2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[TwinkLover6969]

I think I finally saw a Biden sticker on a car!
It was like the GI Joe logo and said GOJOE2020. Took me a second to figure it's probably for Biden. At first I assumed it was some GI Joe thing

that's because its a rip off of gi joe

 

[Jarolleon]

I guess people don't remember 2015 that well. 2015-2016 was the year when a lot of things changed politically. As much as a meme Bernie is today as well as his supporters, you have to remember that back before Trump there were a lot of disenfranchised voters who were usually moderate Democrats but with the advent of the culture war felt themselves abandoned. I should know since I was one of them.

Look back on a lot of 2015-2016 videos from people like Sargon, Louis le Vau, etc. I know, I know, but seriously, its showed us a trend from people that called themselves liberal or center-left back then that were looking for a reason to keep that description. The Karen wokes were all in for Hillary in 2016. Bernie in 2015 was a lot different than the Bernie today, he still hadn't swallowed the Woke Kool-Aid and a lot of voters who were into the culture war, as autistic as it was, liked him for it. After he cucked out, a lot of them outright abandoned the left and became unironic conservatives. We didn't leave the left, the left left us and spat in our face as they did so. Some voted Trump just as a fuck you to the left and many of us became right wingers.

That's the sad thing about the conservative resurgance in a lot of countries. They didn't become popular again because they've been great on the economy or immigration, or fuck, anything. It's just that the left shat the bed so hard that it became impossible to think of voting for anything but the right. Trump is not great, and Boris Johnson is a cuck, but voting for the alternative is unfathomable.

Or maybe Sargon et al. is what happens when you have a bunch of nerdy guys who are vaguely left-leaning due to their cultural milieu encountering ideologues trying to guilt trip them because they were seen as an easy conquest. Some are repulsed by it (like Sargon) and others go along with it and become the soyboy stereotype.

 

[Salubrious]

Harris has all that cop/prosecutor shit in her past and the right is pulling some "She ain't eligible!" shit instead of pointing fingers at the one thing that might turn dems off of her and Joe... The fuck?

I honestly don't think they are.

I think the MSM is finding one or two crazy people saying it, and then trying to project that "birther" rumor on Trump. Trump flat out said he had never heard of those rumors and they still reported that he started them.

 

[heyitsmike]

FiveThirtyEight still needs to get at least one conservative on their damn staff. And fire Lee Drutman. Preferably both. This guy is the dumbest of all the writers there.

Point 1 is so retarded I don't even know how to approach a rebuttal.

As for point 2, in what universe are Trump supporters less likely to vote at all because they were not able to vote in person? People will be going out to the polls in their Easter suits and dresses since they didn't get a chance to wear them this year.

Does FiveThirtyEight have a single person who has ever even met a conservative once?

 

[RockPaper]

Point 1 is so retarded I don't even know how to approach a rebuttal.

Biden supporters aren't even that enthused about voting for Biden at all, but now they're "super-aware" of how they absolutely need to vote early. Mmm-hmm.

Anti-Trump political 'issues" are lucky if they stay in the news cycle for 24 hours before they're shrieking about the next thing. But super-aware Biden voters will supposedly be thinking about the USPS in late October and get reallly motivated. Whatever.

 

[heyitsmike]

Biden supporters aren't even that enthused about voting for Biden at all, but now they're "super-aware" of how they absolutely need to vote early.

The argument he's basically making is that Biden supporters will be so pissed they can't mail in their ballots that they'll physically go to the polls instead.

Even if 100% of Biden supporters did that, Trump would be no worse off because all those people were voting by mail anyway. I doubt 100% are the type to go through the trouble, because if they were, they'd probably vote in person in the first place. And I certainly doubt that someone who wasn't going to vote anyway would be so outraged about something they weren't going to do, that they get off their asses and physically go to the polls.

It's just such a remarkably stupid theory it could only come from someone in academia.

 

[RockPaper]

You're more likely to say something stupid when you're deliberately spinning and wish-casting. "I have to make up something about how this is good for Biden, because I really, really want it to be."

 

[1Tonka_Truck]

I think I finally saw a Biden sticker on a car!
It was like the GI Joe logo and said GOJOE2020. Took me a second to figure it's probably for Biden. At first I assumed it was some GI Joe thing

I saw one last week at a red light. I had to stare at it for a moment as well.

 

[I'd abeeb bear]

I think I finally saw a Biden sticker on a car!
It was like the GI Joe logo and said GOJOE2020. Took me a second to figure it's probably for Biden. At first I assumed it was some GI Joe thing

I've seen one single sign for Biden being put up in my town by someone with out-of-state plates.

 

[UselessIdiot]

Biden supporters aren't even that enthused about voting for Biden at all, but now they're "super-aware" of how they absolutely need to vote early. Mmm-hmm.

Anti-Trump political 'issues" are lucky if they stay in the news cycle for 24 hours before they're shrieking about the next thing. But super-aware Biden voters will supposedly be thinking about the USPS in late October and get reallly motivated. Whatever.

