other departments of the pending investigation. So far it's looking as though it all kicked off under Strzok/Comey/McCabe without any outside input from any other departments involved. I can't say that I'm surprised.

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We're only six pages in and they're already starting to draw attention to how flimsy the Steele Dossier was as a legitimate piece of evidence, and how the investigation's team completely failed to inform the FISC of the conflicting or inaccurate information in the dossier.
But his name was Steele, he has to be some movie-style super spy! /sneed .
 
From page 2 of the report (page 32 of the pdf, I figured I'd jump ahead a bit since @It's HK-47 is doing a fine job with the exec summary):
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I thought they knew they were going after Papadopoulos? But they didn't "immediately identify any specific subjects or targets"?

From page 3 (PDF page 34):
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I found this funny. It's probably not anything too alarming though (of course they guy probably isn't going to memorialize his Clinton briefing if he's a Crossfire Hurricane supervisor).

From page 4 (PDF page 35):
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Page 5 (PDF page 36):
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But Steele "didn't directly provide this information to Yahoo News" according to the Page FISA application. Hmm...
 
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Ten more significant errors on top of the previous seven? Nawh son I don't buy for a second that this was legitimate anymore. Omission, omission, omission, and then in #9 we have someone fucking editing information to fit a narrative? You've got to be shitting me with this.
They did all this (and surely more) so they could throw innocent people in prison for daring to look at Hillary Clinton without begging for the privilege of eating shit out of her pant suit. This is pure evil. If they’re willing to do this to the president, imagine what they’d do to your average schmuck.
 
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"[...]Desperate that Donald Trump not get elected, and was passionate about him not being the U.S. President." Yeah, you just happened to not include that information anywhere, huh? Just up and slipped your mind, I'm sure. Much the same way that one of the people deeply involved in Crossfire Hurricane, who was still in contact with Steele following his dismissal, just happened to have a wife that worked for Fusion GPS just before this investigation kicked into play.

Perfectly innocent accident, I'm sure.
 
From page 2 of the report (page 32 of the pdf, I figured I'd jump ahead a bit since @It's HK-47 is doing a fine job with the exec summary):
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I thought they knew they were going after Papadopoulos? But they didn't "immediately identify any specific subjects or targets"?

From page 3 (PDF page 34):
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I found this funny. It's probably not anything too alarming though (of course they guy probably isn't going to memorialize his Clinton briefing if he's a Crossfire Hurricane supervisor).

From page 4 (PDF page 35):
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Page 5 (PDF page 36):
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But Steele "didn't directly provide this information to Yahoo News" according to the Page FISA application. Hmm...

I'd also like to note that, something that is often conveniently forgotten about Carter Page, the guy was a cooperating witness from 2013 to early 2016 in a case to help the U.S. bust crooked Russian businessman Evgeny Buryakov. It wouldn't make any sense for the Russians to want to use somebody they should already know would rat them out, because he already helped put one guy in prison! I don't how see this could be concluded as anything other than a blatant lie about Page. The FBI had to know he was a witness, I don't see how this could be chocked up as just an honest woopsiedoodle. The guy was a US asset, and then the US took the work he did for them, turned around seven months later and lied about it to set up Page to look like a foreign agent of the Russians, when he was an American one, to get a secret warrant to try to spy into the Trump campaign.

Either that or he was a plant, but he seems pretty indignant about the whole thing, so I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. Stefan Halper tried to weasel himself into the Trump campaign as a plant, but he got told to fuck off, so who knows if there was more than one of them.
 
I'd also like to note that, something that is often conveniently forgotten about Carter Page, the guy was a cooperating witness from 2013 to early 2016 in a case to help the U.S. bust crooked Russian businessman Evgeny Buryakov. It wouldn't make any sense for the Russians to want to use somebody they should already know would rat them out, because he already helped put one guy in prison! I don't how see this could be concluded as anything other than a blatant lie about Page. The FBI had to know he was a witness, I don't see how this could be chocked up as just an honest woopsiedoodle. The guy was a US asset, and then the US took the work he did for them, turned around seven months later and lied about it to set up Page to look like a foreign agent of the Russians, when he was an American one, to get a secret warrant to try to spy into the Trump campaign.

Either that or he was a plant, but he seems pretty indignant about the whole thing, so I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. Stefan Halper tried to weasel himself into the Trump campaign as a plant, but he got told to fuck off, so who knows if there was more than one of them.

Also wasn't it unclear what [if anything] Carter did for the campaign
 
Also from page 5 (PDF page 36):
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Might be nothing, but I found this curious: why redact only the day number in the date?

Still on page 5 (PDF page 36):
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Crosses over onto page 6 (PDF page 37):
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So "inaccurate and incomplete" information in the FISA application, and omitting information that didn't align with their allegations in the Steele report. (And another odd date redaction.)

Page 6 (PDF page 37):
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Goddamn. Steele really liked talking to reporters, huh?

Still page 6 (PDF page 37):
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continued on page 7 (PDF page 38):
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Yep, the FBI were well-and-truly still getting stuff from Steele through the Ohrs. (And a Fusion GPS report from Ohr's wife!)
 
So is Horowitz just like... The most credulous idiot ever? Does he really believe these were all mistakes?

I get the fact that proving bias is hard. But 17 glaring omissions and errors goes a long way, when all those "mistakes" just so happen to go against Trump.

I guess my question is, if I call Horowitz and tell him I'm the prince of Nigeria, will he send me money?
 
So is Horowitz just like... The most credulous idiot ever? Does he really believe these were all mistakes?

I get the fact that proving bias is hard. But 17 glaring omissions and errors goes a long way, when all those "mistakes" just so happen to go against Trump.

I guess my question is, if I call Horowitz and tell him I'm the prince of Nigeria, will he send me money?
It's not his job to make determinations about motivations, his job is purely to hoard up information and offer recommendations for ways to avoid these sorts of behaviours in the future. He's the "who and how". That's probably the primary reason as to why Durham is disagreeing with some of the findings in this report. Barr and Durham's jobs are to make determinations about motivations, and Durham's apparently a little bit pissed off. Barr doesn't seem very pleased about it, either.

This report is a fact-finding expedition, not a "throw their ass in jail right now" expedition. That's not Horowitz's job and it never was.
 
It's not his job to make determinations about motivations, his job is purely to hoard up information and offer recommendations for ways to avoid these sorts of behaviours in the future. He's the "who and how". That's probably the primary reason as to why Durham is disagreeing with some of the findings in this report. Barr and Durham's jobs are to make determinations about motivations, and Durham's apparently a little bit pissed off. Barr doesn't seem very pleased about it, either.

This report is a fact-finding expedition, not a "throw their ass in jail right now" expedition. That's not Horowitz's job and it never was.

If this was a large corporation doing stuff like this people would be charged with Negligent related conduct
 
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