Disclaimer: we don't know how these people are voting, but in the era of Trump, if you are a registered Republican still, I guess you are still voting for him. Remember, he got 94% of the Republican vote in the primary.
Republican turnout will be huge, and there will be a couple of folks you wouldn't even think would ever vote red or vote at all joining the GOP just this once. The only Republicans who might be dissuaded or flat-out vote against the Don are the Romney/Mormon/Evangelical Republicans.
Florida: Democrats are shitting themaslves. They had an internal goal of 650k advantage into election day to tank the Republican onslaught on Election Day. It was 500k before early in person started. Now, its 250k, and dropping. They are dead in the water nearly in FL.
And Trump is still investing money there too, disregard that prior posted Tim Pool video. It's his to lose at this point.
MI and WI: Republicans now have the edge in ballots returned.
And given the Trump Republicans heavy distrust of all things Democrat, they'll vote on Election Day late, just to help battle the fraud harder.
Pennsylvania: 70% Democratic returns. Sounds awful, but its misleading. Due to VBM being the only option in PA, there's no fight to combat the banking. Second, the volume of returns is only about 20% of 2016's total in PA. Third, over 60% of those ballots are from Philly and Pittsburg. Prepare for the onslaught on election day because Republicans don't trust the governor. They are holding until then so they can't create enough ballot fraud to win.
EDIT: All Biden's done this race is whore himself out in this state. Wouldn't be surprised if Trump's Scranton remarks pissed people off that Biden "only" campaigns there, but that's a dumb thought. Glad he actually touched the entire Rust Belt.
Texas and Georgia: Texas is like 14% Republican edge and GA is about 5+% and increasing. Meme blue flip states aren't happening.
There was some recent fraud in Texas that was exposed by Veritas, but it's Texas. It won't turn blue until late this decade or the next. Also, lol blue Georgia.
Arizona: Dems want a 300k advantage for election day onslaught. It was 115k yesterday. It dropped below 90k today. They don't want to vote because McSally's seat was stolen due to banking votes too soon.
Arizona will continue to trend blue into the decade though. But with the recent Trump visits, it likely won't this cycle. Also, they learned from 2018. Good.
NC: Similar to AZ and PA with distrust of the governor. Democratic edge 360k. They had a 310k edge in 2016 and still lost by 4 points. State is also 5 points more republican than 2016. Black vote is down compared to 2016 share.
Glad to see the rising distrust of our public officials. Trump really is a wrench in the system.
Nevada: Barnes said if it was a fair election, Trump would win Nevada with the early voting trend occuring. Take that as you will.
It's a new state for Trump to carry, if Clown World is kind.
What's your word on New Hampshire (and Minnesota)? If Trump and co. pepper it during the weekend into his Super Saiyan rampage before the General, I think he can clutch it. (As for MN, I'll take a cue from the GOP adviser from '16: "Sir! You have to do one more speech! Just one more rally, and it's yours!")
EDIT: It came from a boomer, but Trump is still having the most fun with his campaign and his base is enjoying the ride as well. Biden is probably being dragged out of bed everyday until the General because Trump is mocking him taking lids and has to endure mass honkage from "his biggest supporters." Kamala sounds awkward and is probably on something. And 44 just doesn't want to be there, and he too experiences the Wrath of Honk™. And the base? The fact there are multiple labels for them is amazing: TDS. VBNMW, Seasicks/Normies, and Never Trumpers.
