2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

Status
Not open for further replies.
Don't get me wrong, I like how Trump is doing his campaigning. My complaint is that if he guesses wrong in a state, he runs a risk of losing it on a slim margin.

The perfect example is MN from 2016. Trump didn't fight there late and lost the state by 45k. He had rallies in WI and only won by 23k. His biggest buy was in VA, which he lost by 5 points (Clinton had already pulled ads because she had it locked up). He completely pulled ads from Rust Belt states in September, and only returned to specific targeted ones later; good write-up of the strategy here from late September 2016.

For all the memes about 4D underwater chess, Trump does get things wrong. He's used to that in business, where he writes off losses, and in politics, where he pivots to a new focus or replaces personnel. As long as future successes outweigh the failures he comes out ahead. But he can't afford to get too many things wrong during an election; there's nothing to salvage if he loses the one big event.

You can spin 2016 as a perfectly calibrated, cost-efficient campaign that did the minimum he needed to win, and praise its efficiency. It was a legitimate accomplishment. But along with the good strategy came a series of small mistakes, which were offset by his opponent's larger mistakes. That's fine, if you win, but relying on an opponent's screw-ups is still a risky strategy.

At some point, a lean campaign doesn't just neglect to run up the numbers for bragging rights. It can also cut into your margin of safety. Considering the 2016 margins and this year's need to overcome the margin of fraud, I'd feel better with a cushion of votes in some of the "safer" states instead of just a "we think we have it" margin that triggers a pullback.

Trump already cut ads in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota, states he should not feel comfortable about this year. If he's right and a handful of rallies compensate for it, great; he's a political genius and I'm an anonymous autist. But you can't see that as anything other than a huge gamble right now.
It's not too risky a bet to take on, though. Hillary Clinton was much smarter than Joe Biden.

Hillary was intelligent enough to know that taking money for political favours tends to be frowned upon, but people love charities, so they had the Clinton Foundation act as a front. If you want favours, donate to charity. You look good, we get paid, you get the favour you want. She and Bill even had the foresight to have almost all of the donations move down through their Canadian branch, since donations from the Canadian branch to the American one would look more legitimate, rather than tying directly to the actual donor.

Joe's such a dumbass that he got his own son directly employed at an incredibly corrupt company, in a notoriously corrupt nation, had him taking bribes directly in the form of a suspiciously large and undeserved paycheck in a field he has no expertise in, and when the company started to be investigated for shady shit, rather than have his son pull out and head for the hills, good old Dipshit Joe intervened--personally-- to get the prosecutor fired.

Then he bragged about it on camera. In public.

The whole scenario is so ridiculously inept that it borders on being comedic. It's the kind of dumbass decisions that only someone who graduated 78th in a class of 85 could make. "Never underestimate Joe's ability to fuck things up."
 
Hell no. He totally caved to Idea Guy special interests and is being manipulated by his VP Julay.

I'm writing in Liquid Chris. I urge all reasonable CWC-ville residents to do the same.
I like this idea, actually. I also don't really like the way Chris gives money to the McDonald's lobby and his handling of the Megan crisis is really just embarrassing.

Liquid Chris should be President, and we should get Clyde Cash as VP
 
It's not too risky a bet to take on, though. Hillary Clinton was much smarter than Joe Biden.

Hillary was intelligent enough to know that taking money for political favours tends to be frowned upon, but people love charities, so they had the Clinton Foundation act as a front. If you want favours, donate to charity. You look good, we get paid, you get the favour you want. Joe's such a dumbass that he got his own son directly employed at an incredibly corrupt company, in a notoriously corrupt nation, had him taking bribes directly in the form of a suspiciously large and undeserved paycheck, and when the company started to be investigated for shady shit, rather than have his son pull out and head for the hills, good old Dipshit Joe intervened--personally-- to get the prosecutor fired.

Then he bragged about it on camera. In public.

