2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[GuntPunt]

I think solid ground game is going to make this election, especially now since Trump cannot do rallies. Useful "based MAGApedes" like Scott Pressler spent the last 2 years in Pennsylvania and other swing states, preaching the holy gospel of Saint Trump. Meanwhile, Biden is hoping that hatred is going to bring people to the polls (lol TLOU2 big-brained thinking). Problem with that is that unless you spend literal every hour of your free time on negative politics, you won't get the TDS and the motivation that comes with it to go to the polls. Its why Twitter's most vocal tards are so deranged, its unironically all they do.
Even with that and all my other hot takes, I'm going to vote in case I'm completely full of shit with my arm-chair political analysis.

 

[FunPosting101]

Lichtman also has servere TDS. He was consistantly on CNN decrying in 2016 how he hated that his model showed a Trump victory. He also has a book about his support impeaching Trump. The cherry on top is that his 13 keys are subjective depending on how willing you are to give Trump credit on his successes and polls vs the primary model requires people to get their asses out to vote. Even the primary model was willing to rewrite their prediction in case there was a huge crack in support for Trump in the remaining primaries that ultimately never materialized.

Lichtman seems to be acting more like a biased pundit, and Norpoth seems to be there for actual analysis.

Also, doesn't the Lichtman Model predict the popular vote? That doesn't decide the election necessarily, the electoral vote does.

 

[heyitsmike]

Will any of those red states having now joined Soros's Popular Vote Interstate Compact scheme have flipped blue because of it?

No red state has joined it.

 

[Harvey Danger]

I think solid ground game is going to make this election, especially now since Trump cannot do rallies. Useful "based MAGApedes" like Scott Pressler spent the last 2 years in Pennsylvania and other swing states, preaching the holy gospel of Saint Trump. Meanwhile, Biden is hoping that hatred is going to bring people to the polls (lol TLOU2 big-brained thinking). Problem with that is that unless you spend literal every hour of your free time on negative politics, you won't get the TDS and the motivation that comes with it to go to the polls. Its why Twitter's most vocal tards are so deranged, its unironically all they do.
Even with that and all my other hot takes, I'm going to vote in case I'm completely full of shit with my arm-chair political analysis.

Trump is literally the only one even trying a ground game. Biden's campaign is going full virtual.

Even so, yes, everyone should get out to vote. In person if possible, don't trust the USPS this time around.

 

[King Daddy Telomerase]

Yeah, realistically Biden needs to win Florida or he's fucked.

Even Florida isn't enough on it's own.

Eh, but the map is always changing. Arizona is a toss-up state now and turning blue. The midwest states especially Wisconsin have shifted significantly right in the past decade. This is why polls suck and usually why they're wrong, pollsters shape results based on previous data and their own biases. And this 2020 election is going to be very unique for many ways... people scared to go out and vote, whatever happens with mail-in voting, masses of people moving from certain areas like NYC. All things that cannot be correctly taken into account.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

Even so, yes, everyone should get out to vote. In person if possible, don't trust the USPS this time around.

Especially given that they're literally marking Republican ballots.

 

[Salubrious]

If you asked them how exactly their lives have gotten worse under Trump, they wouldn't be a able to give you a good answer. 2017 to the start of this were good overall, only COVID and the riots were negatives, but that's not Trump -- even though they still blame him anyway.

They're so obsessed with every -ism and -phobia that they'll just let the mainstream media dictate their emotions entirely. They can never admit that they have disastrous policies either.

I asked someone with TDS what Trump had done to make him a monster, and this was his response:

Children in cages doesn’t equal monster?
Not acknowledging racial inequality? Welcoming the support of hate groups?
Defunding of necessary programs for personal financial gain?
Mishandling a health crises?
Making fun of handicapped people?
Calling KKK members good people?
Appointment friends and family and donors to high ranking political positions?
Sending in the national guard on American protestors?

 

[Ruin]

I asked someone with TDS what Trump had done to make him a monster, and this was his response:

Children in cages doesn’t equal monster?
Not acknowledging racial inequality? Welcoming the support of hate groups?
Defunding of necessary programs for personal financial gain?
Mishandling a health crises?
Making fun of handicapped people?
Calling KKK members good people?
Appointment friends and family and donors to high ranking political positions?
Sending in the national guard on American protestors?

Is there sauce for any of these? The only one that has some validity is the mishandling of Corona Chan.

 

[Salubrious]

LOL. I just tried to post https://joebiden.info/ to my friend in our private Facebook group and Facebook immediately blocked it.

 

[heyitsmike]

If you asked them how exactly their lives have gotten worse under Trump, they wouldn't be a able to give you a good answer. 2017 to the start of this were good overall, only COVID and the riots were negatives, but that's not Trump -- even though they still blame him anyway.

They're so obsessed with every -ism and -phobia that they'll just let the mainstream media dictate their emotions entirely. They can never admit that they have disastrous policies either.

As @greengrilledcheese so eloquently put it,

it's not worth wasting time on arguing with these people or providing evidence to them, it just doesn't make any difference

 

[ThatOneLurker]

Which means its not a war between left and right but pro tech vs anti tech.

