- Joined
- Jan 15, 2019
These polls seem to favor the Orange Man, but I wouldn't be so sure unless I get a full amount of the people surveyed and not just percentages.
2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.
- Thread starter Pickle Dick
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- Aug 11, 2020
Baris keeps insisting that Trump is blowing out northern MN and the Iron range. They say he is also going betterin Twin Cities/ Minneapolis. He said Barnes is right that all Iron Range countys could flip. MN might be the path to Trump's win because of these mail-in ballots due to MN's extremely high voter turnout and low fraud culture.
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- Jun 18, 2018
Glad to see Richard Baris / People's Pundit get attention here. A lot of people who need to know about him still don't know about him. The guy is who Nate Silver is supposed to be.
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- Jan 15, 2019
Damn, that's kind of a big-ass gap in cookies.
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- Feb 28, 2019
...I swear to god, if there's not a reckoning for Twitter after this election...
Edit: Sorry did I say "Twitter?" I meant "Twitter and Facebook and Google and..."
When did a bunch of autistic soy filled faggots in the deepest blue part of California decide they had the right to decide our elections more than we do, and why haven't we hung them for it yet?
- Joined
- Aug 11, 2020
Honest to God, I wonder why Trump doesn't just sick Pajeet Pai on their asses. Maybe because it would open a can of worms that you can't open. Still, there has to be something he can do to fix this obvious one way biased shit and not just "closely moniter" it.
It really fucking sucks that Trump has to depend on his Pennsylvania numbers to exceed the fraud they produce in Philly in 3 days, Minnesota, a state that hasn't voted Republican in half a century, and Arizona and NH, two states that we are currently in the dark about. This election really might come down to the debates + the vaccine coming before November.
Less dooming, more info.
- Joined
- Jun 28, 2020
So the Rust Belt poll is coming out later today at The Epoch Times. Keep an eye on Richard Baris's Twitter when he releases the results.
Not to say that I don't have my own issues with the poll itself - there's no reason why Hispanics should not at least be its own category and Jo Jorgensen warrants her own category since she will grab at least 1% of the vote. But at the same time, they could be closer to the final result than we think. Trump needs to improve his margin with white voters even if I think they're better than what Rasmussen is showing here.
IMO, the order is Ohio, Iowa, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
I do agree that Trump has few paths to victory without Minnesota. If that state falls, so does Wisconsin and Michigan and Trump has to keep Pennsylvania and grab either New Hampshire or Arizona.
Good thing Trump is beating Biden when it comes to who they trust with the economy more though. Trump lost that to Clinton and he still won the election.
The Rasmussen poll polled 2500 people that are considered to be likely voters. The sampling error is +/-2% with a 95% level of confidence. It's like what Baris is saying, Biden needs those unlikely voters to win and he only gets them through unsolicited mail-in ballot.
Not to say that I don't have my own issues with the poll itself - there's no reason why Hispanics should not at least be its own category and Jo Jorgensen warrants her own category since she will grab at least 1% of the vote. But at the same time, they could be closer to the final result than we think. Trump needs to improve his margin with white voters even if I think they're better than what Rasmussen is showing here.
I want to see the results for myself but if that is true, I may file Minnesota under Likely Trump. I don't agree with Baris that Pennsyvlania is Trump's 3rd best state in the Rust Belt since Minnesota has a higher percentage of white voters and what he has hinted are increased turnouts for him in Minnesota. Plus low fraud culture makes me think Trump will flip the state at a higher percentage than Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, possibly combined.
IMO, the order is Ohio, Iowa, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
I do agree that Trump has few paths to victory without Minnesota. If that state falls, so does Wisconsin and Michigan and Trump has to keep Pennsylvania and grab either New Hampshire or Arizona.
I'll echo the sentiment someone else expressed here, but I hate this election so much. We have never seen such a brazen election interference in this country's history and it's obvious why. The moment Trump leaves office, they are going to come for us.
Vaccines, maybe. The debates, no outside possibly the Harris vs. Pence VP debate no one pays attention to. Everyone hoping for a Trump blowout in what will be rigged up and down for Sleepy Joe will be disappointed. We're not going to get Biden saying "Nigger", we're not going to get a meltdown. We just have to hope Trump doesn't fall for a kafka trap during those three debates.
Good thing Trump is beating Biden when it comes to who they trust with the economy more though. Trump lost that to Clinton and he still won the election.
- Joined
- Jul 17, 2019
If a Corona doommonger who wants to rebuiId their wealth votes for Biden, who said and means to raise taxes and not cut them while the pandemic is still in a craze, I don't know what to say.
- Joined
- Dec 13, 2019
It's good to see some proof in polls that Corona-Chan hysteria is finally dying down. If it becomes a fringe topic like I expect by November, I'm 99% confident Trump wins barring late disaster surprise. It's really the only thing Biden has going for him currently besides Orange Man Bad!
- Joined
- Apr 16, 2019
Like I said, the numbers they're seeing must be way worse than what they're releasing.
RockPaper
kiwifarms.net
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- Jan 6, 2020
How do you say "too little too late" in dried-up Crone-speak?
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- Aug 16, 2020
There will be people who use this to say democrats good and then forget that it took months for them to even acknowledge it on any level except local, where it was allowed to run rampant.
People will quickly forget that the democrats, as a party, fueled these riots and are complicit in the destruction of lives and property.
RockPaper
kiwifarms.net
- Joined
- Jan 6, 2020
People who are persuadable won't forget. The water-carriers are already voting for the D anyway.
- Joined
- Jan 15, 2019
Even if you can argue that Trump didn't do much until the middle of summer instead of just tweeting LAW AND ORDER, at least he actively called out the riots from the beginning. Dems had to wait until after their convention. LMAO.
- Joined
- Dec 13, 2019
I don't think their internal numbers are significantly worse. It's not that the cronies working for them suddenly know what they're doing and aren't biased themselves.
It's plain to see in polling data that riots, police, law and order, etc... are a losing topic for Democrats that enabled this mess. How our (((elite powers))) didn't see this coming is hard to understand, but I suppose the divide between us really is that stark.
- Joined
- Jul 7, 2020
The golem escaped the control of its masters and now smashes buildings like a flailing toddler whenever some criminal gets arrested or ventilated. It's called hubris, and its the liberal's greatest hamartia.
- Joined
- Jul 20, 2020
They just had the hubris that they could pin any divisiveness and all bad things that happen on Trump. They don't know how many people are sick of living under the boot of leftist bullshit though and see through it.
- Joined
- Feb 28, 2019
This reply to Cernovich talking about that is the best single image reply you could ask for.
So if it's happening as Coronavirus is fading and no longer a top issue for moderates, and it's dragging the left down, the question becomes, can the DNC memory hole Antifa and BLM and the Riots in the next 6 weeks?
Tick Tock, Nancy. Fun reminder: Biden isn't even campaigning in most states. Hell, outside of walking distance from his house he's not doing much of anything.
If they manage to steal this, I honestly don't think we're going to have a republic left afterwards.
- Joined
- Aug 11, 2020
People are talking about the PA Supreme Court decisions. They upheld the 3 days to mail in vote but also banned ballot harvesting by 3rd parties. The people need to send their own ballots out to count. If they are not sending shit by the election date, why would they care to send it after? Because Drumph is winning? Then people on the fence/ Trump supporters who forgot see it and break for Trump? Too many hypotheticals, not enough data.
Wonder how this evens out.
Wonder how this evens out.
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- Jul 17, 2019
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