ditto
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- Aug 17, 2019
For a few months, anyway.Yep. This time the trick isn't going to work. Biden will be president.
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For a few months, anyway.Yep. This time the trick isn't going to work. Biden will be president.
His thing was he predicted one election that everybody predicted.holy shit i legit thought this was a joke, what a fucking monkey. Isn't Nate Silvers thing is that hes supposed to be good at predicting elections?
Yep. This time the trick isn't going to work. Biden will be president.
Governor is a woman (nominally)Trump probably takes it thanks to "shy bois." Governor probably fails night of because he can't predict the shy guys. If he does and it goes till Friday, SCOTUS.
Yep. This time the trick isn't going to work. Biden will be president.
So would you say that you're so sure, you'd even eat a hat if Biden loses?
If by "trick" you mean "disseminating true information to the populace" then I guess it's just down to a matter of opinion. Sounds like you're not American anyways so I don't know why you're so het up about it.Yep. This time the trick isn't going to work. Biden will be president.
I was actually thinking about your comment when you complained last month about Trump being "too economical" instead of just having a blowout when it comes to spending and aiming for historic flips like Minnesota. Aside from it working before, Baris pointed out that Trump refuses to rely on Wall Street to win re-election. Reason being is that he knows that if he takes money from them that he will have to do them favors while in office and he knows none of it involves his populist platforms. Why do you think that Biden is pledging to raise taxes and his few supporters desperately try to claim only the upper class will be affected? Because he is partially funded by Wall Street and they will want more taxes on the proletariat.I have a theory on this.
Trump doesn't campaign like a normal candidate; in 2016 he was outspent 2 to 1, got his news coverage for free by saying outrageous things, and got his actual message out through the relatively new channel of Twitter. In every media market, Clinton had more ads, more coverage, more channels; but Trump had bigger crowds and bigger "reach" by tricking the media into covering what he said. In essence, Trump ran a very efficient campaign, doing the bare minimum to achieve what he thought he needed, probably because it was his own money being spent.
The stories we see in 2020 aren't about massive, impressive media buys, like we saw for Obama or Clinton. In fact we regularly hear stories about Trump pulling ads in certain states, which looks weird. But we do get constant stories about his rallies, which are now being done relatively cheaply by pulling up Air Force One to a small stage in front of a big crowd, talking for 2 hours, then heading out.
I don't know if his campaign is reimbursing the Air Force for use of the plane while on campaign business, not sure how the campaign finance laws work for that. But he's not even bringing along the expensive Secret Service armored motorcade to these things. It's just the plane on a tarmac, always in a 2nd or 3rd tier airport that's not actually in a major city. All he's depending on is a microphone, a small ground crew to put up bleachers, and a few media outlets (like OANN, RSN, or Fox) who will broadcast the whole thing on their own dime.
Normally, you'd see these "safe" states still being blanketed with media ads right now. Trump has decided to substitute expensive ad buys with relatively cheap in-person rallies. Instead of putting his face in every commercial break in PA for a month, he's visiting roughly once a week. He's also switched from having no ground game in 2016 to massive in-person ground game in 2020; combined with the rallies, that seems like a plan to aggressively convert rally enthusiasm into actual votes.
Baris has said "he's gotta be on the road campaigning", and I think that's the strategy. I haven't seen any analysis that correlates a personal visit with an increase in the state's numbers, too much keeps happening every damn day to muddy the data. But at least that sentiment seems to reflect Trump's thinking.
If he wins a second election with low ad buys and highly efficient campaigning, he's going to permanently break the conventional wisdom for political campaigns and operations.
There's cultural inertia. Even with the Post-Modernists (Marxism as a Religion to subvert Science and Rationalisty) and Cultural Marxists (Marxism retooled for Identities; IDPol) gone -- which I honestly don't ever see happening outside of a massive right wing cultural uprising in the US, or an outright failed attempt at a violent cultural revolution by the left -- you'd still have legions of people trained in education methods and faux-science bullshit that would take 2-3 generations to get out of our systems.
