Just remember not to fall into the democrat's racist Latino trap, namely that all Hispanic people are the same. This is obvious for Florida, but it holds true demographically and culturally in Arizona, Texas, Colorado, and New Mexico. Texas' hispanic population is not as young or new to the country as New Mexico's, and Arizona has suffered in recent years from immigration and Californication. Latinos in New Mexico will not vote the same way as Latinos in Texas who will not vote the same way as Hispanics in Florida.
Regardless, it's still a bad sign for Biden.
Fair point. I definitely think Trump will get over 35% of the Hispanic vote nationwide though I am going to wait and see if he reaches 40%+ like he claims it will. It's worth noting that Arizonian Hispanics voted 31% for Trump, Texans Hispanics voted 34% for Trump, New Mexico Hispanics voted 33% for Trump, and Colorado voted 30% for Trump, all better than the 29% nationwide average. Granted, that doesn't seem like much, but had they been in the low twenties like Pennsylvania (which has a small population in comparison), Texas, Arizona, and Florida would all be blue by now. If anything, it's like you said, that culture determines how they may vote in elections.
As for New Mexico's population not being as old as Texas's,
6.9% of the population was Hispanic in 1910 (
archive), barely below that of 7.1% in Texas. Funny enough, Arizona's Hispanic population in that year was around the same as their population in 2012, but there was a decline until 1970. I'd imagine that even if you factor New Mexico's decline from 1940-1960, fifty years would show whenever or not second-gen natives and above vote more Republicans but I haven't come across any exit polls comparing immigrants to non-immigrants voters.
That said, you brought up a good point regarding immigration and Californication in Arizona. I still think he'll take Arizona if he gets 40%+ of Hispanics over there, but I still think it will eventually turn blue due to cultural shifts. Texas and Florida have a better chance of remaining light red or purple states, but time remains to be seen on that.
Speaking of Biden, that takes me back to when the guy who helped outreached Hispanics in Sanders campaign in California and Texas warned Democrats that they were losing the Hispanic vote. The lack of enthusiasm among Hispanics for Biden is real, espeically when the DNC went all in on Black Lives Matter.
And this is his 3rd {4th? Info me on '08} presidential election rodeo, with this one being his best yet all because Kamala is retard with an abyssmal record, and with the Obama hype, the establishment powers up above said "Might as well?"
Look at this shit:
View attachment 1584113
1988 Democratic National Convention:
View attachment 1584227
Biden ran in 2008, but dropped out during the primary. He never did very well and I'm not sure if he even made it to Iowa.
www.jpost.com
