2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[spiritofamermaid]

Just trust Nate! He is showing the Democratic shift drowning Drumph's chances.
View attachment 1640454
And here they are when comparing to 2016's results. Biden BTFO Trump in a 400+ EV landslide!
View attachment 1640455
This fucker is crazy. This is predicting Obama turnout for Biden AND a 10+% advantage in the popular vote. You can tell because some of the biggest shifts are in Southern states because "muh 90+% black turnout" is in effect. Not going to happen.

>Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi blue
I... I really have no words

 

[MrJokerRager]

>Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi blue
I... I really have no words

Something tells me Nate Silver has never literally and unironically traveled outside his safe space liberal bubble.

 

[CrippleThreat]

The Michigan Supreme Court (4-3 Republican) just stripped Whitmer of her emergency COVID authority, and Governor Whitmer proceeded to say on CNN that: "Michiganders have an opportunity to weigh in on our Supreme Court on this Nov. 3 ballot," and "I'm hoping they elect (Bridget) McCormack and (Elizabeth) Welch because we've got to have justices who do the right thing and follow the rule of law."

How much of this election is going to be a de facto referendum on masks and other COVID mandates?

If Trump wins, I expect to see her either voted out of power and / or she'll become the new Clinton or Harris, and be her turn'd into political spotlight for the Dems.

 

[heyitsmike]

Just trust Nate! He is showing the Democratic shift drowning Drumph's chances.
View attachment 1640454
And here they are when comparing to 2016's results. Biden BTFO Trump in a 400+ EV landslide!
View attachment 1640455
This fucker is crazy. This is predicting Obama turnout for Biden AND a 10+% advantage in the popular vote. You can tell because some of the biggest shifts are in Southern states because "muh 90+% black turnout" is in effect. Not going to happen.

 

[spiritofamermaid]

How did he win Michigan in 2016 then, also Bernie won that state in 2016 as well. For 2020, I believe Bernie lost it to Biden because of the Idpol and abandoning many key positions that made him popular against Hillary in 2016 like suddenly embracing open borders and helping illegal aliens with free healthcare and abandoning the defense of the 2nd amendment.

As a former BernieBro, I can attest to this. Purely anecdotal, so idk if it means much, but Bernie in 2016 was similar to Trump, calling out the same/similar problems, except that he said the solution was more government rather than private industry. When Bernie cucked, it blackpilled a lot of my friends, and increased their hate for Hillary (to whom this was really their first introduction to her).

When Bernie was back in 2020, some were a little excited for him to be back (though they admitted worry that "the system" would screw him over again). But then they were listening to him and when he started with his IdPol, they were /pissed/. They had been feeling the effects of it in their workplace since 2016, and so to hear him spout that stuff (as well as his pro-immigration hurting their worker beliefs) made them drop him like a hot potato.

They went to Tulsi (even I personally think she's nuts), and when she got shafted they told me they're just checking out of the election.

I brought up the idea of voting Trump as an anti-establishment vote, but to them the idea of voting R is anathema, so they're just sitting out.

It also is important to not discount the dem primary people who were "anyone but hillary". In fact, this is personally where I think part of the momentum behind socdem stuff is coming from. Instead of seeing, wow hillary was so hated people are willing to vote for a guy who has socialist leanings, they saw, there are more people who want socialism so we must push it now now now!.
As a result, it's necessary to account for the votes who were anti-Hillary only and may not vote for Trump again. After all, they might be neo libs who hated Hillary for other reasons and would vote for a different neo lib.

 

[Polyboros2]

The latest one I'm hearing is Buttigieg-Harris, and there are definitely times I think Buttigieg would be doing a lot better than Biden. Problem for the Dems is no one seized on him after Iowa or any of the other candidates and they all just coalesced around Biden. Even Bernie's supposed huge grassroots support never translated into actual votes. I just don't think 2020 was originally going to be the Dems' year, they had no one that could've taken on the juggernaut of Trump before 2020 started flipping everything on its head.

Buttchug is a terrible pick, they are concerned about the black vote and 12 years ago California outlawed gay marriage thanks to blacks coming out to vote for Obama. I doubt enough had changed to not make it a negative at least, and out right disasterous at worst.

 

[-4ZURE-]

As a former BernieBro, I can attest to this. Purely anecdotal, so idk if it means much, but Bernie in 2016 was similar to Trump, calling out the same/similar problems, except that he said the solution was more government rather than private industry. When Bernie cucked, it blackpilled a lot of my friends, and increased their hate for Hillary (to whom this was really their first introduction to her).

