Wuhan Coronavirus: Megathread - Got too big

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Maybe Universities might return to becoming institutions for training and educating adults for business instead of using the publicly funded school basketball system, publicly funded multimillion dollar sports stadiums, to function as a pre-season preview for the NBA, NFL, whatever sports ball recruiters.
As nice as it would be to see all American colleges and universities -- so called institutions of higher learning -- return to their educational roots, it's sadly going to be too :optimistic: at the bigger schools. The athletic alumni donors have far more clout and control than they should and they've helped turned these schools into the sports machines they've become. Worse, the colleges don't care because athletes, even those on scholarship, bring in money and athletes who play one season and drop out to go pro are easily replaced by more such athletes next year. That said, many universities who haven't been tainted by bigtime athletics run their programs the right way, especially the smaller universities who have reputations for their uncompromisable academic standards that apply equally to student and athlete alike. In recent years, some of the smallest non-NCAA colleges have dropped sports or even their entire athletic programs once they realized that using athletics as an enrollment/revenue boost wasn't worth the costs, financial and otherwise, it created.
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There are a very small minority of homes run by people who genuinely care and provide a decent living environment.
From knowing someone who used to work at a nursing home, the majority are either chain owned or individually owned with the occasional facility run by a local governmental entity. Sadly, many chain-run ones care more about the bottom line. There is/was one chain of homes run by the same family/owner that was notorious for poor working conditions and awful reports on their state surveys (annual inspections). Most people in the industry spread it through their grapevine that one shouldn't work at or put loved ones in those facilities unless there was no other choice.

On the flip side, individually-run homes are dying out (no pun intended). With Medicaid and Medicare rates barely covering the cost of care, especially competitive wages for nurses and unionized wages for aides, housekeepers, and kitchen employees, it's difficult to break even. Even before the last recession, many individually-run homes have either merged with each other in an attempt to stay afloat, been bought by chain operators that have the resources to run them, or simply shut down.

Makes me wonder if we'll see people actually try to do something to improve the conditions of shit nursing homes.
Sadly, many homes are run by administrators that simply DGAF. Most of the homes that reek of excrement odors and/or have grossly inadequate patient care can be traced back to absentee/indifferent administration. Those facilities with staff that do care for their residents' well-being often lack the resources to do as good a job as they could/should, but at least they make an effort to give their residents what dignity and care they can given the constraints and challenges they face.

Only about half of the state’s nursing homes have been inspected since the policy went into effect last month...
This isn't surprising. Nursing homes are supposed to be inspected annually. With limited budgets and a limited number of state surveyors (inspectors), however, it's not unheard of for an inspection to come as late as a year and a half after the first one. The survey process can also be subject to surveyor's whims and not necessarily reflect the facility's actual daily conditions. Some survey teams can be lenient, others are more strict, and some arrive with enough of a chip on their shoulder that they look for every single violation they can find as if they're SJWs searching for microaggressions. Any of these can skew the violation report that's made available for public review.
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No major events, but plenty of clickbait, including:
A scuffle between protestors that started over the optics of holding a doll with a noose around its neck.
Police confiscated an axe. The axe-owner complied peacefully.
It's sad that the protest was so uneventful that the media tries to sensationalize someone bringing an axe only to have said person surrender it without incident. At the same time, the powers that be told protestors to behave and they did. But, there's no news in reporting cooperative protestors.

Governor Whitmer on role of sexism in backlash against her executive orders
TFW the governor doubles down on blaming gender and identity politics for a lack of cooperation instead of addressing her own lack of the bipartisan efforts she promised to bring into office knowing she'd need the support of the Republican-majority state legislature to accomplish anything. *sigh*

Use land lines. They need a court order to tap a land line.
Not only that, people with older technology could easily spy on mobile phones -- depending on what band they use.
Years ago, it was possible to listen in on random cell phone conversations if one had a dial-operated television that had channels 66 and higher because many of those former channels were reassigned to cellular phone companies. Many channels would produce interference, noise, or multiple jumbled conversations, but an occasional clear one could be found and easily listened to.

NEVER say which frequency to go to, just say, "Go to Channel 1 (2,3, etc.)
I wouldn't even specify a channel number and instead use an alternative predetermined identifier. "Channel Red" might be channel 3 and "White" might be channel 1. That makes it easier to keep eavesdroppers off guard.

Use encrypted emails. Or written communications via sneaker-mail.
Protonmail (and probably many others) FTW.
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I'm not sure if there's a source yet, but I heard tonight Michigan's numbers had a small spike from previously unrecorded cases finally being entered. Sadly, I can see this spike being spun as a reason for restrictions to continue as-is and not as the periodice adjustment it's intended to be.
(Edit: Spelling)
 
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From knowing someone who used to work at a nursing home, the majority are either chain owned or individually owned with the occasional facility run by a local governmental entity. Sadly, many chain-run ones care more about the bottom line. There is/was one chain of homes run by the same family/owner that was notorious for poor working conditions and awful reports on their state surveys (annual inspections). Most people in the industry spread it through their grapevine that one shouldn't work at or put loved ones in those facilities unless there was no other choice.