Something something about Apollo vs Dionysus.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

I asked someone with TDS what Trump had done to make him a monster, and this was his response:

Children in cages doesn’t equal monster?
Not acknowledging racial inequality? Welcoming the support of hate groups?
Defunding of necessary programs for personal financial gain?
Mishandling a health crises?
Making fun of handicapped people?
Calling KKK members good people?
Appointment friends and family and donors to high ranking political positions?
Sending in the national guard on American protestors?

Literally all of these are lies. But if you knock them down, they'll just keep going until they circle around to the start again.

Children in cages doesn’t equal monster?
You're thinking of Obama. And Biden.

Not acknowledging racial inequality? Welcoming the support of hate groups?
Hillary Clinton was the one endorsed by the KKK, not Trump, and there is no racial inequality in America, other than Affirmative Action, which is racial inequality against White People, Jews, and Asians.

Defunding of necessary programs for personal financial gain?
Didn't happen.

Mishandling a health crises?
He literally shut the borders to stop it and they called him racist for doing that much.

Making fun of handicapped people?
Didn't happen.

Calling KKK members good people?
To misquote Based Dilbert Merchant: The biggest lie in American Political History.

Appointment friends and family and donors to high ranking political positions?
Same thing every single politician has done since forever?

Sending in the national guard on American protestors?
Literally didn't happen, and I know, because I had a bottle of Burbon ready for the first squad of commies to get their teeth knocked in and have had blue balls for 2 months now over it.

But yeah, as mentioned, you can knock down every single one of these lies and they'll just bring up more and eventually circle around back to the top of the list. It's more fun to start reading this list off to them verbatim instead.

Trump Administration Accomplishments | The White House

Almost 4 million jobs created since election. More Americans are now employed than ever recorded before in our history. We have created more than 400,000 m

www.whitehouse.gov

Or this one:

President Donald J. Trump's Accomplishments List

MAGAPILL Archives President Donald J. Trump's accomplishments in order to preserve his legacy.

www.magapill.com

 

[XYZpdq]

Especially given that they're literally marking Republican ballots.

You mean that closed primary ballot from a mess of pages ago?

https://kiwifarms.st/threads/2020-u-s-presidential-election.53249/page-307#post-7117715

 

[jje100010001]

Yeah, realistically Biden needs to win Florida or he's fucked.

Even Florida isn't enough on it's own.

IMO Pennsylvania is the lynchpin, and will determine whether or not it’ll be an early night or a nail biter.

Florida is reasonably safe for Trump, but attention needs to be paid to the Rust Belt states he picked up in 2016.

 

[Meat Target]

IMO Pennsylvania is the lynchpin, and will determine whether or not it’ll be an early night or a nail biter.

Florida is reasonably safe for Trump, but attention needs to be paid to the Rust Belt states he picked up in 2016.

Also Arizona. They're pushing hard not only for Biden there, but also for Mark Kelly, so that AZ will have 2 blue Senators.

 

[liquidmegan]

Also Arizona. They're pushing hard not only for Biden there, but also for Mark Kelly, so that AZ will have 2 blue Senators.

Arizona is still pretty red, (60% of the voters voted for ice cream man for Governor) it's just Martha Mcsally has a problem not unlike Hillary Clinton: nobody is excited to vote for her, but it's HER TURN so she's the candidate being run.

 

[Meat Target]

Arizona is still pretty red, (60% of the voters voted for ice cream man for Governor) it's just Martha Mcsally has a problem not unlike Hillary Clinton: nobody is excited to vote for her, but it's HER TURN so she's the candidate being run.

RazorFist, a Zonie, claims McSally lost to Kirsten Sinema because they kept "emergency polling stations" in the Phoenix area open for several days after election day, which tipped the scales in Sinema's favor. That, and McSally has so far had to work within Arizona GOP, where the ghost of John McCain lingers.

 

[heyitsmike]

Arizona is still pretty red, (60% of the voters voted for ice cream man for Governor) it's just Martha Mcsally has a problem not unlike Hillary Clinton: nobody is excited to vote for her, but it's HER TURN so she's the candidate being run.

Fortunately for her, she's on the same ballot as Trump this time, unlike in 2018.

But for the love of all that is good and holy Arizona, primary her ass out next time. Though I'm not sure their conservatives have the testicular fortitude in them, seeing as how they gave us McCain and Flake.

 

[Candlelight Desolation]

Also Arizona. They're pushing hard not only for Biden there, but also for Mark Kelly, so that AZ will have 2 blue Senators.

Arizona will stay red. The Democratic Party keeps throwing a lot of money at it to get it to flip every cycle, and it never does. I feel as if the real important states to watch will be Florida and the Rust Belt.

 

[Meat Target]

Arizona will stay red. The Democratic Party keeps throwing a lot of money at it to get it to flip every cycle, and it never does. I feel as if the real important states to watch will be Florida and the Rust Belt.

But they're also throwing California migrants at Arizona too.