The GOP voters are probably going to want another Trump like populous in power too. If the GOP tries to rig the 2024 primaries in favor of a RINO / Neocon over a populous, something will give. I think your typical GOP voter is above rioting and burning shit to the ground. I'm not sure what will be their retaliation, but it'll be something.
All I can say is I hope you're right. But remember, Trump's reelection isn't a guarantee. The shenanigans haven't even started yet.
I'm not so sure about that one. Unless theres a split between the antifa wing of the democrats and the (relatively) less batshit ones.
If the antifa wing of the Democrats does not win, then by elimination that means the neolibs will have won.
The RINOs have the best shot of getting in an office in the GOP. The dems, if they exist in their current form in 2024, will use them and then thrown them under the bus. Look what they did to Tulsi. And she's a moderate lib. Unless you agree 100% with the party line, the dems consider you public enemy number one.
That makes the RINOs homeless, not at home with the GOP.
The main issue that will keep RINOs from finding a home with the Dems is the purity test. If the woke regressives and the squad didn't have as much power in the DNC, they might be welcomed in. The reason they have a home with the GOP is because the party doesn't require everyone to toe the line 100%. You can be somewhat liberal and still call yourself a republican. I mean, Trump is basically a RINO. He's a 90s liberal who didn't have a home and ran under the GOP banner because there wasn't any choice.
I agree with you that theres no difference between a neocon and a neoliberal, but the neolibs are dying just as quickly as the neocons are. The antifa crowd arent going to flip R, so they have nowhere to go but a new party (which would bad for for the neolibs and for themselves)
Do people actually like Ted Cruz? I assumed the only reason he gets re-elected is because every incumbent Republican in Texas gets re-elected. Also his religiosity is a turn off, same with Pence. The new ‘working class disaffected former Democrat’ is not as likely to be a Bible-thumping Evangelical.
The problem with Kanye is his Bipolar disorder, IMO.
While star power definitely helps a campaign get started, it's not the only thing. Trump's appeal was partly in that he could wield star power to address issues that most Republicans felt neglected on. The border wall "Mexico will pay for it/10 feet higher" may have seemed blustery, but it also showed a strong interest (especially compared to a milquetoast Romney one cycle before). His jobs focus was stronger and more driven than any mainstream politician in years. It wasn't a selling point, it was a spotlight.
Massachusetts has about 6 million people and about 8000 dead from corona. Even in NYC the percentage of people who have died is low. I suppose it could make a difference in certain local races, but I doubt it.
To be fair to Mr. Zodiac, his image reform didn't start until after he almost lost to Beta O'Rourke and it should be factored in exactly how much money the DNC spent on Beta only to lose.
I like Ted 2.0, but someone like Tom Cotton or Josh Hawley will do everything they can to kneecap him if he starts eating into their populist base. Nikki Hayley might run as a moderate to appeal to the suburbs. And I guess in theory Mike Pence might want to be president, but no way can he run on being the third Trump term like Bush did after Reagan. It’ll be interesting to see how things shake out next time; I don’t think the GOP has any establishment figures who could even place.
I'll agree that the GOP may have trouble with who's going to run in 2024 after Trump is out because they really don't seem to have many choices currently. I personally think the most Trump-like candidate will win in 2024.
