Will Klobuchar finally go (someday)?
Also, predictions for tomorrow's shitshow?
Perfect pivot into what needs to be said.
In the video I linked to earlier today, Baris was wondering why less people were voting for Trump than those that approve of his job. Notably, that gap manages to line up with the Biden+2.4 results in Pennsylvania last week. He spotted two remaining groups that could vote for Trump, one being the true undecided voters who will wait until Election Day and the other being voters leaning towards Biden but could be persuaded into voting for Trump under the right circumstances.
Most of these undecided voters happen to be seniors who are concerned about the coronavirus and suburban white women who believe in the "decency" narrative that the Biden campaign pushed out. These are not the "shy" Trump voters who will lie about voting for Biden or being undecided, they're more "sea sick" in that they're tired. Tired of all of the drama surrounding the Trump administration and wanting a return to normalcy they think Biden will provide. Trump has the white working class vote locked up which is why Ohio and Iowa are locks for him. It also looks like he will meet his target for 40% of the Hispanic vote and double digit black votes, which will also lock up Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia. The problem comes with the Upper Rust Belt States - Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin in that he needs to win over the remaining undecided voters and he's not going to get them by using the same tactics he does with the working class. To do this, you have to comfort them, look into their eyes, and say "Don't give up, the sun is shining at the end of the tunnel, we just have to make it through the darkest part and not turn back". Trump hasn't done this
at all and he has to start doing this now.
Trump's strength in debates is that he turns them into bar fights. Look at how he manages to pummel the Republicans in the 2016 primary and how he used that same tactic on Biden at the first debate. I know some here were disappointed at how he performed at the first debate and while I do have my issues his performance, he did what he needed to do, which was to embarrass Biden when it comes to his progressive politics. That was a debate performance specifically designed for the working class he performed so strongly in. They love watching a dirty brawl, especially Hispanics voters he's winning over. But he has to handle the third debate in a different manner, one that appeals to the undecided voters who might be leaning towards Biden.
Given how the MSNBC moderator and the Debate Commission is determined to turn this into an Oxford-style debate - which Trump isn't as good at - he does not have a choice anyway. If he treats Biden like he did Jeb Bush again, it won't resonate with potential voters and it may turn off the undecided voters. The moderator, the DNC establishment, and the media are prepared for this and if Trump flops at the final debate,
it may sink him. He needs to realize that Biden can very well get his Reagan moment in and he has to prevent that from happening. It's going to require him putting his ego aside and talk to his potential voters, not just at Biden and the moderator.
I am nervous about what may happen tomorrow. I hope that Mike Pence has given him "the talk" about how he needs to improve his performance and that he figures out how much of the white votes he's lost that he needs back if he is going to keep any of the Upper Rust Belt states he won (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin) or flip Minnesota. This could be the deciding factor in this election. I will watch it and it will determine whenever or not I keep following this election.
The race is tightening. Don't fuck this debate up Trump, it's your last chance to win over voters.
