It it isn't it will be soon. WAY too much truth spoken here for the CCP.
Had some thoughts while doing some chores.
As it is presently, believe China runs on small margins of food and certain goods. Not talking useless shit like hairpins, but medical supplies.
It is no small task to adequately feed and otherwise provide for a nation of 1.4 billion people. At least am not aware of anyone starving. I give credit for this to Deng Hsiao-Ping, who re-introduced the market economy to China after the 58-62 Famine and then the 1965-76 Cultural Revolution. Will go so far as to say the average Chinese person day-to-day lives within the market economy. They shop at a store, supermarket, and/or an outdoor market for their food/clothes/consumer goods.
The problems we are already starting to see on a small scale are these.
1. Stocks of food/critical supplies in locked-down cities such as Wuhan are apparently low.
2. Suspect there are problems getting supplies into cities. Some roads are torn up. Some towns/villages have erected roadblocks.
3. The African Swine Flu is still ongoing. Has resulted in the death of maybe 100 million hogs or so, and pork is a highly-consumed meat in China. You also have the avian flu, resulting in the death of thousands of chickens. People eat eggs and chicken.
Here's the problem I see that could happen on a larger scale, should this virus continue to spread, a derivative of something Ivan Shatov posted a few days ago. If you have X number of people sick, Y number taking care of them/maintaining public order/safety, and Z number effectively locked down, in the words of a German general, "Who will actually produce economic goods?" Not talking shit like phones and TVs. Talking food processing and delivery. Talking production of medicines and medical supplies, such as masks and testing kits. Talking oil refineries to crack that crude into gasoline/diesel. Talking farm implements and farm equipment, spare parts for vital machinery. I simply don't believe China has enough civilian reserves of these things to overcome widespread production disruptions. We already know China hasn't enough masks and medical supplies to go around. And from a previous poster's comments wonder how much the military has in the way of these supplies outside of war reserve stocks, which I now believe are rather limited.
Bet the top levels of the CCP have plenty. of food/medical supplies/motor fuels/whatever stashed away.
Food/supply shortages could cause a bunch of second-order deaths, especially in conjunction with power shortages/blackouts and failures in trash collection.
Just some stuff I was thinking about.
