2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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It looks like most of the audience want to talk about early voting impact. This is because of states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada early voting nearly as much for Republican as they do Democrats even though states with party registration preference like Pennsylvania, Florida, and North Carolina all have Democrats outperforming Republican by a huge margin (as expected). I'm disappointed that Voter Registration Impact might end up being overlooked because we have much more reliable data for that than early voting. At least we'll likely get information for the Pennsylvanian poll. Assuming no one else has done this by the time I get home, I will watch the video and point out any important information.

Tomorrow, we may finally see if Trump's odds are in his favor to keep Pennsylvania or not. Which is important because if it is not, then he will have to count on Minnesota, New Hampshire, and/or Wisconsin to pull him through and Michigan is likely out of the picture.
 
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Cuomo is a regular evil fuck no doubt. However he isn't into the whole tyranny of the moral busybodies thing that Whitner is getting her rocks off in engaging.
Cuomo allowed NYC, the de facto capital of the US and international financial center, to turn into a ghost town in less than six months. With remote work a reality I doubt NYC is coming back. So yes, Cuomo is an absolute failure and destructive clown who fucked up not only a state but the country's financial industry.
 
I mean Cuomo has been engaging in tyranny for years and has been a cunt along with that piece of shit De Blasio who ruined NYC more than any other mayor.

It doesn't help that I live in the state with these assholes in power, and that Cuomo was so bad that a Bernie socialist was a better alternative than him.
It does kind of hurt the cause to overthrow him if one of the challengers had a new age kooky name. As for Cynthia Nixon, I believe she lost because Cuomo managed to get some bridges open and people's tax refunds returned fast. Also it was during the 2018 midterms where Trump hate was high in blue states.

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Link / Archive

It looks like most of the audience want to talk about early voting impact. This is because of states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada early voting nearly as much for Republican as they do Democrats even though states with party registration preference like Pennsylvania, Florida, and North Carolina all have Democrats outperforming Republican by a huge margin (as expected). I'm disappointed that Voter Registration Impact might end up being overlooked because we have much more reliable data for that than early voting. At least we'll likely get information for the Pennsylvanian poll. Assuming no one else has done this by the time I get home, I will watch the video and point out any important information.

Tomorrow, we may finally see if Trump's odds are in his favor to keep Pennsylvania or not. Which is important because if it is not, then he will have to count on Minnesota, New Hampshire, and/or Wisconsin to pull him through and Michigan is likely out of the picture.

I would not rule out Michigan as if Trump is going to win the rust belt, he is winning all of it. And it's better too if he does. Pennsylvania seems the tricky one to me as it was probably the most unexpected of all unexpected states to flip in 2016.
 
Did that recording of Trump dropping an N-bomb ever appear? If it did I'd half expect it to sound like this...

Trump: Get that tape recorder out of my face! I'm trying to eat a delicious Trump steak, available only at The Sharper Image. What!? What do you want me to say nigger for?
 
The ACB confirmation hearings have begun.

Here's a CSPAN stream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BrkD9mfvrB8

So far the dem takes can be summarized as: (1) muh Obamacare! and (2) muh coof!
Baris is showing that the stances of both Florida and Pennsylvania on the Suprrme Court hearing for ACB are identical. 50% want a hearing.
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Note: the PA results are unweighted vs the Florida results that are.

Also he said that 2 of the states he has polled are showing conservative voters unwilling to answer. The only states he polled individually are FL and PA.
 
What happens federally when one state just decides to drag their feet? Can Michigan just grind the election to a halt by having 5 dudes do all the counting?

I believe there isn't actually a federal remedy, other than losing out on your Electoral College votes. States are allowed to run their own elections, because a lot of state and local elections also occur alongside the national races. The only thing the Constitution guarantees is a republican form of government. If a state doesn't send voters to the EC, then they don't get to cast votes on that day.

