2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Kornheiser said:
Why is the happening thread so doompilled? Otherwise I’m just hunkering down for tomorrow to ride it out.
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I don't know. Trump has a reasonably good chance of being re-elected (85-90%) just due to incumbent advantage, the riots, him running against a shit candidate and the Democrats not learning their lesson from 2016. It's not certain (nothing is), but it's not the type of odds to hedge your bets over.
 
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HTTP Error 404 said:
California, the state where the Clintons literally campaigned for the GOP to prevent a Green Party Candidate from winning a major election.

That's something I learned from one of Jello Biafra's spoken word albums. He literally thought she was an international war criminal and would do unspeakable crimes if she got power.

REALLY sad to see him endorse and shill for "The Hillary Monster" in 2016 and beyond.
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Jello has a manufactured mythology stemming from his fight with tipper gore.

but did you know jello got cucked by the gutterpunk from the Feederz? Stole jello's wife/gf. that guy's music is probably more relevant and beloved than the DKs, doesnt help that current dk is riding that nostalgia train hard.
 
Oats12345 said:
Agree. Also didn't Republicans fall for a similar trap back in 2012, when they thought Mitt Romney would win becuase of the enthusiasm.

So dems should be careful
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I would think Republicans fell for that trap because they were - willfully or otherwise - unable to distinguish "poll enthusiasm", like we see for Joe Biden, from "incredibly obvious rally enthusiasm", as we see for Donald Trump.

Ruin said:
I think most of them are trolling Dynastia style.
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Some of them are probably legitimately unintelligent and unable to "see between the lines", though.
 
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For those who haven't voted yet: take an hour or so to look up the local candidates on the ballot. Usually your local news station or paper will have an actually useful voter guide where they ask the candidates questions, including the minor candidates for district courts, School Board, water district, tax collector, etc.

This year, when I looked up the candidates, I found about 1/3 of them focusing on things like racial equality, environmental justice, mask-wearing mandates, and all sorts of crap that goes beyond the purview of their office. I don't remember ever seeing this kind of virtue signaling at the local level before--sometimes they even admit what they're talking about isn't handled by the office they're running for.

So if you care about reducing the political nuttiness around you, cast an informed vote to block this kind of stuff in the place it most affects you directly. Don't let the lunacy at the national level distract you from the same thing taking hold in your local bureaucracy.

(I voted a week ago, focusing on populist candidates and "throw them out" choices at most levels. It wound up being a mixed ticket instead of sraight-line. My locality could use a shake-up.)
 
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Harvey Danger said:
For those who haven't voted yet: take an hour or so to look up the local candidates on the ballot. Usually your local news station or paper will have an actually useful voter guide where they ask the candidates questions, including the minor candidates for district courts, School Board, water district, tax collector, etc.

This year, when I looked up the candidates, I found about 1/3 of them focusing on things like racial equality, environmental justice, mask-wearing mandates, and all sorts of crap that goes beyond the purview of their office. I don't remember ever seeing this kind of virtue signaling at the local level before--sometimes they even admit what they're talking about isn't handled by the office they're running for.

So if you care about reducing the political nuttiness around you, cast an informed vote to block this kind of stuff in the place it most affects you directly. Don't let the lunacy at the national level distract you from the same thing taking hold in your local bureaucracy.

(I voted a week ago, focusing on populist candidates and "throw them out" choices at most levels. It wound up being a mixed ticket instead of sraight-line. My locality could use a shake-up.)
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I wish I could do that but outside of the president, congress and state assembly every other race went unopposed in my area. Someone by the university put a sign up for the republican candidate for Congress (who is going to lose thanks to the blacks) but as a way to support Trump without having their house wrecked.
 
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Kornheiser said:
I wish I could do that but outside of the president, congress and state assembly every other race went unopposed in my area. Someone by the university put a sign up for the republican candidate for Congress (who is going to lose thanks to the blacks) but as a way to support Trump without having their house wrecked.
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My ballot had one Republican candidate, and for the Democrats, the entire column was full of them. NY is a wash, even without the blacks.
 
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"Trump could win the election but he could also lose the election."

Brilliant reporting, thanks.
 
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Harvey Danger said:
For those who haven't voted yet: take an hour or so to look up the local candidates on the ballot. Usually your local news station or paper will have an actually useful voter guide where they ask the candidates questions, including the minor candidates for district courts, School Board, water district, tax collector, etc.
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In particular, pay very close attention to who is running for the top prosecutor positions where you live. Crime is skyrocketing in many places that have elected district attorneys who are basically Manchurian candidates for intersectional cult ideology. You can chart a direct correlation between electing prosecutors who are funded by people like George Soros (though he and his groups are far from the only wokeshit game in town as far as political dark money goes), and a precipitous decrease in overall quality of life. Transparency USA is a decent resource for researching who is funding local campaigns, and I'm sure there are other websites as well.
 
