2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

Status
Not open for further replies.
  • Thunk-Provoking
  • Like
  • Agree
Reactions: the fall of man, Iwasamwillbe, Randall Fragg and 11 others
Tour of Italy said:
Here’s a hot take;

Democrsts will commit massive voter fraud, in close states, but instead of giving them an edge against Trump, they’ll need it to break even with improperly filled out ballots. Especially since Dem voters are disproportionately doing mail-in and drop-off.

Some key states have fought over flexibility with ballot and witness rules, but if the primaries are any indication, there are still a host of ways to fuck up a mailed ballot that can disqualify it.

And boy howdy were they disqualified, to the tune of hundreds of thousands, maybe even millions.
Click to expand...

I always thought this would be the funniest outcome. Democrats spend months pushing mail in votes only to lose nearly every race because their voters are too damn stupid to fill out a form and mail it in. It would be even funnier because it would curbstomp the masturbatory 'we're the smart ones!' stuff lefties are fond of.

Actually there's another layer here where the Democrat control of education has come back to bite them on the ass. They want to keep these people just dumb enough to support them, but they've ended up making them too fucking stupid to manage to vote for them.
 
  • Like
  • Winner
  • Agree
Reactions: Creepy Pig Man, Shroom King, Super Kami Guru and 18 others
Salubrious said:
The same reason Biden is up by SEVENTEEN POINTS in Wisconsin.

They are literally just making shit up at this point.
Click to expand...
It's a natural result of counting votes. At any discrete point in the counting process, depending on which ballots happen to have randomly been counted so far, literally any random noise result could occur. It is theoretically possible for all of the ballots counted by now to happen to be the Biden ones. You would then get a 100% biden vote based on your count so far, but it wouldn't mean Biden got 100% of the vote. It wouldn't mean anything.
Any count before the final count doesn't matter and isn't meaningful data. If this is your first election expect lots of silly data points like this.
 
  • Thunk-Provoking
  • Agree
  • Like
Reactions: Creepy Pig Man, Iwasamwillbe, babadook and 3 others
Kacho said:
I always thought this would be the funniest outcome. Democrats spend months pushing mail in votes only to lose nearly every race because their voters are too damn stupid to fill out a form and mail it in. It would be even funnier because it would curbstomp the masturbatory 'we're the smart ones!' stuff lefties are fond of.
Click to expand...

This is nothing new for them. One of the arguments in 2000 was basically that Dem voters were too dumb so we had to mind-read what they really meant to do (which was vote for Gore).
 
  • Agree
Reactions: Teignmouth Electron
Kacho said:
I always thought this would be the funniest outcome. Democrats spend months pushing mail in votes only to lose nearly every race because their voters are too damn stupid to fill out a form and mail it in. It would be even funnier because it would curbstomp the masturbatory 'we're the smart ones!' stuff lefties are fond of.

Actually there's another layer here where the Democrat control of education has come back to bite them on the ass. They want to keep these people just dumb enough to support them, but they've ended up making them too fucking stupid to manage to vote for them.
Click to expand...
That would be lovely to witness
 
  • Thunk-Provoking
Reactions: Clockwork_PurBle
heh said:
Local bookmaker let me stack Trump,republican and state win bets, as in the odds multiply. I'm not sure if they don't get how elections work or if they made a mistake, but it's not my problem lmao, 600 EUR expected return on a 10EUR bet. It's 2.7 on Trump here, even those are ridiculous odds IMO
Click to expand...
It's called a parlay (US) or accumulator bet (UK).

What is an Accumulator Bet? | Bet Types Explained - AceOdds

Learn what an accumulator bet is and how to work out potential winnings. All concepts are outlined in a straightforward, easy to understand style.
www.aceodds.com www.aceodds.com
 
  • Like
Reactions: heh
Erischan said:
It's a natural result of counting votes. At any discrete point in the counting process, depending on which ballots happen to have randomly been counted so far, literally any random noise result could occur. It is theoretically possible for all of the ballots counted by now to happen to be the Biden ones. You would then get a 100% biden vote based on your count so far, but it wouldn't mean Biden got 100% of the vote. It wouldn't mean anything.
Any count before the final count doesn't matter and isn't meaningful data. If this is your first election expect lots of silly data points like this.
Click to expand...
I would agree with this, except this wasn't the early mail-in voting they were counting; this was a poll of "likely voters".


Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.

In Michigan, it's 51-44%, Biden-Trump, among likely voters, a slight Biden lead in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. The Senate race there stands at 52% for incumbent Democrat Gary Peters versus 46% for Republican John James, not a statistically significant difference, thus a rare chance this cycle for a GOP pickup, with control of the Senate in the balance.
 
  • Thunk-Provoking
Reactions: spiritofamermaid and Clockwork_PurBle
RockPaper said:
The point is they're telling PA to segregate the ballots that come in late so that if SCOTUS tosses them out after the election they can do it. They're basically saying Barrett doesn't have time to vet and research the case thoroughly before the 3rd. I honestly think that's a good outcome.
Click to expand...
Kavanaugh flipped from the deadlock a few days ago. I don't see why he'd renege again after a third decision.
 
Barbigny said:
Kavanaugh flipped from the deadlock a few days ago. I don't see why he'd renege again after a third decision.
Click to expand...
You can't assume the reason he flipped was because he changed his mind about the particulars of the law. More likely he had a procedural objection based on the compressd time between now and the election with a new Justice. But we'd have to read the opinion to be sure.
 
  • Thunk-Provoking
  • Like
Reactions: Iwasamwillbe, Teignmouth Electron, spiritofamermaid and 1 other person
Salubrious said:
I would agree with this, except this wasn't the early mail-in voting they were counting; this was a poll of "likely voters".


Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.

In Michigan, it's 51-44%, Biden-Trump, among likely voters, a slight Biden lead in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. The Senate race there stands at 52% for incumbent Democrat Gary Peters versus 46% for Republican John James, not a statistically significant difference, thus a rare chance this cycle for a GOP pickup, with control of the Senate in the balance.
Click to expand...
I heard there were many polls that showed the Michigan senate race being dead heat.

Also I really hope these polls are wrong and Trump wins both states
 
Salubrious said:
I would agree with this, except this wasn't the early mail-in voting they were counting; this was a poll of "likely voters".


Biden leads Trump by 57-40% among likely voters in Wisconsin, a state that's now reported to be third in the nation in per capita COVID-19 cases, with a 53% increase in average daily cases in the past two weeks, a record number of hospitalizations and a 112% jump in deaths. That compares with a closer 52-46% in mid-September.

In Michigan, it's 51-44%, Biden-Trump, among likely voters, a slight Biden lead in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. The Senate race there stands at 52% for incumbent Democrat Gary Peters versus 46% for Republican John James, not a statistically significant difference, thus a rare chance this cycle for a GOP pickup, with control of the Senate in the balance.
Click to expand...
ABC/NBC are always shit. They always give ridiculous Democrat leads.

Michigan isn't closer than Wisconsin either; I don't care if there's a COVID 'surge". That's just stupid.
 
  • Agree
  • Thunk-Provoking
  • Informative
Reactions: legalkochi, spiritofamermaid, Candlelight Desolation and 3 others
I am honestly teetering on doomer because of the news such as the supreme course verdict along with the fact that the results of the election won't be known on election night which makes me believe shenanigans are afoot, I hope I'm not wrong cause I do not want the Bush/Obama administration to take control again through their new puppets
 
  • Agree
  • Feels
Reactions: Akira Fudo, Iwasamwillbe, Twitter Hate Mob and 4 others
Speak of the devil, I don't even know what Nate is trying to imply here. That Trump runs FOX news? That Trump isn't doing anything important?

NateSilver_2020-10-28_20-58.png
 
  • Lunacy
  • Horrifying
Reactions: Iwasamwillbe, Exterminatus, Left Alone and 7 others
Alright. Gonna try straight up getting out of bed 8 8:30, go to the voting place, and get on I4 by 10am. My dad says these poling booths are packed and not to waste my day. I can’t wait to see Trump one more time.

The thing about my dad is he’s one of the campaign workers for the Government Branch in our island country. He’s been “politicking” since before I was born. His brother, my Uncle, even got to work in the 1988 Republican National Convention and even ushered various senators.

I’m a sperg, but we know politics in the family.
 
  • Like
  • Thunk-Provoking
  • Autistic
Reactions: Creepy Pig Man, Surprised Pikachu, the fall of man and 1 other person
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back