Ahead of the marathon, I just want to point out, Phil saying he lost $2k is a semantic lie based on the hypothetical money missing from subs.
Let's just take what Phil told us for face value. Not even considering the actual amounts, lets just hand graph the shit out of this and use his own words.
1. When Phil lost his Twitch partnership, he set the tips goal immediately to $200/stream to 'make up for the money' he lost from Twitch. This compensated for the missing $2k for the month of April and May. (+$0 - breaking even)
2. Phil got paid on April 15th from Twitch, and then, even though he was unsure, got paid on May 15th. This is in addition to the $200/stream already covering it. (+$2000 for May)
3. In June, Phil kept the $200/stream tips goal and still got paid by YT, compensating for his lost Twitch income, and still getting some, albeit less, from YT). (+$1000 for June)
Based on what Phil has told us alone, he has, over the last few months, lost no money. In fact, he is up $3000 additional dollars because he collected to cover his missing paychecks on top of the paychecks he still received. July would be the first paycheck where he did not have this supplemental income and he now can't afford anything.
This means, by Phil's own math, he has earned over $3000 extra over what he would normally earn, and this money has gone completely missing, even though he is, allegedly, only using the money to cover bills and necessary expenses. This extra money should have carried him for at least one month of reduced income (ie. July) while he focused on memberships and got that 'passive' income back up. That would be how you run a business.
You no longer need to look at the forums or even perform the Forbidden Math Techniques. Using simple cause/effect logic and Phil's own basic statements, you can see that there is a massive problem here.