When Bernie was back in 2020, some were a little excited for him to be back (though they admitted worry that "the system" would screw him over again). But then they were listening to him and when he started with his IdPol, they were /pissed/. They had been feeling the effects of it in their workplace since 2016, and so to hear him spout that stuff (as well as his pro-immigration hurting their worker beliefs) made them drop him like a hot potato.

They went to Tulsi (even I personally think she's nuts), and when she got shafted they told me they're just checking out of the election.

I brought up the idea of voting Trump as an anti-establishment vote, but to them the idea of voting R is anathema, so they're just sitting out.

It also is important to not discount the dem primary people who were "anyone but hillary". In fact, this is personally where I think part of the momentum behind socdem stuff is coming from. Instead of seeing, wow hillary was so hated people are willing to vote for a guy who has socialist leanings, they saw, there are more people who want socialism so we must push it now now now!.
As a result, it's necessary to account for the votes who were anti-Hillary only and may not vote for Trump again. After all, they might be neo libs who hated Hillary for other reasons and would vote for a different neo lib.

I think this idea could work in reverse though. I believe many Bernie Bros still went with Hillary in hopes that the Dems may pursue some changes, after Bernie got screwed twice, they seem more frustrated with the party than ever. Add Tulsi and Yang on top, and that just added fuel to the fire. Seeing as Trump supporters seem to like their candidates more than establishment Dems, I am calling it now that many 2016 supporters are finally jumping ship if they have not already. At least Trump and Bernie went after the same targets in 2016. Many old supporters are pretty similar to Trump, about time they joined the fellow party that hates elites, says news is fake, etc..

Bernie also created another issue. Since he went more SJW this time around, now previous Hillary supporters are jumping to him. Remember in 2016 when he was labeled a sexist for running against Hillary? Now those people are on his side. The Dems screwed up in not having a minority candidate. Groups like Antifa and BLM are creating a woke Bernie left in response to old white man running this time. Hillary contained them previously as she would make history as a female president, but now that that representation ploy is gone, they are devolving to want the most radical change imaginable, likely from Dem’s incompetence to keep AOC and the Squad in check for 3 years. Pete likely would have been a better bet, as he could be sold on LGBT president.

I cannot see many Bernie voters going to Biden this time around. The 2016, anti-SJW ones are tired of playing games with the DNC and will likely fall back into their right-wing circle. The new crazy SJW voters are more likely to show, but they are by no means a guarantee right now, and Biden is walking a very fine line with them.

 

[Honest Coyote]

Buttchug is a terrible pick, they are concerned about the black vote and 12 years ago California outlawed gay marriage thanks to blacks coming out to vote for Obama. I doubt enough had changed to not make it a negative at least, and out right disasterous at worst.

Even ignoring the gay angle, Buttigeg could never have made it, because he's basically one of those images where they meld 100 people together to produce a bland featureless face, and has the personality to match. Seriously, name 3 personality traits he has in 1 minute. Bonus, none of them can reference his sexuality.

 

[Stoneheart]

This fucker is crazy. This is predicting Obama turnout for Biden AND a 10+% advantage in the popular vote. You can tell because some of the biggest shifts are in Southern states because "muh 90+% black turnout" is in effect. Not going to happen.

We will get 150% black turn out in some areas....

 

[DrearyDoomguy]

Ted Cruz's political career was knocking on death's door between 2016 and 2018. His 2016 Presidential campaign left a sour taste for a lot of Republicans due to his attitudes towards Trump-- attitudes that he wouldn't let go of until he finally let Trump help with his campaign only a couple of days before the election. Cruz was damaged goods until Trump helped him out, thusly leading to his redemption arc. I think that 2020 Ted Cruz would mop the floor with 2018 Beto.

Don't forget his "intern" accidentally liking a stepmother porn tweet on his official twitter account. That put him in a spotlight in a bad way. If he hadn't learned how to take himself a bit less seriously in the preceding two years, he would have been toast from that alone.

 

[tehpope]

I feel like Trump could lose. Only because everyone in the WH is getting sick from Covid. Like that feels like something that could bite him in the ass. If this had happened earlier in the year, it would be a big deal. But this close to the election, could be a game changer. I'm probably being a doomer atm.