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It's over. Biden campaign says there is ‘no scenario’ where Trump can be declared winner on Election Day. (archive)

Jen O’Malley Dillon, the campaign manager for Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, said that “under no scenario will Donald Trump be declared victor on election night.”

Ms Dillon made the comments during a livestream the campaign hosted on Monday.
The stream outlined election security issues, Mr Biden’s various pathways to victory on Tuesday, and emphasised Mr Trump’s forecasted intention to declare himself the victor of the election before all the ballots have been counted.

Ms Dillion said Mr Trump’s demands that votes received after midnight on Election Day should be thrown out is the president just making things up.
Bob Bauer, Mr Biden's campaign adviser, also appeared on the livestream to address voter concerns over ballot security and potential irregularities.

Mr Bauer discussed early and absentee voting and explained the purpose of nonpartisan election monitors that have been assigned to watch polling places across the country.

He said Mr Trump has been "exhibiting increasing levels of desperation in recent days," and warned viewers to ignore any attempt by the president to declare victory on Tuesday night before the vote totals have been reported.

Mr Bauer also urged voters not to be intimidated by reports of Trump supporters harassing Biden voters. He referenced scenes in New York, New Jersey and Texas where caravans of Trump supporters used their vehicles to block major roadways and - in one instance - rammed Biden supporters while trying to force a bus full of Biden personnel off the highway.

He said that incidents like that were few and far between, and that law enforcement officials were investigating the encounters.

However, police in Texas, New York and New Jersey have been criticised for not acting quicker to bring the Trump caravans to heel. Democratic supporters have accused the police of having double standards, as Trump supporters appeared to have no opposition while flagrantly violating the law, while police in North Carolina pepper sprayed a peaceful march to the polls that was made up of families and children in Halloween costumes.

On Monday, Mr Trump tweeted his support for the caravan drivers and expressed his anger with the FBI for launching a probe into their voter intimidation stunt. He said the FBI should be investigating "anarchists and agitators of ANTIFA."

Mr Bauer said that he was aware that Mr Trump was likely plotting a legal challenge to the election results, but said it would be a "case that Trump can't win."

"Trump is focused on his lawyers, not his voters," Mr Bauer said. "We're prepared for legal hijinks of one kind or another, we're not worried about it."
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tl;dr: Give it up, Trump. Our words raise red flags to your dumb supporters, but even if you win, you lose!

EDIT: Tweets from Posobiec
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I concur with whoever noted earlier in the thread that if Biden wins, then the Democrats can win with pretty much anybody.

Imagine Biden wins tomorrow. Now imagine what more any other candidate on the Democratic debate stage could've achieved? Or, shit, literally anyone else the DNC could put forward. Biden can't get through a rally without the Republicans snipping at least one cringe clip out of the proceedings. Imagine the total landslide the Democrats would get had they a candidate which 1) could engage with the public throughout the year, and 2) DOESN'T announce toxic policy or make some deadly gaffe on the daily.

Trump's doing 5 rallies a day and yet Biden wins anyway? The GOP is officially dead. The signs were there in 2012, but they've since been buoyed by Trump's sheer will of personality. Without him they have nothing.
 
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Salubrious said:

TL;DR so far:
J.P. Morgan's Analysis shows polls are still MASSIVELY biased towards Democrats.
Young people are less than 5% of the early vote.
Trump is about to whoop Biden's ass in Wisconsin.
Trump has closed the gap in Pennsylvania.
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Interesting tidbits about Minnesota. It looks to be almost unpollable by Baris's best metrics.
 
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CrippleThreat said:
It's over. Biden campaign says there is ‘no scenario’ where Trump can be declared winner on Election Day. (archive)



tl;dr: Give it up, Trump. Our words raise red flags to your dumb supporters, but even if you win, you lose!

EDIT: Tweets from Posobiec
View attachment 1702047
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Gonna get a lot of rainbow stickers for saying this, but I'm curious what would happen if Trump lucked out once again and gets enough votes by the end of the night or the next morning that they can't feasibly use the margin of error/voter fraud in their favor without drawing way too much attention to it?

It'll probably not happen and the only realistic prediction anyone can make is that this election is gonna be super fucking close. Posts like this make me think that even the DNC know it's gonna be tight even with any voter fraud taken into account and they're assessing the situation and hoping for either a close but easily plausible win for Biden or something so close it'll get a repeat of Bush v. Gore and they can get Roberts and maybe one of the other justices to flake.

I'm pretty sure there was rampant voter rigging in 2016 in certain places but it's probably gotten a lot worse thanks to TDS, the bigwigs freaking out to try and get Trump out now that they have a shot at it and the fact that everyone was convinced Hillary would win and that vote rigging was probably a "just in case" measure.
 
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