US Mini-Super Tuesday discussion and results


Polls close Mississippi: 7pm CST/8pm EST, Missouri: 7pm CST/8pm EST, Michigan: 7pm CST/8pm EST (in four Michigan counties, polls will close at 8pm CST/9pm EST), Idaho: 8pm PST/10pm EST (in Idaho's nine northern counties, polls will close at 9pm PST/11pm EST), North Dakota: Poll hours vary by county, all polls will close by 9pm CST/ 10pm EST. Washington: 9pm CST/11pm EST

Joe "Joementum!" Biden
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Tulsi Gabbard
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Bernie Sanders
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Biden, Tulsi and Sanders will take on each other in six states holding primary contests on March 10 in what has been dubbed “Mini Super Tuesday.”
Those states are:
  • Idaho, 20 pledged delegates
  • Michigan, 125 pledged delegates
  • Mississippi, 36 pledged delegates
  • North Dakota, 14 pledged delegates
  • Missouri, 68 pledged delegates
  • Washington, 89 pledged delegates
  • Democrats Abroad, 21 pledged delegates
The six states offer a combined 373 pledged delegates.

The former vice president, who swept the South on Super Tuesday, leads in pledged delegate totals ahead of the March 10 primaries. He currently has 664 pledged delegates compared to Sanders’ 573. A nominee needs a majority, or 1,991, delegates going into the convention to win the nomination on the first ballot.

Michigan offers the greatest prize on Tuesday with 125 delegates up for grabs. A Detriot Free Press survey released on Monday showed Biden with a 24-point advantage over Vermont’s self-described socialist senator in the Great Lakes State.

Sanders held rallies in Michigan over the weekend in hopes of garnering support in the state he won in 2016, when he edged out Hillary Clinton by less than two percentage points — 49.8 percent to Clinton’s 48.3 percent.
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Make or break for Bernie if he can't compete against Biden at this point. Should be some interesting results with anger from at least one side being inevitable. I'm looking forward to seeing the race in Idaho and Washington.

My mini-super Tuesday picks
Idaho(Biden), Michigan (Biden), Mississippi(Biden), Missouri (Biden), North Dakota (Biden), Washington (Biden), Democrats Abroad (Biden)
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Joementum in full swing!
Previous thread
 
Bernie will definitely endorse Biden because he's a piss-poor excuse for a socialist politician. If he had integrity for his positions he wouldn't endorse anyone or endorse a third party candidate or shit, even BE a third party candidate as the ultimate fuck you to the DNC and neoliberal establishment.
Biden is going to be like Hillary where the media will do 99% of the campaigning legwork because the more people hear of him or see him, the worse he does. Hillary could barely keep it together, Biden is going to have a much tougher time. Photo ops of him wearing aviators isn’t going to cut it against the Shitposter in Chief.
A part of me wants to see some Biden health issues and the frantic cover up like with Hilldawg but I'd rather he stay "healthy" and keep spouting off insanity at voters like the nursing home resident he is. More AR-14s and Lying Dog Faced Pony Soldiers.
 
I know this le libtard shit is often the occams razor but I’m just baffled that we have ended up with the majority of dems wanting Biden

can they not see that even the inherit matchup of a president vs a Vice President is so unfairly skewed in one direction even down to the subconscious perception? And Biden has such a poor stage presence he’s going to get circles ran around him by Trump during the debate.

Is there something I’m just missing that makes Biden competitive against Trump? Yeah, maybe among other dems Biden was the most electable - and he was divisive in his own party - but now you’re bringing over the other half of the nation that’s completely united into the fray.
Joe is what you get when the Democratic party’s primary plan to beat Trump is to cross their fingers and go “oh please, oh please, oh please, oh please, OH PLEASE!”
 
Biden is going to fall flat on his face in the 2020 election. Michigan, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, the Dakotas, and possibly Nevada are leaning towards Trump. The "Bernie or bust" attitude will prevail over "vote blue no matter who"; Young people don't get excited for a demented, corrupt neolib. Trump is increasingly gaining minority support. Union workers feel betrayed by the democrats. Independents are feeling disillusioned with the leftist movements. I'm hoping when Bernie drops out he refuses to endorse Biden for the lulz, but he very well may end up cucking out.
I think michigan has a chance of flipping back unfortunately. Trump won it by a small margin, Biden got pretty good numbers in the primary, and he does much better among blacks compared to Hillary.
 
I think michigan has a chance of flipping back unfortunately. Trump won it by a small margin, Biden got pretty good numbers in the primary, and he does much better among blacks compared to Hillary.
Time to make some quick investments in hot sauce and 40 oz. beer. Hopefully Trump will win Michigan, especially if the sleeper cell theory holds true of Biden primary voters who actually support Trump in the general. Even the boomers on boomerbook are in on this scheme.
 
Time to make some quick investments in hot sauce and 40 oz. beer. Hopefully Trump will win Michigan, especially if the sleeper cell theory holds true of Biden primary voters who actually support Trump in the general. Even the boomers on boomerbook are in on this scheme.
Obviously things can definitely change in the general, we don't know how many of Bernie's people will just sit out, but Biden did much better in Michigan than shilldawg did. Biden does best when no one has heard from him in a month or two, so the collapse actually helped him in the primary. All Trump really needs to do is keep all of his ridiculous soundbytes constantly in people's minds.
 