The caveat being Biden and his team doesn't have covid. Which they could hide since they have the media in their pocket and whatnot.

 

[Puff]

Even ignoring the gay angle, Buttigeg could never have made it, because he's basically one of those images where they meld 100 people together to produce a bland featureless face, and has the personality to match. Seriously, name 3 personality traits he has in 1 minute. Bonus, none of them can reference his sexuality.

A big problem with politicians is that having a personality helps at the bottom, hurts in the middle, and helps at the top. The Prez, speakers, and possibly senators need to be more than bland stacks of policy talking points. In the house, that shit will get you singled out.

 

[Iceland Heavy]

I feel like Trump could lose. Only because everyone in the WH is getting sick from Covid. Like that feels like something that could bite him in the ass. If this had happened earlier in the year, it would be a big deal. But this close to the election, could be a game changer. I'm probably being a doomer atm.

The caveat being Biden and his team doesn't have covid. Which they could hide since they have the media in their pocket and whatnot.

I think the one that could really come back to haunt Trump is the GOP senators getting covid. I was going doomer about Trump having it earlier and while I now cautiously think he'll ultimately beat it and possibly turn it to his advantage the Democrats only gain from GOP senators being sick. Especially if it manages to hold up ACB's nomination or one of the senators gets really unlucky and actually dies from it.

 

[tehpope]

Knowing Trump and how he has such good luck, he might win. But only by the skin of his teeth. A lot of close races.

But all these Trump supporters showing support in public, even in Blue states, gives me hopes this won't be as bad as I'm thinking it will be.

 

[GuntPunt]

>Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi blue
I... I really have no words

Something tells me Nate Silver has never literally and unironically traveled outside his safe space liberal bubble.

View attachment 1642830

DISREGARD THAT I CANT DO MATH

Accidently doubled the swing. Here is the actual map. Still it shows NC and FL and even fucking Ohio as blue. Its complete bullshit.

The only thing worse than my map is that some people genuinely think it will happen because Blumph can't win. Also, people are ignoring the hidden Jeb! vote that will carry him to a 50 state landslide.

 

[heyitsmike]

I think the one that could really come back to haunt Trump is the GOP senators getting covid. I was going doomer about Trump having it earlier and while I now cautiously think he'll ultimately beat it and possibly turn it to his advantage the Democrats only gain from GOP senators being sick. Especially if it manages to hold up ACB's nomination or one of the senators gets really unlucky and actually dies from it.

Nothing but the second coming will prevent this confirmation. It's a done deal.

 

[HTTP Error 404]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1313186529058136070

The COVID19 only made him stronger.

 

[Kari Kamiya]

Lol couldn't take a pic where I am in my grandparents' car but I just saw a vandalized Trump sign on a street corner that had a giant "RAPIST" spraypainted on it, but it's in pink lettering (maybe sun bleached, too) and the sign lettering still bled through so I had to squint to make sure . Grandma thought it said "fraud", but still thinks it ridiculous.

My other grandparent's neighborhood has a lot of houses just on her block alone decked out in Trump signs and flags, and it's in a relatively poor area on the outskirts of Mesa. I don't recall ever seeing this same enthusiasm with Obama, and the only time lately I've been seeing anything for Biden was through Hulu ads, which talk about a "plan" that's already been debunked through the debate.

Gonna be an interesting election night, I tell you hwat.

 

[MrJokerRager]

Lol couldn't take a pic where I am in my grandparents' car but I just saw a vandalized Trump sign on a street corner that had a giant "RAPIST" spraypainted on it, but it's in pink lettering (maybe sun bleached, too) and the sign lettering still bled through so I had to squint to make sure . Grandma thought it said "fraud", but still thinks it ridiculous.

My other grandparent's neighborhood has a lot of houses just on her block alone decked out in Trump signs and flags, and it's in a relatively poor area on the outskirts of Mesa. I don't recall ever seeing this same enthusiasm with Obama, and the only time lately I've been seeing anything for Biden was through Hulu ads, which talk about a "plan" that's already been debunked through the debate.

Gonna be an interesting election night, I tell you hwat.

There is a new poll out, Biden is leading Trump in Arizona by 8 points.

Seriously though if all these polls are true then White America is truly been cucked by Soros.

 

[RockPaper]

One way you know the polls are wrong is the absurdity of the margins. Showing Joe slightly ahead might be defensible, and you can't just run around calling them fake. But this bullshit we're actually seeing is obvious nonsense.