The whole scenario is so ridiculously inept that it borders on being comedic. It's the kind of dumbass decisions that only someone who graduated 78th in a class of 85 could make. "Never underestimate Joe's ability to fuck things up."
Didn't Joe Biden also announce his presidential campaign four days after the president's call congratulating Ukraine's new President Volodymyr Zelensky back in April of 2019? And at that same time, Hunter Biden resigned from the Burisma board.

It was definitely strange timing and awfully "coincidental."

Also, with these recent developments going on with Hunter Biden's laptop and stuff, I also wonder if he ran because China wants to have someone that owes them a really big favor (in terms of blackmail and deals). How much influence and power does the Chinese Communist Party have over the Democratic Party?

I'm awfully curious.
 
Old info, but Michigan Supreme Court has ruled against the VBM extension. All ballots must be in by election day to be counted.

Ironically, the only state without this position is PA. The "easiest" state for Trump to win is the one that has fair game to fraud until Friday.
Not the Supreme Court, the Court of Appeals. The people whose lawsuit brought about the VBM extension may or may not try appealing to the (4-3 Republican) State Supreme Court.
 
4 years have passed including impeachment. What else do the democrats have left and there is only 2 weeks left now till Judgement Day. And this election is even more polarized than the last one. Other than maybe Trump calling some a nigger a nigger or raping young girls while saluting a poster of Hitler, what else is there left lol.

Also I am surprised these guys have not made a 2020 edition of Trump vs Biden.


It's supposed to drop near the end of October. Epic Rap Battles made a couple of posts encouraging people to register to vote and stating that they are in the process of finishing the Trump Vs. Biden rap battle.
 
That was 3 hours ago.

This was a more recent post 2 hours ago with more responses in.
View attachment 1667569View attachment 1667570
Its now a Trump +6 point lead in the raw, up from 2.

For reference, Maricopa went to Trump by only 3 points in 2016. And that was enough to carry the state by over 3 points.

Raz0rfist was right. Arizona isn't a swing state in 2020.
Arizona a state that was seriously looking purplish potentially swinging back to Red has to be cause for concern for Democrats.

I'm not convinced we can say Arizona is going to Trump as it might just be a case of retired seniors voting early with Covid concerns. But it's a potential sign that Joe Biden has indeed failed to connect with voters despite what MSM, Twitter, and Reddit claim.
 
Trump has a 260 firewall in my eyes. Ohio and Iowa are not in play by both Trump and Biden ignoring the states. In North Carolina, Dems are underperforming in VBM. Florida is off the table, due to party registrations, Cuban / Nicaraguan / Venezuelan team up to elect Trump, and INSANE enthusiasm that I have never seen in my life time. Arizona is not for grabs because Baris is polling it and since Maricopa has a 5+ point lead for Trump and is 60% of the vote, the state is his.

This means the election comes down to 7 states: NM, NV, NH, MI, PA, WI, or MN.
If he wins 1 Rust Belt state, he wins.
If he wins NV, and either NH or NM, he wins. (Unlikely, I know you all are prepping those rainbows.)

I am only putting NV and NM on the list of states because Trump is still campaigning there, specifically in NV. NM is weird because of Johnson being a 9 point spoiler. Tall order but he could flip it. I would rather him be in PA and MN.

NH? Very slim Clinton win in 16 plus bringing back the Bush coalition into his own may deliver him the state. We shall see. Still, go to PA and MN, Trump.

I want him in the Rust Belt for tactical purposes, but if his polls show him with multiple paths, more power to him.

Keep in mind, Biden has to win almost ALL of these states to win the Presidency because of his low 207 firewall. Which sounds like the harder path to victory?
Your short write-up moved me into making some maps. I used the solid colors just because it looks autistic with four available being all over the place. And I don't want to look like Nate Netherite with all of these safe, likely, leaning, and tilt "science based" predictions.

I also agree our boy Triple H; no way in hell Trump wins anything in the west coast, NY (Feels bad man), probably Virginia, and the square legend to the right (w/ exception to NH).

One exception to my color rules above, The Maradontia "Biden Landslide / He got Black and Youth Vote / It's Happening!!!" Map:
1602997143222.png
* Hey, it's Blue Georgia! Wrap it up and doom because this is happening and that Orange Baboon is dead! Eat shit Trumptards, as well as those MAGA hats, you nazis! But seriously though, wrap it up and doom early if God shrugs and flips Texas super hard. That is most unrealistic part of this very realistic map.

