The official info is bullshit. Homes, have you not been following at all? There is not a low chance in a lot of the US. They're artificially decreasing the numbers by refusing to test people, and even the artificially decreased numbers show a worrying exponential trend. The rest of the world is learning from Italy's example of leading with mass death. Do you think Disney, for example, has or ever would completely shut down for no reason? Do you think the executives in charge of Disney are making casual, uninformed decisions with their money? That school districts are shut down across the country for funsies? Kids don't even get sick, they just carry it.
If you are healthy there is absolutely no way to know if you're carrying it. Because they won't test you. Act as if you're contagious. Stay the fuck home unless absolutely necessary. I know it's really easy to fall into the "it can't happen HERE!" trap, but it absolutely can. Italy is a first world country, and it couldn't happen there until it did.