Okay now some of you idiots actually are talking about some kind of Chinese military occupation and achieving consolation by masturbating to the idea that they'd fuck up like the US did/is.
That's incredibly pathetic.
It's not gonna happen, guys. There was some left over Cold War rivalry over Afghanistan between the US and Russia, but China doesn't and won't give a fuck. They will continue to not give a fuck. When they take over as uncontested world superpower it obviously won't be by imitating all the dumb shit America did in the process of retardedly losing their empire.
Daydreaming about someone else failing to make yourself feel better about currently failing is seriously a weak pussy coping mechanism.
I'll take the bait.
China has not gotten sucked into any military adventurism because they have never had the chance with adjacent borders. Afghanistan is their first chance to get their dick stuck in the hornets nest.
I'm trying to summarize, so apologies for oversight and rambling like a kue-tard.
China really doesn't give a shit about the mining. They would like access, the middle class would buy the shit out of the lapis, but they don't care, really. That's a nice to have.
What they want is a secure, overland path to Iran. They want a pipeline to move Iranian Oil in so they can use a roadway to trade for everything that Iran needs. They also want to be able to use Iran as a go-between to expand their arms exports to the Middle East and South America via Hezbollah.
So China makes deals with the Taliban for road construction. But the Taliban have enemies. These enemies are likely to start suddenly declaring the Ugiyurs as important vital muslims and begin collaborating with them on terror attacks. First outside China and then possibly inside.
China cannot let this go unanswered. They will try to task the Taliban with it, but the Taliban are shiftless arabs. They will talk a big game, and do nothing. China will threaten their loans, but the problem is you can't threaten an Afghan with that shit. "Oh, well, ok I guess I just go back to raising and fucking goats like I was doing from 800ad until last week".
Which means China will be left with two options:
Write everything off, shut down their overland link with Iran and go back to how it was before, or go in and fight themselves.
I want add to this how precarious the CCP's position in China really is. The average chink is a jingoist nationalist high on their own racial superiority, but they are loyal to China and not the People's Republic of China. If China's economy fails to grow (I believe its by 3% yoy, but cannot remember the exact metric) for more than two years, it would trigger an economic crisis that would see the CCP overthrown by violent mobs.
So they would be very motivated to keep that trade link open.