2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[Pointless Pedant]

Florida and Ohio are almost certainly for Trump this time. Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota are the real battleground states to look at since they have a lot of the suburban voters Biden might be doing better with, though not for certain.

 

[LightDragonman1]

Honestly, I am pretty concerned that Biden is going to win the election. A lot of people really want all this madness to end and return to normal, and they see Biden as being a return to those "normal times under Obama". Heck, one of his ads is him pointing out how he was with Obama for both terms and all that. Alongside some of Trump's more questionable statements, like failing to properly condemn white supremacy and refusal to properly release his tax payments (unlike Biden), it may cause people to view Trump as being shady and lacking integrity, focused more on his image than on uniting the country (at least, that's the case based on reactions from family and friends).

Couple that with the media just continuing to hammer the notion of Trump being evil over and over again, alongside people generally being more willing to just gobble up the reports rather than do research themselves, and I fear that we will be seeing Biden and Harris in the White House soon.

 

[nosemouth]

Honestly, I am pretty concerned that Biden is going to win the election. A lot of people really want all this madness to end and return to normal, and they see Biden as being a return to those "normal times under Obama". Heck, one of his ads is him pointing out how he was with Obama for both terms and all that. Alongside some of Trump's more questionable statements, like failing to properly condemn white supremacy and refusal to properly release his tax payments (unlike Biden), it may cause people to view Trump as being shady and lacking integrity, focused more on his image than on uniting the country (at least, that's the case based on reactions from family and friends).

Couple that with the media just continuing to hammer the notion of Trump being evil over and over again, alongside people generally being more willing to just gobble up the reports rather than do research themselves, and I fear that we will be seeing Biden and Harris in the White House soon.

Not bad, let's see how many idiots believe this is a real response.

 

[Hot Dog]

Honestly, I am pretty concerned that Biden is going to win the election. A lot of people really want all this madness to end and return to normal, and they see Biden as being a return to those "normal times under Obama". Heck, one of his ads is him pointing out how he was with Obama for both terms and all that. Alongside some of Trump's more questionable statements, like failing to properly condemn white supremacy and refusal to properly release his tax payments (unlike Biden), it may cause people to view Trump as being shady and lacking integrity, focused more on his image than on uniting the country (at least, that's the case based on reactions from family and friends).

Couple that with the media just continuing to hammer the notion of Trump being evil over and over again, alongside people generally being more willing to just gobble up the reports rather than do research themselves, and I fear that we will be seeing Biden and Harris in the White House soon.

I'll bite.

Most people from don't take much stock in media anymore from what I've seen. You can only run the same headline over and over again before it turns into white noise. I'd use that Twitter statistic about how few people are on it but it really is exaggerated in the big picture. And I genuinely do not give a shit if Trump ever releases his taxes or not. The dude was an international businessman.

Obama hates batting for Biden. He had no faith in him in '16, he has no faith in him now.

 

[Syaoran Li]

If you don't mind me asking what makes you think New Hampshire is the easiest flip. I've heard really mixed things about it that make me think it would be on the harder end of the spectrum

If anything, I'd say Minnesota is the easiest to flip since it was already pretty damn close in 2016 plus you have the state being ground zero for the BLM coup and the Iron Range increasingly favoring Trump.

Not counting the perpetual swing states of Ohio and Florida or the Rust Belt states he won in 2016, I'd say the potential swing states for Trump to win in 2020 would be ranked from easiest to hardest would look like this.

1. Minnesota
2. New Hampshire
3. Nevada
4. New Mexico
5. Virginia
6. Colorado
7. Oregon

I'd say Virginia would be slightly easier to flip than Colorado solely because of Northam's fuckery in general plus BLM destroying Richmond worse than Ulysses S. Grant did multiple times over but is still likely going to trend blue this year.

I don't remember too much going on in Colorado aside from the general nationwide rioting in May and June and then an Antifa punk posing as a Pinkerton detective before actually murdering an innocent man in cold blood and having it all caught on video. There was also the incident in Fort Collins where Antifa and BLM tried to start shit with actual peaceful counter-protesters and got their asses kicked by both the group of counter protesters and a mix of cops and local citizens who wanted Antifa/BLM out of their neighborhood

I'd say the murder in Denver might actually hurt Biden's chances in Colorado, but not by much. Aside from Colorado Springs, there also isn't as high of a concentration of rednecks and fundie relics there like there is in Virginia and the governor didn't try to do a massive gun grab and coddle BLM and Antifa to the same extent that the NoVAcrats under Northam have.

