2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Man, I took a peek at the other 2020 Election thread, and man what a disappointment. Even the Doomers are low energy.

Anyway, My family and I have done our part and voted a few days ago. Despite everything I have a good feeling about this election.

Personally, I believe that the election result will pretty much be determined within a week of Election day. I am sure there will be monstrous lawsuits put into action and there may be a state or two which are going to be subject to said cases. However, I do not foresee a result contested enough to cause the "backup" methods to be used (I.e., State Representative determining President).

For the Election I plan to have a BBQ and relax as well as I can with the family. For those of you in contested areas, I hope you all stay safe. And I look forward to shit-posting with you all on Tuesday.
 
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the fall of man said:
Fun coincidences: The Supreme Court and the US presidency for the past 50 years are 6-3 Conservative.

Roberts maybe in name only, but on the other hand, Trump
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And despite that things jave been shit. Its like Rockwell said "what has conservatism conserved" going by raw data TDS should be the leftist edge of the political spectrum. Conservatives have been in control for roughly 2x as long as dems in every position in government. Somehow the leftist view always wins on every issue. Trump winning jjst means another 4 years to plan before fucking off to the utopia called the EU while the US burns.
 
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The sudden jitters from the same people who smugly thought Biden was up 17 points is amazing to watch. I’m almost reminded of Liar Liar and now everything they try to spin can’t be a lie or they’re going to have no polling future. I wasn’t around then and I’ve heard how Reagan was expected to lose to Carter in 1980 but it was an easy victory in the end, perhaps this is the same thing.

as long as people get and vote on Tuesday for Trump and don’t take this for granted it’s going to be a strong sense of 2012.
 
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In the span of about three hours, I saw a group of 20-30 Trump supporters on an overpass near the MN/WI border, a group of 15-20 in a random field in WI, a Trump parade of 50+ cars on 494 in Hennepin County, and another guy waving his Trump flag by himself on an overpass in MN. The Rust Belt is ready!
 
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mandatorylurk said:
The sudden jitters from the same people who smugly thought Biden was up 17 points is amazing to watch. I’m almost reminded of Liar Liar and now everything they try to spin can’t be a lie or they’re going to have no polling future. I wasn’t around then and I’ve heard how Reagan was expected to lose to Carter in 1980 but it was an easy victory in the end, perhaps this is the same thing.

as long as people get and vote on Tuesday for Trump and don’t take this for granted it’s going to be a strong sense of 2012.
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Example of jitters:

1604272508843.png
 
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X Prime said:
Ladies and gentlemen.

We are going to see some serious shit.

View attachment 1700398
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Here's a more clear version of this data since it seems to have confused most people.
8D299564-B1D7-4D8B-8F40-CBCDB0801FEA.jpeg


So with 61% of registered voters accounted for Republicans and Democrats are within 1%. Obviously the next question is who are the unaffiliated voting for as they make up over 20% of registered voters? All polling points to a small advantage for Biden there roughly 6-8%.

According to Ramussen polling Biden has an 8% advantage among people who already voted and a ~1% advantage among people who were "definitely voting" but Trump has a 15% advantage among people who haven't yet voted. Currently ~62% of the state's population has already voted by mail.

So if we take Ramussen numbers that means a +15% advantage of the remaining 38% who plan on voting are going for Trump which would put him them a single % race if the Biden folks show up too. Ramussen leans right compared to other polls which accounts for some of the "Trump Effect" we've seen in polling. Another interesting stat over 2/3 of voters over the age of 65 have already voted.

Should be an interesting night. I count on the Trump turnout being high so it's really about if the Democrats can get their people to show. Trump needs to close the early voting gap which is around 6-8% by most polls when unaffiliated voters are added in. That's about 500,000 - 700,000 votes. This is more or less the spot everyone expected the race to be in at this point given early vs in-person voting trends.

Of course we all know in 2020 good polling is harder than ever to come by. If you don't like these numbers blame Ramussen, I'm just looking at the only data I have and I still think literally anything could happen. IMO the most likely scenario is a close race Trump wins with a close Biden win second. If Biden wins I'd be shocked if it's by more than 2% though I think Trump has a shot at a >2% victory. Fact of the matter is Democrats are really good at saying they are going to vote then not showing up in a normal year but also 2020 is not a normal year.
 
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BONE_Buddy said:
Man, I took a peek at the other 2020 Election thread, and man what a disappointment. Even the Doomers are low energy.
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I've never evacuated a thread so quickly lol. Almost pulled a fast one on me there, putting it in Happenings. It's full stop Doomer Containment Central.
I get it, it's fucking terrifying. Grit your teeth and prepare ahead, go out and vote. Then go home and treat yourself.
We're going to get through this together, somehow.
 
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X Prime said:
I severely doubt Biden is winning Florida. There is a reason the Dem camp is freaking out, and that is because they know that Democrat voters do not show up on Election Day.
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Especially not THIS year. The Left buys into the covid fear more than the right. This will depress an already infamously depressed vote. The political calculus is that mail in ballots will be less work and therefore more likely to get out the democrat vote. The problem there is that its... actually not. If anything, they are harder due to needing specific knowledge to make the vote valid.
 
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Michael Jacks0n said:
you don't have to power level if you don't want, but what city? I live in a moderately sized town adjacent to a large east coast blue-voting city, and I'm seeing big stores having their windows boarded up with plywood too. It seems as if the Dems in my area are already panicking, otherwise they would be confident in a #BlueWave leaving their precious storefronts unmolested.

Also, the amount of Biden signs and bumper stickers I've seen in my area has been in the single digits, and often when people put up Biden stickers on mailboxes and telephone poles usually within 24 hours they get peeled off or vandalized with MAGA scrawlings. Again, I live in a solid blue area where no one would vocally praise Trump, so make of that what you will.
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blm chicago promised to riot everyday til biden enters the white house. they're just going to riot because they can. we'll see if the dems changed their attitudes toward rioting
 
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Gehenna said:
Especially not THIS year. The Left buys into the covid fear more than the right. This will depress an already infamously depressed vote. The political calculus is that mail in ballots will be less work and therefore more likely to get out the democrat vote. The problem there is that its... actually not. If anything, they are harder due to needing specific knowledge to make the vote valid.
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This is exactly correct. Right now, the gap of D-R with everything accounted for in the parties is about 100k in favor of D.

To assume the gap is larger, you have to assume that Biden is leading in Independents. Last I checked, Trump led in Floridian independents in 2016 in the final tally.
 
KidKitty said:
I've never evacuated a thread so quickly lol. Almost pulled a fast one on me there, putting it in Happenings. It's full stop Doomer Containment Central.
I get it, it's fucking terrifying. Grit your teeth and prepare ahead, go out and vote. Then go home and treat yourself.
We're going to get through this together, somehow.
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So low energy, many such doomers. SAD!
 
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You know I shitpost about the election a lot, and I've been engaged at arms length on an abstract political level. It's appealing to root for your team, to argue, to think about things in a theoretical sense.

But it dawned on me this evening that my employer had a rough year. Things are just barely starting to pick up in our industry, and if Biden follows Europe like an idiot and mandates another lockdown (or even gives my dumbshit Dem governor enough of an excuse), then there's a very real possibility that I can lose my job.

So yeah, fuck Biden for real, this can't happen. It's about me and my family now and my vote just took on an entirely different meaning.

I suspect that a number of people doing that same grim calculus right now who weren't as convinced as me to start with. I can only hope there are more of them than there are privileged dumbasses willing to fuck over the lower classes for their own fucked idea of virtue.
 
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