2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Thats what makes the dems claim about Stacey Abrahams being the real governor So stupid. She lost by a huge margin.
She lost by a VERY narrow margin, HOWEVER, I cannot stress enough how low-energy Brian Kemp is(was?). Kemp, while one can applaud his COVID response (actually sticking to the 2-week lockdown promise and no more), is a low-energy GOP good 'ole boy who does not inspire much enthusiasm or ability to sway otherwise apolitical voters like Trump can. I know several older gentlemen who showed up in 2016 to vote for Trump but did not show up to vote for Kemp.

He was basically the Jeb! of Georgia, who only won because his opponent was Stacey "We dont need no farmers!" Abrams.

Biden is facing a MUCH tougher fight in Georgia than Abrams was, because Trump is actually charismatic and Trump manages to attract a wider base than Standard Issue GOP Candidate #42771. In fact, one could argue that if the Georgia gubernatorial race had been in 2016 rather than 2018, that Kemp would have ridden Trump's coattails to a wider margin of victory.
Meanwhile Biden, despite his own gaffes being more benign than Stacey "Wypipo vote wrong!" Abrams, is still plagued by the perception of being sympathetic to rioters and The Squad. It also doesn't help that the unpopular Ogre from Atlanta herself was sucking off Biden non-stop earlier in the year trying to sweet talk her way to his VP spot.
 
Nate Copium starting to cope harder.
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"I-if he loses PA, its still not over!"
If he loses PA, he wins all of those states? This dumb motherfucker doesn't realize these states swing the same way due to similar demographics.
I just hope he commits seppukku when this happens.


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Baris just posted the poll result for his third poll in Pennsylvania, and Biden is ahead by 0.7 percent.

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Link / Archive

He has stressed that Pennsylvania is Trump's best bet to winning re-election. There are six days left until election. I am just going to tune in to his stream tomorrow and see what he has to say.
Wait so which poll of his is more accurate
 
Nate Copium starting to cope harder.
View attachment 1691118
"I-if he loses PA, its still not over!"
If he loses PA, he wins all of those states? This dumb motherfucker doesn't realize these states swing the same way due to similar demographics.
I have a hard time believing Biden is ahead in any of those states, except maybe PA.

If Trump does in fact win those states, then Nate Tupperware's model actually makes Biden the underdog in this election. I still think it's Trump's election to lose since Biden is such a shitty candidate, but not much longer left to know for sure.
 
Wait so which poll of his is more accurate
Baris did two polls in Pennsylvania this month which I just edited the previous posts to include. The first one was a Biden+2.4, the second reduced it to Biden+0.7. I'm not sure how it compared to how Clinton was doing against Trump eight days from the election.

Keep in mind that Baris is oversampling certain counties like Allegheny and Chester County so the result might be closer. But unless he plans to poll Pennsylvania until Election Day, it's not going to show Trump ahead. As much as I hate to say it, I am going to trust Baris's results over Trafalgar since while the latter has a solid track record, they also show a Republican bias. Like I said, wait for tomorrow when he does his Inside The Number show on this.

BTW, since I won't be online to watch it live, can someone here please post the link when it comes on at 10 AM EST so that other users who want to see it discussed can watch it live?
 
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This.

States have more effect on your lives than the dealing of the presidink. Don't just vote straight red or blue, make sure you actually read up on the person that you are endorsing or voting for and make sure that they don't try to give into one of those new-age progressivism extremes that fuck people up.

Living in the monoparty fascist utopia of California, though, straight R is my only choice at busting up the monopoly.

I've always heard that Arizona has a lot of old people. Itd be amusing if that happens and they blame old people again.

The dry climate of Sunnyslope is good for the health of older people. I visited Sunnyslope while exploring Phoenix and everyone was ancient.

I think the Prez has got PA locked up right about now.
Now here's something to think about, how will the Dems punish their Jogger Golems for fucking over their blue wave?

They’ll punish white people for making it necessary for night jogging

Every time we lose it's because of fraud! No one could possibly dislike Drumph!

I like having you around as a spectre of what happens if for some incredibly cucked reason Biden wins and I have to hear you gloating. It’s all about accountability

What is it that makes Minnesota so pozzed?
Imagine being the only state to vote Mondale/Ferraro against the first Trump hokage
 
Nate Copium starting to cope harder.
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"I-if he loses PA, its still not over!"
If he loses PA, he wins all of those states? This dumb motherfucker doesn't realize these states swing the same way due to similar demographics.

Isn't he sort of contradicting his previous assertion that Biden's got Texas in the bag? Because 38 votes is a hell of a backup plan.
 
