I’d say Arizona is more like Oregon with Pima/Tucson being the Eugene to Maricopa/Phoenix’s Portland, since Tucson is home to the University of Arizona.
Stupid take: what is the chance that we see states flip to Trump to avoid the hammer of the lawsuits, recounts, and audits? For as dedicated to the revolution people say they are, criminal charges, especially federal, are a great way to test resolve...that or the rigging machine could make a convincing argument to be a fall guy to keep things under wraps.