2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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You're putting the cart before the horse.

You need 3/4 of the states for a constitutional amendment. How on earth are you going to get 38 states to agree to that? If there existed that kind of bipartisanship to protect the size of the court, we wouldn't need a constitutional amendment to protect the size of the court in the first place.
Which means in order to compete republicans have to do the same.
 

Get your Hat ratings ready cause I'm going to do by best not to Glowpost. The only thing Cuomo should be considered for is a (perfectly legal, carried out by the government after full due process) firing squad. Motherfucker killed more people than 9/11 with the retirement home mandates. He and Whitmer and anyone slightly connected to those decisions in their administration should be taken to criminal and civil court, but the only people that would pay is the taxpayer and not those personally responsible.

I simplified the chart to just states that can be easily compared between 2016 and 2020. I guess I can call this some sort of whitepill as Trump has definitely seen his popularity rise to levels like we have never seen before.

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I feel like that's not a great metric for the excitement of his base, since in 2016 there were other (not laughingstock) candidates. For example, if he got 500,000 votes in state A and got 720,000 votes this year, it's not a great metric if in 2016 Cruz got 300,000 votes. Maybe him still pulling larger numbers in a(n essentially) uncontested primary is a good sign, maybe not. However if Cruz got 100,000 votes in hypothetical state, and Trump got those plus more votes than were cast in 2016, even though him winning was a certainty, that could be a very good sign for
 
Get your Hat ratings ready cause I'm going to do by best not to Glowpost. The only thing Cuomo should be considered for is a (perfectly legal, carried out by the government after full due process) firing squad. Motherfucker killed more people than 9/11 with the retirement home mandates. He and Whitmer and anyone slightly connected to those decisions in their administration should be taken to criminal and civil court, but the only people that would pay is the taxpayer and not those personally responsible.



I feel like that's not a great metric for the excitement of his base, since in 2016 there were other (not laughingstock) candidates. For example, if he got 500,000 votes in state A and got 720,000 votes this year, it's not a great metric if in 2016 Cruz got 300,000 votes. Maybe him still pulling larger numbers in a(n essentially) uncontested primary is a good sign, maybe not. However if Cruz got 100,000 votes in hypothetical state, and Trump got those plus more votes than were cast in 2016, even though him winning was a certainty, that could be a very good sign for
Cruz usually beat Trump in Caucuses otherwise Trump dominated the primaries. If 2016 was all primary then we could even get a way better idea.

Obama in the 2012 primaries ran uncontested and didn't have high numbers behind him whereas the Nevertrumpers threatening Trump lead to Trump's base coming out for the primaries.
 
"It's kinda boring out here."
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I mean for one thing, it's Arizona. Nothing amazing ever happens out here, so that's the understatement of the century.

Two, museums are sadly not attracting patrons, and with the restrictions on social distancing in place, I'm legit shocked museums are even still functioning at this point. Especially since this is Phoenix, and that's pretty empty in a usually-busy Phoenix area.

Three, lol of course the campaign had to pick the Heard Museum, known for exhibiting American Indian art even though other natural history museums in the state exhibit them, too. "Look at me, Injuns, I love your culture. I respect it, oh how I do." (Note: the Heard Museum is not a bad museum whatsoever, and its efforts to preserve American Indian culture have not gone in vain. It's just that the projection of the Biden campaign is just so bright that you have to keep your sunglasses on inside.)

Reminded me to check very quick, and I'm sad the Arizona Museum of Natural History is still closed. Wish they'd fix the dinosaur animatronics, though, give us a welcome surprise upon reopening to see Dinosaur Mountain be alive again.

So I saw a Trump 2020 face mask yesterday when the family and I went out to lunch, and it got me thinking how many Biden/Harris 2020 masks are actually walking around out in the wild. The woman wearing the mask was clearly wearing it with pride, and this being a red area anyway, nobody chimped out for the world to see. Doubt anyone will chimp out at someone wearing a Biden mask out here, either. Probably is more rare than bumper stickers, really am just not seeing a whole lot of Biden support anywhere I go, but there's been a Trump sign on every street corner, it seems like.
 
Baris of People's Pundit might have given us a little nugget today,

Link / Archive

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We know that one of the battleground state he polled is Florida. "Now have" implies the recent past so could this second battleground be Pennsylvania, especially since he did say he would have a much better idea of how the state might go tomorrow or did he poll something else before Florida where he got similar results? If this is Pennsylvania, his live stream detailing how the state is fairing is going to be a very interesting one.
 