On the subject of Trump's chances in the general in these states, does anyone have any information regarding voter totals for the GOP in this set of primaries? If Trump got more votes then Biden, Sanders and Gabbard combined, or at least close to it, then that's not a good sign for the Dems.
 
The biggest danger to Trump right now is Corona btfo'ing the economy and ruining the goodwill towards him.
Also are we waiting for the knee bending to watch bernie bros meltdown?
I agree that this is the biggest risk, but I'm not sure how big we're talking here. The corona thread on this forum is utterly useless at getting accurate information since it's basically doomer central.
 
Super Tuesday looks like the end of Sanders' campaign in retrospect

Look at the RCP polling. Biden is 18 points ahead:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/e..._democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

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And look at the delegate counts

https://www.google.com/search?q=democratic+primary+results

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All but Warren have endorsed Biden and he'll get their delegates and Warren is an establishment weasel who'll bend the knee eventually - she's just holding out for some sort of quid pro quo. And Sanders said that the candidate who has the most delegates going into the convention should get the nomination because at that point he thought that would be him. Everyone else said there's a process and we should follow it. There's no way Sanders can go into the convention with fewer delegates and expect he'll get the nomination. In fact, it was pretty clear even if he went in with more he would get shafted.

It seems like the Democrats have avoided the mistake the UK Labour party made by allowing a crypto Communist populist to take over but Biden is not an ideal candidate by any means. I reckon they would have been better off running Gabbard, who's the only Democrat I find remotely likable. However, she's only got one delegate and is polling 2%. They'll have to pick Biden, but I think he'll go down to defeat against Trump. Then again a lot can change before the election. If the economy collapses, Trump might be vulnerable. To be fair to the DNC, Sanders seems like a worse choice than Biden because everyone knows Medicare For All would add tens of trillions to the debt, risk a sovereign debt crisis and enrage millions of people with good healthcare plans when they get pushed off those and onto Medicare which is likely to be drastically worse.

. . . Don't you still owe Null a pic of your tits?

I think as a Communist she owes everyone that, rather than hoarding her tits like some sort of tit kulak.
 
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On the subject of Trump's chances in the general in these states, does anyone have any information regarding voter totals for the GOP in this set of primaries? If Trump got more votes then Biden, Sanders and Gabbard combined, or at least close to it, then that's not a good sign for the Dems.
He doesn't have to get more votes than Biden/Sanders/Gabbard combined, if he gets anywhere even comparable to their vote totals while running in a virtually uncontested primary, where his supporters have no reason to go vote beyond wanting to show their support, that's a giant blinking radioactive warning sign for Democrats this fall.

Also lmao at all the rainbow stickers I got yesterday calling WA a tossup state, only to read the news over coffee and see it's still uncalled, in a virtual dead heat:
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The biggest danger to Trump right now is Corona btfo'ing the economy and ruining the goodwill towards him.
Also are we waiting for the knee bending to watch bernie bros meltdown?
I don't think so, with a virus that spread quicker than the Chinese menace itself most say he did do the right things with early travel bans etc etc regardless of flack from Democrats. There's just some things that becomes inevitable to avoid.
If anything hatred for China is gonna grow.
 
He doesn't have to get more votes than Biden/Sanders/Gabbard combined, if he gets anywhere even comparable to their vote totals while running in a virtually uncontested primary, where his supporters have no reason to go vote beyond wanting to show their support, that's a giant blinking radioactive warning sign for Democrats this fall.
That's the really fun part, though: He's not just getting comparable numbers, in more than a few states he's getting two or three times as many as the person at the front on the Democrat's side of the field. There's no reason at all for these people to go out and vote. These are just shitpost votes from people who are doing it for a laugh and these are the totals we're seeing.

Alabama: 695,469
Arkansas: 237,863
California: 1,896,448
Colorado: 621,094
Massachusetts: 236,692
North Carolina: 747,038
Oklahoma: 273,562
Tennessee: 380,276
Texas: 1,889,006
Utah: 298,936
And weirdly Vermont had basically nothing at: 34,000. Even Bernie only got like 80,000 there so I guess Vermont just hates voting.
 
That's the really fun part, though: He's not just getting comparable numbers, in more than a few states he's getting two or three times as many as the person at the front on the Democrat's side of the field. There's no reason at all for these people to go out and vote. These are just shitpost votes from people who are doing it for a laugh and these are the totals we're seeing.

Alabama: 695,469
Arkansas: 237,863
California: 1,896,448
Colorado: 621,094
Massachusetts: 236,692
North Carolina: 747,038
Oklahoma: 273,562
Tennessee: 380,276
Texas: 1,889,006
Utah: 298,936
And weirdly Vermont had basically nothing at: 34,000. Even Bernie only got like 80,000 there so I guess Vermont just hates voting.
You emphasized CA but left out the best part!
Trump turnout: 1.9 million
Sanders turnout: 1.55 million
Biden turnout: 1.2 million
Trump's shitpost votes outnumber both major candidates in the CA primary in a Super Tuesday election, where the primary was wide open, and elections are perceived to matter the most.

Also the Vermont thing is just because literally no one lives in Vermont. 80k votes is about 1/8th of the state population.
 
I love that Clyburn is now saying the Dems should cancel the rest of the primaries and debates and declare Biden the winner so no one is exposed to what he says. It only hurts his chances of winning as far as he's concerned. How shitty are your candidates if your only option is to hide them away so no one can hear what they have to say?
 
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