Virginia will be hard for Trump to win, but I think it will be just slightly easier to win than Colorado. Slightly.

Oregon's not even in play this year but there is potential for it to go a very light blue this year and the GOP to gain House seats in the districts east of the Cascades and popular votes from there. If Trump can win and the GOP is smart about it, they might be able to make it a swing state in future elections after the bloody chaos in Portland

 

[Pointless Pedant]

If anything, I'd say Minnesota is the easiest to flip since it was already pretty damn close in 2016 plus you have the state being ground zero for the BLM coup and the Iron Range increasingly favoring Trump.

Not counting the perpetual swing states of Ohio and Florida or the Rust Belt states he won in 2016, I'd say the potential swing states for Trump to win in 2020 would be ranked from easiest to hardest would look like this.

1. Minnesota
2. New Hampshire
3. Nevada
4. New Mexico
5. Virginia
6. Colorado
7. Oregon

I'd say Virginia would be slightly easier to flip than Colorado solely because of Northam's fuckery in general plus BLM destroying Richmond worse than Ulysses S. Grant did multiple times over but is still likely going to trend blue this year.

I don't remember too much going on in Colorado aside from the general nationwide rioting in May and June and then an Antifa punk posing as a Pinkerton detective before actually murdering an innocent man in cold blood and having it all caught on video. There was also the incident in Fort Collins where Antifa and BLM tried to start shit with actual peaceful counter-protesters and got their asses kicked by both the group of counter protesters and a mix of cops and local citizens who wanted Antifa/BLM out of their neighborhood

I'd say the murder in Denver might actually hurt Biden's chances in Colorado, but not by much. Aside from Colorado Springs, there also isn't as high of a concentration of rednecks and fundie relics there like there is in Virginia and the governor didn't try to do a massive gun grab and coddle BLM and Antifa to the same extent that the NoVAcrats under Northam have.

Virginia will be hard for Trump to win, but I think it will be just slightly easier to win than Colorado. Slightly.

Oregon's not even in play this year but there is potential for it to go a very light blue this year and the GOP to gain House seats in the districts east of the Cascades and popular votes from there. If Trump can win and the GOP is smart about it, they might be able to make it a swing state in future elections after the bloody chaos in Portland

The expanding DC suburbs made Virginia pretty blue. It would be a very long shot for Trump to win VA, and I don't think the campaign is really focusing on it either. He only needs to win the same as 2016 to win again, and doing that plus Minnesota would be decisive. Winning Michigan + Pennsylvania would be the big priority because those states have a lot of electoral votes.

 

[FAQnews Correspondent]

Who the hell thought it would be a good idea to have Virginia keep what would be that part of Washington DC?

 

[Meat Target]

When Kris Kobach did his investigation of 2016 voter fraud, he found that if people followed the law, Trump actually should have won New Hampshire. That’s about the time several states refused to help Kobach. So if Trump actually won NH in 2016, I’d be interested to know how he would lose 2020.

Kobach was too based for this world.

 

[Shield Breaker]

Not the same as in the Rust Belt. Rural and surburban folks, especially women, are more moderate than conservative in the Rust Belt. It only takes just enough people buying the decency arguments for Trump to potentially lose the states.

I'm a left-wing moderate who is voting Trump because the Democrats fucking scare me. Women might not like Trump, but he's not coddling the crazy ass looters and murderers, and we'd prefer our families are safe.

 

[LightDragonman1]

I'm just trying to brace myself for a worst case scenario. But then again, I guess constantly fretting over it won't do any good either.

I really hope you guys end up right and Trump wins, don't get me wrong. Biden is someone who I have very little faith in.

 

[Pointless Pedant]

I'm a left-wing moderate who is voting Trump because the Democrats fucking scare me. Women might not like Trump, but he's not coddling the crazy ass looters and murderers, and we'd prefer our families are safe.

It's funny if this election comes down to how annoying Karens are going to be this year.

 

[Clockwork_PurBle]

You know who could have used that capital? Doug Jones of Alabama who is only in senate from a pure scandal fluke. He's got the advantage of being an incumbent so a giant cashbomb would have been appreciated. But no Democrats would rather give to total longshots. To be fair they have donated a lot of money to him (more than his GOP opponent) but it's very unlikely for him to hold onto the seat.