What does this all mean? It means that the 30 million new voters from zoomers and Millenials is NOT happening, which are required for Joe! to have his lead. This is a base election, plain and simple.

There's another interpretation, not very favorable to the Trump campaign.
I LIED IT IS NOT JOE! WHO WILL WIN, IT WILL BE JEB!
Jeb ascendant.jpg


22 days left for Jeb! shitposting, get them in while you can!
 
There's another interpretation, not very favorable to the Trump campaign.
I LIED IT IS NOT JOE! WHO WILL WIN, IT WILL BE JEB!
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22 days left for Jeb! shitposting, get them in while you can!

If I wasn't so keen on believing trump absolutely must win 2020, I'd vote for jebbers for the fun of it.
 
Where are Biden's Boundaries? Presented without comment:
even though it is unlisted, it's posted on pol now
streamable.com/dx20tf
 
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Baris of People's Pundit might have given us a little nugget today,

Link / Archive

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We know that one of the battleground state he polled is Florida. "Now have" implies the recent past so could this second battleground be Pennsylvania, especially since he did say he would have a much better idea of how the state might go tomorrow or did he poll something else before Florida where he got similar results? If this is Pennsylvania, his live stream detailing how the state is fairing is going to be a very interesting one.
Keep in mind its the Baris Barnes power hour tomorrow. Barnes is gonna ask directly about the results and Baris always gives him the goods. Should be a good show.

When looking at primary data, keep in mind that Trump has received record turnout for the incumbant president in primaries at 18.1 million votes with several larger states cancelled like Virginia, Arizona, and New York, which would probably netted him another 500k votes easy with NY alone.

Biden had more votes than Trump, at about 18.4 million, but with some caveats. All states had their elections. Also, Biden was actually on his way out until SC then he suddenly won almost everything! Wow, what a turnaround! Except it was artificial. Bootyglug, Beta and Klobuchar all dropped out and endorsed Biden on the night before Super Tuesday. Why? Because Obama called them and said to do so and stop siphoning votes or their careers are over because Bernie couldn't win. So they did and the rest is history.

Biden didn't really win THAT fair and square and got the game set up for him. Like in 2016, Bernie is universally cucked to hell and smiles as he took it. He deserves to never be president, not because of his shit policies, but because he is an enormous pussy.

Historically, incumbants with record turnout win reelection. Incumbants with higher vote counts than their opponent always have won reelection. We shall see if history holds true.
 
So according to polls, it looks like Biden's "lead" over Trump in pretty much all battleground states is larger than Hillary's lead back in 2016, and Trump won a lot of those battleground states narrowly. From what I've been seeing on online forums, lots of conservatives/MAGA people look pretty down and discouraged over them. Lots of "Well, I really dislike what I'm seeing, but I'm still going to vote ... I can't believe we're probably going to get President Biden" comments.

Those numbers also cause complacency and decrease dem turnout. If Trump tweeted something tomorrow that destroyed the reputation of the polls, and everyone believed it, the change in turnout would probably favor Biden since MAGA people will vote regardless.

Hell, if the polls were accurate, Trump might of never won 2016 to begin with,
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Keep in mind its the Baris Barnes power hour tomorrow. Barnes is gonna ask directly about the results and Baris always gives him the goods. Should be a good show.

When looking at primary data, keep in mind that Trump has received record turnout for the incumbant president in primaries at 18.1 million votes with several larger states cancelled like Virginia, Arizona, and New York, which would probably netted him another 500k votes easy with NY alone.

Biden had more votes than Trump, at about 18.4 million, but with some caveats. All states had their elections. Also, Biden was actually on his way out until SC then he suddenly won almost everything! Wow, what a turnaround! Except it was artificial. Bootyglug, Beta and Klobuchar all dropped out and endorsed Biden on the night before Super Tuesday. Why? Because Obama called them and said to do so and stop siphoning votes or their careers are over because Bernie couldn't win. So they did and the rest is history.

Biden didn't really win THAT fair and square and got the game set up for him. Like in 2016, Bernie is universally cucked to hell and smiles as he took it. He deserves to never be president, not because of his shit policies, but because he is an enormous pussy.