Pretty much everyone who works in a hospital knows which nursing homes are the shitty ones. That's where the decubitus ulcer cases come from. Also patients presenting on so many chemical restraints they don't know where the hell they are.

Families, unfortunately, don't know this.

There are good ones out there but they're few and far between. Reimbursement has been cut so much that it's hard to staff.
 
A friend gave me the following suggestions to beat monitoring.

1. Use land lines. They need a court order to tap a land line.

2. If you have people who speak exotic languages (Japanese, Chinese, Korean, Arabic, or just about any language outside the Latin languages and German), have them do the communicating. Really doubt they have anyone who can translate exotic languages in real-time. Not that many police around who are native speakers of exotic languages, except maybe in Dearborn, due to the heavy Arabic population. Think the "code talkers" in World War II.

3. Use walkie-talkie style Citizens Band radios and change frequencies often. Hop around. Everyone needs to know all the frequencies used, and their associated channel designators. NEVER say which frequency to go to, just say, "Go to Channel 1 (2,3, etc.) They most likely will NOT be able to break out which frequency is on what channel on any sort of real-time basis. Keep transmissions as short as possible. Doubt they have direction-finding vans, but you never know these days.

4. Use encrypted emails. Or written communications via sneaker-mail.
Understand what they're actually trying to do.

Intercepting the communication is not as important as identifying the participants. Once they know who you are, they just try to make your life hell. Your bank account is suddenly closed, you get selected for jury duty, the police come by your house 10 times a day following up on a report, etc.

If you want to avoid surveillance, use physical security (masks, hospital scrubs, etc), leave your cell phone at home, drive there in a vehicle not connected to you. Think Antifa, just drive the cost up for them to figure out who you are by not leaving breadcrumbs.

All this makes you invisible in the ways that matter. Whitmer is a stupid crybully bitch who depends on making people feel guilty to get her way, it's memetic warfare. If her hooks have no place to land, she wastes what little offense she has.
 
This is interesting. San Diego's Supervisor is saying that only 6 of their 194 deaths were people without pre-existing conditions.

I can easily name three, generally healthy, friends with asthma, and I guess they'd count as pre-existing condition deaths if they caught it and died, but still...
 
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This is interesting. San Diego's Supervisor is saying that only 6 of their 194 deaths were people without pre-existing conditions.

I can easily name three, generally healthy, friends with asthma, and I guess they'd count as pre-existing condition deaths if they caught it and died, but still...
Chicago's been keeping track of comorbidities, too.

Corona Comorbidities
Currently, 90.1% of all COVID-19 related deaths in Cook County have at least one (1) underlying condition. 69.6% have at least two (2) or more.

ComorbidityCases%*
Heart Disease1,13245.1%
Hypertension1,05942.2%
Diabetes1,04141.5%
COPD44917.9%
Kidney Disease37915.1%
Dementia34613.8%
Obesity2319.2%
Atrial fibrillation2198.7%
Hyperlipidemia1706.8%
Asthma1024.1%
All Others58123.1%
Thru 5/11/20
*Percentages relate to number of deaths with listed condition. Confirmed COVID-19 deaths and related comorbidities data can be found at the Cook County Medical Examiner website. CCME totals deaths may exceed IDPH totals as CCME is reviewing and updating older cases. Conformed deaths are recorded as “WITH” or “RELATED TO” COVID-19 not necessarily “BECAUSE OF” COVID-19.

Source:
(archive)
 
This is interesting. San Diego's Supervisor is saying that only 6 of their 194 deaths were people without pre-existing conditions.

I can easily name three, generally healthy, friends with asthma, and I guess they'd count as pre-existing condition deaths if they caught it and died, but still...
Were the 6 homosexuals?
 
Somewhat off topic for the current discussion, but I am pretty convinced we'll get either a $1000/mo or $2000/mo stimulus before the end of all this. It's arguable about whether it's necessary - I think it's a necessary measure to prevent a collapse, and the added debt is better than the alternative - but it doesn't matter. The average American, now with over 10% unemployment rate, and with possibly going up to 20% before it bounces back, wants that money, and the same way they turned on Pelosi and the others who held back the $1,200 (that most have spent if they've gotten it) they'll turn on Trump and Republican lawmakers if they don't get it. It won't matter if the money is a good idea, because some smug person saying 'well inflation' won't pay for their food and bills, or return them to the living conditions they were used to before this. Anyone who thinks the majority of America is going to go "No, do not give me that money I need, because I cannot abide the increase of inflation!" is kidding themselves and ignoring how every single 'shall we raise minimum wage?' bill gets a resounding 'yes!' no matter how many people say 'but inflation!'

Basically, the only smart move politically is Trump approving a temporary UBI now that it's been discussed and planned in public for months. Ideally, he'd want to steal it from the Dems somehow so he can take credit for it, but at the very least he'll need to support a stripped down UBI bill bipartisan. Denying something they get through the house will crater his ratings to a degree he might endanger his reelection, given how close it is to election time. I imagine it'll be a conservative one with only the months of the lockdown, or a few months after the emergency is called off (rather than those insane year+ ones), but Americans just won't tolerate being teased with more money and then being told 'sorry, the Republicans said no, fend for yourselves'.
 
