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- Dec 15, 2018
Bernie Sanders losing in the primaries twice should be proof enough that the youth vote and social media aren't that important. I'm not saying that they don't matter at all, but they definitely will not carry you to victory.
2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.
- Thread starter Pickle Dick
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- May 16, 2019
I'm going to double down on my pre-riots prediction that the % of Bernie voters who goes to Biden will be the same % that went to Hillary (about 75%).
Actually, I think he'll pick up even more. Bernie voters in 2016 thought of themselves as anti-establishment, and were willing to give Trump a try (getting him 12%). Bernie voters in 2020 were cucks supporting a turncoat candidate, and already hated Trump. Voting for Biden is easier for them than it would've been voting for Hillary.
I just hope the exit polling covers the same question this year. It was more relevant to be asked in 2016 when the Dems only had 2 major candidates, instead of the 22 person shitshow this year.
- Joined
- Apr 24, 2020
That's actually a pretty good way to look at it. Just because the vocal minority with preferred pronouns, 100k+ Twitter followers, and a rose emoji in their handles can tweet the most inane garbage about muh Feel the Bern, muh free college, it doesn't mean they'll hold a kettle to the staggering amount of old farts who vote in massive numbers...especially given this year's two candidates.
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- May 25, 2013
Estimates seem to be putting the crowd at Trump's Sanford rally in the thousands.
- Joined
- Dec 15, 2018
Beanie Man just put out a video that basically said that Trump loving Republicans aren't afraid of COVID-19, but the Democratic politicians and media have fear mongered so hard that regular Democratic voters are afraid to leave their houses.
- Joined
- Jun 28, 2020
Now that the live stream is finished, here it is. The preliminary results for the Pennsylvania poll. Final results will be out tomorrow.
I'll reply to this post when I watch the whole thing.
I'll reply to this post when I watch the whole thing.
- Joined
- Aug 11, 2020
Interesting thing with Barnes and the Norweigen vote.
He says he is looking at ND and SD because they have a large Norweigen population, but have no other election going on like a competitive Senate seat to skew results. The results should be more organic as a result. He sees a monsterous lead in Republican early voting showing that the Norweigen vote is going hard, especially in ND, for Trump which has large ramifications for north MN and western WI and east IA.
Barnes also thinks Biden is retarded to think "MI and WI are mine, just gotta defend MN and PA due to my fracking positions!" These states historically vote together and have close margins together. They only split with an anti-war dominated vote, which in this case would benefit Trump. For him to say 2 are safe blue is Hillary tier "I don't need to visit Wisconsin" type of error.
MrJokerRager
kiwifarms.net
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- Nov 2, 2019
Does anyone have thoughts on this "MAGAnomics" livestream. It reminds me of the whole Reganomics talking point which has a negative connotation in my mind.
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- Jul 17, 2019
- Joined
- May 16, 2019
It won't ultimately matter. Reaganomics was a specific supply-side economic theory; MAGANomics is just Trump talking points, which are basic bitch economic nationalism from 60-80 years ago. Maybe the label leads to word association with Reaganomics, but there's no relation otherwise.
I don't think anyone is voting for Trump because of his comprehensive economic theory, they vote for specific things (pro-tarriff, anti-NAFTA, pro-fracking, etc). If he can get the word out on those topics, great, but I don't think that's the decision gap going on in the race right now. People are making up their mind based on Covid, the riots, and lockdowns.
PepsiVanilla
kiwifarms.net
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- Dec 20, 2019
I wonder what's going on with Indiana and Missouri. Not that I'm really worried about either of those states but still.
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- Jan 15, 2019
MrJokerRager
kiwifarms.net
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- Nov 2, 2019
Ted Cruz happened. Trump ran unopposed and I guess the religious types who like Pence and Cruz decided to stay home is my best guess otherwise Trump had over 90% vote share in the 2020 editions.
2016 United States presidential election in Missouri - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
2020 Indiana Republican presidential primary - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
2020 Missouri Republican presidential primary - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
However the GOP robbed us of a chance to see how much could Trump run up in Minnesota. They also did not hold the Arizona primary so we don't know how much of a jump would there have been as Texas had a giant jump.
It is interesting to note though that Trump is stable in Ohio. However he has probably lost enthusiasm in Massholistan, Rhode Island, Delaware and Conneticut. States where he probably wasn't going to win anyways, I would have swapped out all four worthless states for a primary in Arizona and Minnesota.
Also throw in Illinois though I am surprised his enthusiasm has gone down there, not that he was going to win there anyways.
- Joined
- Jul 17, 2019
Air Force One has landed for Trump's return!
- Joined
- Sep 29, 2020
RCP polling apparently showing that Biden is suddenly collapsing in numerous states
and RazorFist opining that there's nothing "suddenly" about it.
and RazorFist opining that there's nothing "suddenly" about it.
- Joined
- Jul 25, 2019
"Ohio, Arizona, Texas, and Georgia"
"Key battleground states"
Wew. That's a reach. Ohio certainly is, but...
- Joined
- Jun 14, 2018
Here's a fun game, look at the YouTube comments sections for any Trump ad that reaches multiple millions of views, such as this one:
What you're most likely to see is:
As an aside, Trump videos with below a million views general have much more positive comment sections.
What you're most likely to see is:
- Comments saying the ad's quality is low (I don't know why, it seems pretty ok to me)
- Comments complaining about the ad's fearmongering tone (which is pretty hilarious, considering)
- Comments about the state of the comment section
- Comments about the "horror movie trailer" vibe of the ad (which ties into the fearmongering tone)
- Comments complaining that the ad is "childish" or otherwise "unpresidential"
- General political argument autism (if you go far enough down)
As an aside, Trump videos with below a million views general have much more positive comment sections.
- Joined
- Apr 14, 2018
Texas and Georgia being battleground states is the most laughable thing I've ever read.
- Joined
- May 18, 2014
Idk, didn't Georgia almost elect that hideous and incredibly dumb nog Stacy Abrahms or wherever?
- Joined
- Jul 7, 2020
Arizona is a battleground, sort of. It's just leaning more dem every four years. Given Trafalgar's polling, it doesn't seem at the moment like it's going blue this year.
Texas and Georgia were never battlegrounds with a normal to strong republican candidate. Try again in about 12 years, dems.
Ohio is as safe as you can get for a "battleground." We'er talking more than +5 Trump. It's likely closer to +10 than +5, given Baris' polling there.
What's happening is that polls are herding and beginning to balance out just like they did in 2016. They'll never be actually accurate, but what can you do? The MSM are Biden surrogates through and through.
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