Historically, incumbants with record turnout win reelection. Incumbants with higher vote counts than their opponent always have won reelection. We shall see if history holds true.
Don't forget that Bernie still cucked Biden in the New York primary after he dropped out. Like Biden was not winning by 90 percent plus margins after Bernie conceded to him. Whereas Trump not only won all primaries but won them by 90 percent plus in all. Biden has not united the party despite Obama ordering everyone else to drop out. I probably should do a Bernie 2016 and 2020 primary comparison but I believe he has lost a lot of white working class people to Trump. In the state of Vermont, he won the primary by over 80 percent in 2016 and in 2020 he did win again but it was barely over 50 percent.

And Biden was also winning in states (The Solid South) that in the general will automatically to Trump. The nigger vote saved him in the primaries but its worthless in the general when we see for example in California, Bernie Sanders dominated Biden and Trump had a higher vote count total than Bernie or Biden. California will still go to Biden but I predict a lower margin of victory than Hillary.
 
Keep in mind its the Baris Barnes power hour tomorrow. Barnes is gonna ask directly about the results and Baris always gives him the goods. Should be a good show.

When looking at primary data, keep in mind that Trump has received record turnout for the incumbant president in primaries at 18.1 million votes with several larger states cancelled like Virginia, Arizona, and New York, which would probably netted him another 500k votes easy with NY alone.

Biden had more votes than Trump, at about 18.4 million, but with some caveats. All states had their elections. Also, Biden was actually on his way out until SC then he suddenly won almost everything! Wow, what a turnaround! Except it was artificial. Bootyglug, Beta and Klobuchar all dropped out and endorsed Biden on the night before Super Tuesday. Why? Because Obama called them and said to do so and stop siphoning votes or their careers are over because Bernie couldn't win. So they did and the rest is history.

Biden didn't really win THAT fair and square and got the game set up for him. Like in 2016, Bernie is universally cucked to hell and smiles as he took it. He deserves to never be president, not because of his shit policies, but because he is an enormous pussy.

Historically, incumbants with record turnout win reelection. Incumbants with higher vote counts than their opponent always have won reelection. We shall see if history holds true.
Oh no doubt. Did Baris poll North Carolina? Because KingBroly brought up that the two states Baris mentioned might be Florida and North Carolina (archive). But I'm not sure if that's the case because I don't recall Baris polling North Carolina recently, only that he's pointed out repeatedly that Republicans are closing the voting registration gap in the state.

Speaking of primary numbers, it's why I'm not worried about Biden performing slightly better than Trump, because of the reasons you just mentioned. Trump having record primary turnout for a primary incumbent is evidence that the massive enthusiasm he had in 2016 is still there in 2020 and in fact, has only grown since then. He did this with no serious challenger (lol Bill Weld) too.

Frankly, the closer we get to the election, the more I believe that Trump will win - at least before voter fraud is accounted. The only state on my initial swing state list I now consider solid blue is Oregon, whereas for Trump, I now consider Texas, Ohio, and Iowa safe states for him. If Barrett gets confirmed before Election Day - and I'm hopeful she will - then I am going to call North Carolina a lock for Trump since there is no way the DNC can win the state in a fair election.

Since I doubt another debate is happening, I expect to do my final state prediction list after Arizona close their voter registration and we find whenever or not Barrett will serve in the Supreme Court.
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Just looked at Trump's website. Tomorrow he will hit Sanford, Florida. The following day, he will go to Johnstown, Pennsylvania. Following that, he'll go to Des Moines, Iowa and then Greenville, North Carolina.

I'm guessing he wants to make at least one stop before Election Day and it's looking like he wants to make extra, extra sure he gets North Carolina, especially if Barrett falls through for whatever reason. At least he's showing up in Pennsylvania this week. We'll see if he goes anywhere on Friday. He needs to visit Arizona, and soon.
 
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Tip for the glowies watching this thread

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Next time you see a bipartisan group of Righties and Antifa plotting to do a citizen's arrest against this crazy bitch

let them

Where were you when the left decided the 250 year old deadlines for our elections were "artificial" and "optional," right after they started openly hinting that they'll just print as many ballots as needed to win?
 
Tip for the glowies watching this thread

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Next time you see a bipartisan group of Righties and Antifa plotting to do a citizen's arrest against this crazy bitch

let them

Where were you when the left decided the 250 year old deadlines for our elections were "artificial" and "optional," right after they started openly hinting that they'll just print as many ballots as needed to win?
This year has pissed me off. When does the shooting start?
 
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