2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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I don't understand how the election can be this close with how ridiculously low energy and fucked up Biden has been. He's not even campaigning for the next few days for crying out loud. What the fuck is going on?
MSM, Big Tech, Garden Variety Globalist Oligarchs, Marxist Drones and a bunch of other stuff propping him up.
 
I don't understand how the election can be this close with how ridiculously low energy and fucked up Biden has been. He's not even campaigning for the next few days for crying out loud. What the fuck is going on?
He doesn't really need to do that much, Trump did most of the legwork for the past 4 years.
 
- Trump will get killed in Hennenpin County
- Do not listen to the voter file that is online, especially not in states without party preference references
- There is significant crossover in Minnesota - do not read too much into early voting in Minnesota
- Biden is doing worse in urban areas but a little better in some of the rural areas
- Minnesota is very difficult to poll
If crossover means people voting against their registered party, I concur with everything here re: Minnesota. The state requires party registration to participate in primaries/caucuses. Many people, including myself, are registered DFL and will vote Trump. I maintain that Biden will win Hennepin and Ramsey, maybe Dakota, but Trump will take the rest of the metro counties.

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It's going to be a long week for the Dems.
10 minutes in and Hunter’s laptop came up. 500k views in an hour. Millions are going to be exposed to the Biden scandal with this. Spotify employees must be seething.
 
If crossover means people voting against their registered party, I concur with everything here re: Minnesota. The state requires party registration to participate in primaries/caucuses. Many people, including myself, are registered DFL and will vote Trump. I maintain that Biden will win Hennepin and Ramsey, maybe Dakota, but Trump will take the rest of the metro counties.


10 minutes in and Hunter’s laptop came up. 500k views in an hour. Millions are going to be exposed to the Biden scandal with this. Spotify employees must be seething.
Meh, they'll dismiss it by association because he allowed Alex Jones on. Bad choice.
 

Expect the third Pennsylvania poll to be up tonight and for Arizona to also get an update. You can check it out here,


- Chester County has remained competitive despite voter registration trends favoring Democrats (although the home stretch did have Republicans make a slight gain)
- Trump is losing senior at a greater rate in Pennsylvania than in Florida
- Donald Trump's gain among black - particularly young black men - has not evaporated a week before the election, which usually happens with Republicans. He'll get 15-20%, the raw is at 17% right now.
- 21.9% of 18-29 black plans to support Trump, while 18.8% of 30-44 blacks (just as good for working class 30-39), 12.1% of 45-64, and seniors look like traditionally low Republican support (single digits)
- Trump will get killed in Hennenpin County
- Do not listen to the voter file that is online, especially not in states without party preference references
- There is significant crossover in Minnesota - do not read too much into early voting in Minnesota
- Biden is doing worse in urban areas but a little better in some of the rural areas
- Minnesota is very difficult to poll
- The Ben Shapiro "decency and religious" people that did not vote for Trump might be coming home after all and it could be due to Amy Barrett's nomination and confirmation
- Trump is widening his lead among Independents in Pennsylvania
- The race is competitive
- Initially, 60% of people in the Rust Belt were familiar with the Biden scandals stories, but it has rose considerably in a few days
- Pennsylvania and Arizona will be updated first
- Baris believes that Nate Silver is a narrative maker that wants every pollsters to fall in line due to his ridiculous comment that Trump can only win due to significant polling error or stealing the election
- Nate removed Trafalgar Group due to being too pro-Trump, believes he will remove any dissident polls
- Trump is leading with independents in Wisconsin
- Some things are different from 2016, but there are also similar trends in 2016
- People have grown more uncomfortable with Kamala Harris in his Pennsylvania poll than before
- Trump going to Pennsylvania three times yesterday forced Biden to take the lid off and head to Chester County where he was all but ignored
- Trump has made gains in Philadelphia County. The two wards that supported him are going for him at even larger margins but it has larger counties. Corruption from Philadelphia will remains an issue
- Trump is getting killed in Delaware and Montgomery County
- Baris will oversampled Chester County just to make sure what he's seeing is true with him being competitive
- Undecided is going down and it's very much favoring Trump
- Crossover vote will be much bigger for Trump than Biden
- Biden's support is all but maxed out for Trump
- Thinks that the state might be heading in Trump's directions
- Believes it is possible that with Barrett in the court, the judges can strike down the unconstitutional three day ballot counting and absentee without postmarks requirement before Election Day
- He believes Trump will hit 40% in Allegheny County based on leaners, possibly more
- Biden can do better in Lackawanna, but Monroe could go to Trump as he is leading in the poll
- Luzerne County might go to Trump by a twenty-five point margin
- Berks County is giving mixed signals, suggests Biden could close the gap if not flip but it's a "wait and see. Current polling has Trump at a twelve point lead
- The race has tightened, moving away from Biden
This is good news to hear. I always felt this race was more tighten than what the polls were saying.
 
Trump's campaign site got hacked:

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/pol/ caught this before the above:
Screenshot (163).png
 
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Their entire plan hinges on keeping it close enough to steal. They can adjust things 1-5% or so, in one state, maybe. 10%? No way. Multiple states? No way. Each time they do it it becomes exponentially more obvious what they're doing, and if Trump can get any evidence whatsoever, the game is up.

It's why Abrams won't fuck off and go away. She was promised the position, they rigged shit, but she lost so hard that even them fixing shit couldn't save it. She's too fucking stupid to realize that she's supposed to go away for a few years and try, try again. Oook oook, ME BUNGA BIG LEADER WAMMYN.



If they can get it down to 1 state -- god help us if that's Pennsylvania -- then you'll see lawfare the likes you'll never believe. But I fully expect them to give up if Trump has gotten enough of a win that it'd take more than 1 or 2 states of fuckery to flip. They absolutely must keep the "voter fraud" arrow in their quiver until they can use it in such a way that they won't be caught using it. If Trump survives or even can expose the game on his way out, god help them because the GOP might have a mandate to push through something horrific like Voter ID -- and then they're FUCKED.

Regardless, this will be the new Bush v Gore, only amplified with all the religious fervor that they take the Russiagate hoax under. You'll be hearing about how he stole the election -- TWICE -- for the next 20-30 years. It'll be like the old Conservatives ranting about how we could have won Vietnam if not for that goddamned stupid "reality" getting in the way.

"We could have won if he had just stopped campaigning and doing rallies like we told him he had to because of that really bad flu season we had in 2020!"
I agree as this seems more likely, but I can't help but see the Democrats wanting to fanatically cheat a "blue wave" into happening. Not just to get señor snores into the white house, but a majority in both houses along with flipping states blue. I'm sure big tech and MSM already have shit in place to censor any talk of fraud or in the very least label it as "alt-right conspiracy theory". I guess it comes down to a question of how desperate are the Dems and what kind of risks will they take to get wins.
Will they be able to pull that off? No probably not. But I don't trust the Democrats at all and will view many (if any) "wins" with a big old scoop of suspicion.
 
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