Ground report for Doug:

I've seen more signs for Doug than I have anyone else...but I've only seen like 3. I also get radio ads for him. They're in really random places, like there's a long stretch of farmland I drive every week and there's a tiny one plopped out in the middle of it. No rhyme or reason to it.

The Repub nominee is Tommy Tuberville. I've seen signs for him as well. Tommy beat AG Jeff Sessions and Roy "why did we nominate him in 2018 pretty sure Trump said not to" Moore for the nomination.

Once again as of now the majority of campaign signs I see are for county stuff. I can't really guage how things are looking for our senate seat.

Fun fact: Moore Vs. Jones was the first election I was able to vote in.

 

[Pointless Pedant]

Ground report for Doug:

I've seen more signs for Doug than I have anyone else...but I've only seen like 3. I also get radio ads for him. They're in really random places, like there's a long stretch of farmland I drive every week and there's a tiny one plopped out in the middle of it. No rhyme or reason to it.

The Repub nominee is Tommy Tuberville. I've seen signs for him as well. Tommy beat AG Jeff Sessions and Roy "why did we nominate him in 2018 pretty sure Trump said not to" Moore for the nomination.

Once again as of now the majority of campaign signs I see are for county stuff. I can't really guage how things are looking for our senate seat.

Fun fact: Moore Vs. Jones was the first election I was able to vote in.

Polls put Tuberville leading Jones 55-41. It's not even close. The only reason Jones got in is because Moore was literally a sex offender. Otherwise AL is far too deep red.

 

[Clockwork_PurBle]

Polls put Tuberville leading Jones 55-41. It's not even close. The only reason Jones got in is because Moore was literally a sex offender. Otherwise AL is far too deep red.

Good to know. I've heard literally nothing this entire time and TBH have been too distracted by other life issues to check.

I guess his constant radio ads are just cope. Side note, Tuberville's sign have our flag on it and just really looks classy. Jones' just has his name big on it. Aligning yourself with the state's symbol is probably a good decision because it pulls at the pride strings.

 

[PeeveTheSheev]

Give me all the trashcans and rainbows you want, I put the local equivalent of 1300 USD on Trump winning Texas. 400 USD profit if he gets it.

Now to decide whether to put the same stake on Trump winning the presidency. Do fucking @ me if Texas goes blue, I'd very much deserve it.

 

[Pointless Pedant]

Give me all the trashcans and rainbows you want, I put the local equivalent of 1300 USD on Trump winning Texas. 400 USD profit if he gets it.

Now to decide whether to put the same stake on Trump winning the presidency. Do fucking @ me if Texas goes blue, I'd very much deserve it.

I think you're pretty safe on red Texas. The election hinges on midwestern swing states which are a lot more unpredictable.

 

[Aqua Panda]

I'm really hoping VA flips back red one last time.

I know how immensely hard it will be with NoVa but the mass unpopularity of the governor and new legislature on the rest of the state can't be understated. It will and is driving GOP turnout. Don't be suprised if it's one of the largest red turnouts the state has ever seen.

 

[mindlessobserver]

I wonder how far the "trump's voters are lying to the pollsters" meme has caught on. Its certainly prevalent enough that the pollsters have started running polls to see if it's true. If that is the case Trumps base may have triggered a "Stand Alone Complex" for a widespread disinformation campaign. Since his base is already primed to distrust and dislike the political apparatus of the State (of which these pollsters are definitely a part) then it logically follows.

 

[Pickle Inspector]

One thing I truly do not understand is how 'Young people are going to swing the vote!' keeps getting brought up every election and referendum and is proven wrong but the pollsters and political pundits keep pretending it's going to be different this time!

 

[GuntPunt]

The Rally-Rush is happening.

Trump has upgraded from 3 rallies a day to 4 a day.

4 in AZ today.
2 in Florida, 2 in NC tomorrow.

Should be fun tomorrow, because Biden and Trump will be in Tampa, Florida at the same time.

He is growing stronger.

EDIT: Fucked up. I counted the livestreams as individual rallies. Its 2 a day until Friday.

Edit: Friday seems like a Rust Belt day, since he is going to Rochester MN that day.