I'm skeptical she'll make bank only because she's horrendously bad at capitalizing on her publicity. It's part laziness and also the fact she's just really fucking dumb.
What's likely to happen is that she'll probably see initial interest, which allows for at least some consistent updates to justify the monthly fee, but she'll realize it's way harder work than YouTube, where her shit content is not just free but accessible to a wider audience. So, she'll do what Chantal has done her entire life whenever things get hard: she'll bail.
My guess is she uses her content leaking as the reason for her deleting her OF.
Yeah, I agree with this. She'll get a combination of curious regs, sneaky Haydurs, undercover 'farmers, and two or three people who really enjoy this kind of thing. If she gets 100 subs this week, she'll make a quick $500-$1000 (minus commission), which ought to fix whatever is wrong with her dying Kia for a month or two.
Most of the haydur coin will evaporate as soon as they realize they can see it here for free. Her regs aren't going to shell out monthly for this shit either, and if they
do, it will cannibalize her superchat money (why superchat if I've already made my monthly donation to Chantalopolis?).
If we take seriously the notion that she is running a business (and in some ways, she legitimately is), then she has two choices: put a lot more effort into her videos and lifestyle and stop being a lolcow (impossible for her), or diversify her business (which means spreading the shoddiness more thinly). However, in order to diversify, she has to come up with an income stream completely independent of the one she has. She can't just cannibalize an existing income stream, as she is doing. I don't think she understands this last part. Her OnlyFans windfall this week will solely be from people who already watch her anyway. In order to diversify, she will need to draw from untapped new fans that she attracts through OnlyFans. I humbly submit that the number she adds per month will probably be in the single digits, not even enough to pay for an Uber Eats run. Even feeders have standards, and the market is saturated with fat girls who
don't shit themselves and fart loudly (which would be a different fetish)
So, as everyone else has already noted, this is a lose-lose proposition for her. Aside from a one-time windfall, she will not really make money. However, she
will make a complete horse's ass of herself. She may even
lose some regular YouTube viewers from this, which is something she can't afford.
I agree, she'll blame leaks for shutting it down, and I suspect a chimpout may accompany that move. If so, she will have done the right thing. If she keeps it going, just to prove some fat-addled point, she will be shooting herself in the gunt. Either way, she loses and we win. And either way, her mental condition will deteriorate.