What is even the point of the antifa thing in Portland any more?
They only made a stand outside the courthouse when there was a fence between them and the cops. Every other encounter is the cops slowly walking down the protesters as they back up with the occasional thrown object resulting in 2 or 3 cops breaking away to scoop up/pepperspray the offender. Just the same shit every night, it's all so pointless.
Practice.
They want to be terrorist cells that force reform in the US.
They don't know how well scoped they are, and how soft the administration has been on them. The full force of the US government would smush them quickly, all the Communist lawyers in the world are no match for a terrorist designation.
America Erwache!
Also if the US builds up its missile defences, tracks Chinese SSBNs and strikes first it would win a nuclear war with some acceptable casualties - mostly coastal Democrat run shitholes.
That's a way to look at it. But I still like Huntington Beach and would appreciate having future opportunities to spend time there.
What's most likely going to happen is China will come to it's own inflection point. They don't really want war with the rest of the World, they want to control their own boundaries and have some prominence. They can't do that if they bankrupt everyone else, which they understand better than everyone.
There are still Deng Xiaoping style reformers in the CCP who carry his vision. They are less prominent than the hawkish military types, but they're still out there. There will be a referendum on Xi's rule in about 2 years, whether to continue his dictator for life status or to cede some power to others in the Party.
A few events that could change things:
- Massive financial crisis - which is already happening
- Uprising in one or more territories - which is kind of happening, mass migrations and discontent with CCP rule are the norms in Hubei right now, even if it's supressed
- Problems with One Belt, One Road - there's a lot of supply chains shifting to other Asian countries
- Problems with other Asian Countries - no one likes Coronavirus and no one believes China is innocent
- Problems with Australia - Australia has been a little tough on China recently. No one actually wants a war with them, too much of China's economy relies on imports. Were hostilities to break out, it could severely damage their supply lines. China is not equipped for a head strike against Australia, there would be mass resistance.
- Problems with India - the hardest thing to do on Earth is get India to move. China is counting on bureaucracy holding them back. That said, hostilities with India over borders are a pretty serious problem for China, there's a reason they are pushing on them while the world is focused on Covid. If the disease starts to subside in a major way, the politics would change quickly.
- Assassination - there is a remote possibility that a change in leadership would be bloody. Xi surrounds himself with loyalists who understand they will die immediately if they lose favor. If one of them perceives he's on the chopping block, he may act out in unpredictable ways. Aside from personal safety, there are incentives for this to happen having to do with the culture. Everyone wants to be a great hero in China's ruling class and one loss of face for Xi could lead to a change in power.