Another exception, The Nightmare Scenario Map (Time to call SCOTUS!):
1602997249400.png
* Likely 270 Trump because lol at Nebraska ever shifting. However, isn't Sasse a Nebraska senator? But still, being a RINO in the era of Donald Trump. Lol. Also present are my Nate Charcoal predictions for the Rust Belt.

Toss-ups / Trump's Many Paths to Victory / Biden's Journey to Victory Map (Bide--no, TDS would have to pull a 2016 Trump to take the dub):
1602997671594.png
* Would laugh and Ride with Biden if that ever happened. Meets your thought that Trump just needs one and it's over. Maybe he stays in 270+, but sub 300, or he gets 300+ again? Who knows?

These are all prognostications, just like the two Nates and other polling spergs, so I am about autistic as them. So, doom away! The ride is fun till it's done, after all. Giddyup!
 
Last edited:
Arizona a state that was seriously looking purplish potentially swinging back to Red has to be cause for concern for Democrats.

I'm not convinced we can say Arizona is going to Trump as it might just be a case of retired seniors voting early with Covid concerns. But it's a potential sign that Joe Biden has indeed failed to connect with voters despite what MSM, Twitter, and Reddit claim.
California has created a new generation of carpet baggers that will turn future red states purple if immigration is not clamped down on. Trump is a start but there is still a lot of work to be done if Trump gets his second term.
 
EklK9MqU0AAKOzt.jpg


I know that your first map is kind of a shitposty joke but you literally made one of Nate Silver's current election maps for 2020, just off by 1 electoral vote. He's giving Biden an even bigger prediction in this map than he gave Hillary in 2016. Excuse me for a bit, I need to go laugh hysterically for awhile because Nate Silver thinks he knows things.

EklPwnDW0AA1x3t.jpg
 
I might just doom away now, because aparently Oregon and Washington have fucked up online voter fraud. Maybe. My moneys on it being a LARP.
View attachment 1669650
How did they find out? Who's looking at /pol/? And after the Portland bs, wouldn't be surprised if Oregon folk shrugged if it went red. Not that it's going to, mind you.

In this potentially dark time, let me bring you: Stretchen Gretchen.
View attachment 1669649
And to think some people like Whitmer because she's fairly attractive (why do these chicks grow up to have the crazy eyes or scary facial quirks?). I'll just assume most chicks with (D) in major politics have been ran through.
 
Last edited:
what the fuck is this Blue Georgia meme?

Most are likely using the last Georgia governors race in 2018, Stacey Abrams came damn close to winning the state and she's barely a notch above being legally and medically retarded, she lost by about 55,000 votes.

In 2016 Trump won Georgia by 5.1% which is about 2% lower than Romney's 2012 win in the state but he won by a larger margin than Brian Kemp did against Abrams. Clinton did just slightly worse in the state than Obama did in 2012 by about .55%

Basically the metro areas in Georgia have been growing by large margins and they voted much more heavily in 2016 then again in 2018 where they almost gave Abrams the state and Clinton managed to flip three counties blue for the first time since 1976, the state seems to be trending closer to becoming a battleground state as opposed to a sure fire win for Republicans we'll be able to take another look after this election though because if Trump pumps his numbers up that might quell the big city Dems in Atlanta for a little while.
 
Joe's such a dumbass that he got his own son directly employed at an incredibly corrupt company, in a notoriously corrupt nation, had him taking bribes directly in the form of a suspiciously large and undeserved paycheck in a field he has no expertise in, and when the company started to be investigated for shady shit, rather than have his son pull out and head for the hills, good old Dipshit Joe intervened--personally-- to get the prosecutor fired.
TBH this is the only kind of corruption Joe could do without fucking it up. Just pretend like everything is cool and nice and lets others do the covering up.
In this potentially dark time, let me bring you: Stretchen Gretchen.
Funny but a coomer gayop.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back