With how much Orange Man is gonna blitz it in the last 48 hours of this cycle, I will be S U R P R I S E D if Biden somehow wins the election. Even his chances of winning PA are starting to seem more and more unlikely. Bring on all those rainbows.
The tired Karens and seniors, bro. It's all over.

And don't forget, he'll probably still be rallying on Election Day itself.
 
Amish are gonna pull through for Trump again, in a big way.

Baris and Barnes talk about groups that are hard to reach in polling, and the Amish are downright impossible.

I don’t know if they’re being accounted for by the People’s Polling Project projections or anyone else really, but they’re a wildcard that are worth keeping an eye on.
 
I wonder if the Baris poll was affected at all by the unrest currently ravaging Philly. The riots started yesterday after all. And as much as the MSM is not covering the riots local news must be and people living in Philly must know whats going on unless they are so afraid of the Covid they wont leave their homes.
He started it over the weekend. Didn't get dialed in until Monday night. Thats why I am hesitant on Baris's poll in PA because the entire game literally changed overnight.
Amish are gonna pull through for Trump again, in a big way.

Baris and Barnes talk about groups that are hard to reach in polling, and the Amish are downright impossible.

I don’t know if they’re being accounted for by the People’s Polling Project projections or anyone else really, but they’re a wildcard that are worth keeping an eye on.

If the fucking Amish are coming out to a Trump rally with giant TVs and doing their own parades (once a Republican dream, now a reality), I don't think he will lose PA. You can't poll the Amish.
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They're rioting in Brooklyn now. Why? Who knows. But this is perfect timing for him to be in NE-2 tonight.

Trump going supersaiyan in the final stretch of the campaign.
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I've been told by leftists that Trump is the laziest President ever.

Pure projection on their part.
 
With how much Orange Man is gonna blitz it in the last 48 hours of this cycle, I will be S U R P R I S E D if Biden somehow wins the election. Even his chances of winning PA are starting to seem more and more unlikely. Bring on all those rainbows.
I gave you one, but I hope that you are right. I'm not saying this is over, but better to receive an honest bad news over a false good one. Because if we're starting at a future socialist leader in Harris in a few months (at least in the shadow), we have got to be prepared to make tough life choices.

I wonder if the Baris poll was affected at all by the unrest currently ravaging Philly. The riots started yesterday after all. And as much as the MSM is not covering the riots local news must be and people living in Philly must know whats going on unless they are so afraid of the Covid they wont leave their homes.
The riots occurred in Philadelphia last night. I'll admit when I was looking at the internals that I was shocked that 27% of Philadelphia were voting for Trump. I wouldn't be surprised if much of that came from the riots and people wanting less of it. If that margin somehow improves, it will be because of it, but I also know Baris said in his stream today that he thinks his Philadelphia sample is too generous towards Trump.

Amish are gonna pull through for Trump again, in a big way.

Baris and Barnes talk about groups that are hard to reach in polling, and the Amish are downright impossible.

I don’t know if they’re being accounted for by the People’s Polling Project projections or anyone else really, but they’re a wildcard that are worth keeping an eye on.
Yes, but Trump was ahead by 0.6% in Baris's poll on the state in 2016 and the Amish weren't included. Baris was a tenth of a percentage towards getting Pennsylvania's vote share right and only a few tenths in a few battleground states. If the Amish were to somehow be represented in the 2020 poll and all voted for Trump, he would still be 0.6% behind Biden. Again, the poll is a statistical tie and there is still more sampling to be done, but I am choosing to trust Baris when he has been so consistently right and other pollsters so dead wrong.
 
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Some of those Biden supporters are carrying guns lol. And this clip is the smoking gun for the kind of people that would passionately vote for Biden. I am surprised the incel and autist vote is going to Biden.

Living in the monoparty fascist utopia of California, though, straight R is my only choice at busting up the monopoly.



The dry climate of Sunnyslope is good for the health of older people. I visited Sunnyslope while exploring Phoenix and everyone was ancient.



They’ll punish white people for making it necessary for night jogging



I like having you around as a spectre of what happens if for some incredibly cucked reason Biden wins and I have to hear you gloating. It’s all about accountability


Imagine being the only state to vote Mondale/Ferraro against the first Trump hokage
Apparently Mondale won by that state by less than 0.25% lol or roughly less than 4000 votes.

 
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He started it over the weekend. Didn't get dialed in until Monday night. Thats why I am hesitant on Baris's poll in PA because the entire game literally changed overnight.


If the fucking Amish are coming out to a Trump rally with giant TVs and doing their own parades (once a Republican dream, now a reality), I don't think he will lose PA. You can't poll the Amish.
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"You can't poll the amish" - Random.txt
 
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