I don't have a solution to this. Barring Cultural Marxism and Post-Modernists from receiving government financial aid would be a good start.
Trump didn't get a sympathy bump because the whole Coronavirus thing (in my eyes) was essentially the equivalent of him stepping on a rake.A friend of mine brought this up to me, but he suggested that there will be a very bad scandal revealed about Trump in the coming weeks to the election. The theory is that the purpose of the Mueller's Investigation (a fraud) was not necessarily to stick Trump to the lie of Russian collusion during the 2016 to de-legitimize the election but to actually dig up tangible dirt that at the last moment, they could stick to him in the mind of voters this year.
I personally doubt this because Trump's getting COVID-19 already serves as the Access Hollywood moment in that it tanked him in the polls, approval rating (much to my chagrin, he did not get his sympathy bump), and betting odds. Plus given how resistant Trump is to scandals ruining his reputation - in fact it seems to permeate in him as if it was nothing - I can't see a more efficient tactic to killing Trump's re-election chances than COVID-19 dominating the news cycle until the election. Things like "soldiers are losers and suckers" are either lies or nothingburgers meant to be red herrings.
So would you say that you're so sure, you'd even eat a hat if Biden loses?
Eat shit and die. 4 people died because the state department decided to do nothing. On top of that, they kept other people from doing anything. Libya is still completely fucked because Hillary's "We came, we saw, he died -cackle-."or Benghazi theories last time.
Do you really unironically call him “drumph?” Like legit question: what are you going to do with your life if the orange man wins 4 more years and then finishes his term and someone else takes over? I feel like the left will have no idea wtf you’re doing it the orange man isn’t your obsession anymore. Perhaps you could track crack? View attachment 1669221
And it's not going to work. The problem with trying to set up an October Surprise on Trump is the fact that the mainstream media has blown their load so much over every Trump "scandal" for the past few years that no one is going to seriously be swayed by any October Surprise that tries to make Trump look bad...A friend of mine brought this up to me, but he suggested that there will be a very bad scandal revealed about Trump in the coming weeks to the election.
Bootygig seems like a better choice. Or even Bernie given how much of a controllable cuck he is.
Obama fucked the democratic primaries by stopping power hungry politicians doinv their natural thing in order to prop up Biden. Who Obama knew was a sack of shit.
This section 230 talk reminds me of SOPA and Pipa during the Obama era along with the internet kill switch shit. They were many Republicans on board with that shit except for some libertarians and one democratic senator Ron Wryden who I remember stopped it. There were many internet free speech groups back then.
Now they are either dead or pozzed and woke. Obama was truly a more competent Bush.
It's irony that Trump is basically standing between this shit and a possible repeal as Trump is more madder at Jack and Zuck for censoring him rather than being a evil fuck like Obama who wanted to control the internet.
It makes more sense now why Biden was forced through as the candidate by the establishment dems. He's as neck deep in shit as Clinton et al., and is therefore the only one with a vested interest in making everything go away.
Biden will win in a landslide. This whole "but his emails" conspiracy theory will result in no charges, just like the "but her emails" or Benghazi theories last time. Meanwhile, 210,000 of your fellow citizens are DEAD of Coronavirus because Orange Man Drumph lied and did nothing.
What is his path to victory? Who is voting for him besides the ~40% of his diehard supporters who think he can do no wrong? Do you really think independents care about this shit? People are fleeing him like the (literal) plague. It's over.
I think progressive bernie people will have 0 interest in Joe after this. The establishment fucked them a 2nd time to get corrupt dementia Joe. They won’t vote for trump, but not voting is just as good.What is his path to victory? Who is voting for him besides the ~40% of his diehard supporters who think he can do no wrong? Do you really think independents care about this shit? People are fleeing him like the (literal) plague. It's over.
(While wearing clown suit and tinfoil dunce hat) "Hurr durr! Everyone who disagrees with me must be a shill!"
In a mere 2 weeks this thread will be proven wrong. I can't wait for the crying.
No, I don't do that gay Something Awful shit but thanks anyways and besides, I just want you to eat the hat if Biden loses.