Now if the state simply refuses to certify any election results at all, that's probably a good justification for claiming they have lost a legitimate republican government, and the feds can probably intervene somehow on that account. The most obvious steps would be a Justice Department action and some lawsuits. Plus the expected lawsuits under state law; even state level courts will be eager to force a governor to stop "counting" and declare results before the federal deadline.

Florida in 2000 is the precedent here, Bush vs Gore went up to SCOTUS but it was decided at the state levels first, and the whole thing was quickly wrapped up before the EC deadline.

Of course, the Democrats only really dropped the Florida case once Bush started gaining a handful of votes with each recount to increase his margin. In the Washington governor race in 2004, they kept recounting while the Democrat was gaining votes, until she won. I'd bet Whitmer is going to make the call on how much fraud to try based on the initial margins she sees on Election Day.
 
Did that recording of Trump dropping an N-bomb ever appear? If it did I'd half expect it to sound like this...

Trump: Get that tape recorder out of my face! I'm trying to eat a delicious Trump steak, available only at The Sharper Image. What!? What do you want me to say nigger for?

No. Tom Arnold is still trying to hold it for ransom.
 
What happens federally when one state just decides to drag their feet? Can Michigan just grind the election to a halt by having 5 dudes do all the counting?

Hence why getting ACB into the SCOTUS seat before they try this shit is so important. Any bullshit they try will hit the SCOTUS and if it's 4x4 America's fucked cause it will bounce back to the corrupt state judges.
 
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The only thing stopping this man is TDS and fraud. Or the worst (and probably impossible) case scenario, low turnouts.

I am pre-emptively butthurt that Trump won't get the Reagan-like landslide he was lined up to get back in February. I won't sperg about it for the next 4 years, but I was really looking forward to the complete humiliation of the left on this one.

Also, this is your monthly reminder that Hillary Clinton won California by 4.3 million votes, while Trump won the rest of the country by 1.4 million votes. Trump won the country, Hillary won California, and all he had to do was maintain his popularity outside of the TDS stronghold to get another victory. The EC exists for exactly these scenarios.

(In case someone was wondering, you can also take out Trump's biggest state, Texas, and he still won the rest of the country by ~600k votes.)
 
I am pre-emptively butthurt that Trump won't get the Reagan-like landslide he was lined up to get back in February. I won't sperg about it for the next 4 years, but I was really looking forward to the complete humiliation of the left on this one.

Also, this is your monthly reminder that Hillary Clinton won California by 4.3 million votes, while Trump won the rest of the country by 1.4 million votes. Trump won the country, Hillary won California, and all he had to do was maintain his popularity outside of the TDS stronghold to get another victory. The EC exists for exactly these scenarios.

(In case someone was wondering, you can also take out Trump's biggest state, Texas, and he still won the rest of the country by ~600k votes.)

Speaking of which, since there is less excitement for Biden at this point.

Chances of Trump breaking the 50% popular vote ratio? The betting odds have gone against that as of late, but what do you guys think? I am thinking of putting another bet down for Trump.
 
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I am pre-emptively butthurt that Trump won't get the Reagan-like landslide he was lined up to get back in February. I won't sperg about it for the next 4 years, but I was really looking forward to the complete humiliation of the left on this one.

Also, this is your monthly reminder that Hillary Clinton won California by 4.3 million votes, while Trump won the rest of the country by 1.4 million votes. Trump won the country, Hillary won California, and all he had to do was maintain his popularity outside of the TDS stronghold to get another victory. The EC exists for exactly these scenarios.

(In case someone was wondering, you can also take out Trump's biggest state, Texas, and he still won the rest of the country by ~600k votes.)
Trump was never going to get that 49 state style win though the riots have made it somewhat possible to happen.

However I want to see him get over 70 million to break Obama's record and going by the primaries, it looks like it can become a reality if all the crackers of America don't want to become strangers in their own lands.
 
Palin saved the GOP from a total blow out...
I don't recall even normie conservatives talking positively of Palin. Plus her young daughter getting knocked up before marriage back then knocked her down even more. And SNL Tina Fey did the rest in pop culture for making her look like a total joke.

Also these two people are livestreaming.

 
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