This is interesting. San Diego's Supervisor is saying that only 6 of their 194 deaths were people without pre-existing conditions.

I can easily name three, generally healthy, friends with asthma, and I guess they'd count as pre-existing condition deaths if they caught it and died, but still...
A few more than six apparently, but yeah, almost every day they announce deaths it's followed with "all had existing medical conditions".
Screenshot_20200514-180121(1).png

Here's who Corona-chan's been offing in San Diego.
Screenshot_20200514-180355(1).png
68 active outbreaks, 46 at congregate living facilities and 22 in community settings.
1,241 cases, including 93 deaths in congregate living facilities.
258 cases, including five deaths in community settings.
Big surprise, mostly old people and nursing homes and other care facilities.
 
A few more than six apparently, but yeah, almost every day they announce deaths it's followed with "all had existing medical conditions".
View attachment 1294357

Here's who Corona-chan's been offing in San Diego.
View attachment 1294361

Big surprise, mostly old people and nursing homes and other care facilities.
For reference, San Diego county had over 22,000 deaths in 2018 (an average of 60 deaths a day).


The total Corona deaths from this don't even meet the average 4 day total of deaths for the county.
 

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Level with me, people. How bad is this second wave going to be. Are we going to be put in another lockdown in a couple of months?
The MTA is thinking of forcing people to make reservations to ride the subway while the hobos it evicted are sleeping on shelter floors next to each other. the NYC Health Commissioner said she didn't give 2 rat's asses (whatever that means) about the NYPD needing PPE, the union rep that told a nurse to "STFU you POS" when she complained there was no PPE was finally fired, patients at nursing homes died by the dozens because Cuomo is an ass, NYC got hammered by the virus because De Blasio is an ass and now they all have to look like they're doing something because ZOMG!!11 a biblical plague is upon us.

You bet another lockdown's coming, surely as taxes will go up to pay for handouts to their precious illegal nannies and delivery boys.
 
So are fewer people dying per day during the pandemic than out of it?
I couldn't find close to real time stats on general causes of death. My guess is that traffic accidents are down. However, from the uploaded file, there were only 324 train/traffic deaths that year, so less than 1/day.

That said, assuming all the Corona deaths were added deaths that would not have others occurred (which, given the age range of the deceased is unlikely), it would still represent less than a 1% increase yty for SD.
 
Somewhat off topic for the current discussion, but I am pretty convinced we'll get either a $1000/mo or $2000/mo stimulus before the end of all this. It's arguable about whether it's necessary - I think it's a necessary measure to prevent a collapse, and the added debt is better than the alternative - but it doesn't matter. The average American, now with over 10% unemployment rate, and with possibly going up to 20% before it bounces back, wants that money, and the same way they turned on Pelosi and the others who held back the $1,200 (that most have spent if they've gotten it) they'll turn on Trump and Republican lawmakers if they don't get it.
Even though the Democrats would reject it for not helping illegals, NEETS, and anyone else not working, I could see President Trump wanting to provide $1k to $2k monthly over the next six months for anyone working during the first quarter of 2020. For employees, this is easily verified through state unemployment tax reports. Gig workers and other self-employed folks would likely have bank records or receipts verifying business activity during the first quarter. I could also see an exception carved out for anyone already collecting unemployment during the first quarter since one has to have worked prior to collecting it.

Sure, the Dems would hate this version of TrumpBux. At the same time, Trump could tout himself helping the working-class remain whole during the indefinitely lock-downs while taking a swipe at the Democrats for: (1) Spreading fear, uncertainty, and doubt with indefinite restrictions in the areas the govern, and (2) Wanting tax dollars to support illegals and those NEETS able to work but unwilling to do so.

Even if the above idea is unlikely in today's hyper-partisan environment, I still won't put it past Trump to consider doing something that provides additional money to people whose earnings have been impacted by the lockdowns and find a way to do it that garners just enough bipartisan support that the Democrats don't necessarily love it, but still pass it narrowly because their party being seen as anti-worker during an election year would be bad optics.
 
Outside China

4,358,134 confirmed / 297,781 dead / 1,508,632 recovered

4262994 / 292560 / 1469301 yesterday

USA

1,417,774 Confirmed / 85,898 dead / 246,414 recovered JohnHopkins
1,432,040 confirmed / 86,393 dead / 318,027 recovered Infection2020

1390406 / 84119 / 241430 yesterday JohnHopkins
1406474 / 84545 / 310259 yesterday Infection2020

Spain

229,540 confirmed / 27,321 dead / 143,374 recovered

228691 / 27104 / 140823 yesterday

Italy

223,096 confirmed / 31,368 dead / 115,288 recovered

222104 / 31106 / 112541 yesterday

France

178,998 confirmed / 27,428 dead / 59,719 recovered

178184 / 27077 / 58768 yesterday

Germany

174,478 confirmed / 7,884 dead / 150,300 recovered

174098 / 7861 / 148700 yesterday
 
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