Biden has much less enthusiasm than Clinton had, and Kopmala doesn't help him either. If they couldn't be bothered all that much to get Hillary to victory last time with all the early voting, how in the hell would Sleepy Joe accomplish that this election?

If Biden wins, it's because he received enough moderate/Independent white voters that went Trump or third-party last time.

 

[Harvey Danger]

As for point 2, in what universe are Trump supporters less likely to vote at all because they were not able to vote in person? People will be going out to the polls in their Easter suits and dresses since they didn't get a chance to wear them this year.

Does FiveThirtyEight have a single person who has ever even met a conservative once?

Motherfucker, I'm taking off work to go vote in person then stick around to observe, and I don't even like Trump.

Biden has much less enthusiasm than Clinton had, and Kopmala doesn't help him either. If they couldn't be bothered all that much to get Hillary to victory last time with all the early voting, how in the hell would Sleepy Joe accomplish that this election?

The theory is it's easier to get unenthusiastic, lazy, low-turnout voters to vote through the mail, than it is to get them to drive to a polling place and wait in line. Mailing in a form is less effort than physically driving and takes less time, so lowering the threshold captures more votes at the margin.

It's not an unreasonable assumption, actually. It does assume your voting blocs are the laziest and least patient blocs of society, of course. But hey, Democrats, no contradiction there.

If Biden wins, it's because he received enough moderate/Independent white voters that went Trump or third-party last time.

Yep, that's the key bloc Trump needs to keep. 3rd parties flamed out hard last time and are a non-entity this year, so the disillusioned Independents need a different option. Trump had a 5 point lead in Independents last time, any reduction there puts state-specific margins in jeopardy.

It's also why I predicted Kamala Harris as a good choice. She appeals exactly to that demographic, even at the expense of the progressives, whose votes are already locked up.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

Remember, Polls are bullshit, and CNN's polls are extra bullshit with corn.

...

BUT.

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1295200301167915008

https://archive.vn/sE5Qp

https://archive.vn/TB07T

Trump is now within the Margin of Error of Brain Dead Biden.

 

[Shroom King]

I really hope they put him in jail in Sturgis with all the pissed-off bikers who had their party time ruined due to a DUI. I really, really hope so.

 

[RedStorm]

CNN/SSRS polls in 2018 frequently overestimated Dem performance from 5-10+%. That new poll is great news for Trump unless it's deliberately set up so that it shows a huge Dem bounce after the convention. If not, it could suggest that *Trump is actually in the lead in the popular vote right now* because if you apply an adjustment to compensate for how wrong CNN/SSRS polls were in 2018, Trump has at least a +1 lead.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

CNN/SSRS polls in 2018 frequently overestimated Dem performance from 5-10+%. That new poll is great news for Trump unless it's deliberately set up so that it shows a huge Dem bounce after the convention. If not, it could suggest that *Trump is actually in the lead in the popular vote right now* because if you apply an adjustment to compensate for how wrong CNN/SSRS polls were in 2018, Trump has at least a +1 lead.

One thing that's been constantly pointed out is that CNN polls are actively used to try and deflate the impact of other polls. If Trump has a good poll elsewhere, CNN will show up with a bad one so the narrative can be maintained. It was obvious enough that Trump even tweeted about it.

Makes me wonder if there's some really good polls coming out soon, or if Antifa trying to fight a civil war is helping him THAT much, or if there's some sort of plan (like you mentioned, a DNC bounce after the convention).

 

[FunPosting101]

I'm firmly of the opinion that you shouldn't trust the polls, especially with a contentious president like Trump, that said, that doesn't mean that a CNN poll(that is typically biased in favor of the Democrats) showing Trump within the margin of error isn't cause for some small amount of excitement. I mean sure, it could be part of some longer-term plot or some shit, but it could also be proof that even the mainstream press can't maintain this idiotic "Biden will totally win in a landslide you guiz!" narrative anymore.

 

[Bunny Tracks]

Dr. Grande just did a video on whether, or not Biden has dementia.

tl;dr-Biden might be stupid, but he's not suffering from dementia. He'd be functioning a lot worse if he was.

 

[Garm]

Dr. Grande just did a video on whether, or not Biden has dementia.

tl;dr-Biden might be stupid, but he's not suffering from dementia. He'd be functioning a lot worse if he was.

The choices are Biden is too autistic to understand how other people perceive him or he's got dementia.

I'm leaning towards dementia and Biden's on every experimental drug that fights dementia so they can goose out a few months before he is put into a nursing home for fist fighting an imaginary Corn Pop.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

Dr. Grande just did a video on whether, or not Biden has dementia.

tl;dr-Biden might be stupid, but he's not suffering from dementia. He'd be functioning a lot worse if he was.

There is absolutely no way someone can watch Biden and NOT think there is something seriously fucking wrong with him. He can't even complete a sentence without aid. If it's not dementia then I don't know what it is, but I'm going to call it dementia because I don't want to memorize some fancy latin that means "dementia."

 

[babadook]

I don't want to memorize some fancy latin that means "dementia."

"Dementia" is latin lol https://www.etymonline.com/word/dementia