We have traditionally looked at the total $ value of tips to determine how Dave is doing in the grifting department, but there are a couple other interesting metrics we can use to look at more specific trends embedded in the overall data. Namely, average tip ($) and STDEV.
Let's look at the columns and see what they mean:
1.
Total ($): Self explanatory, this is the total $ value of tips received for that month.
2.
# of tips: This is the total number of tips received regardless of their individual value. This number has particular importance in regards to PayPal fee calculations. Here is an example.
- If Dave was tipped $2.50 a hundred times, his gross amount would be $250, and net amount after fees would be $193.78.
- Compare to if he was tipped $5.00 fifty times, his gross amount would still be $250, but his net amount after fees would be $218.28 (an increase of ~12%).
3.
AVG tip ($): Simply the total value divided by total # of tips. A higher average value means that the general percentage of tips received are higher. Note that this value gets a bit skewed by super large tips, which is where Standard Deviation can help out a bit.
4.
STD DEV: The Standard deviation is used to measure VARIATION or DISPERSION in any given data set. My background is in biomedical sciences so standard deviation is something that will always be assessed in medical studies, research papers, etc. The STDEV can range anywhere from ZERO to INFINITY (it can never be negative). As we can see with the image I posted, the STDEV started out largest at 36.0, and has trended down every single month after that. So what does this mean exactly?
The 68–95–99.7 rule
This rule states that 68% of all values in a normal distribution will be within 1 STDEV of the MEAN (or AVG tip in this case), 95% within 2 STDEV, and 97.7% within 3 STDEV.
For example: Let's say that Dave had an AVG TIP of $7.00 and a STDEV of 10.0. That would indicate that 68% of all tips received that month were <$17, 95% of all tips received were <$27, and 97.7% of all tips received were <$37.
In May 2021, he had not only a high AVG tip amount, but also a very much higher than usual STDEV. If we look at the following image it's easy to see why, the majority of his insane megatips were given in May, with some scattered in June and July, and basically nothing >$100 in August.
View attachment 2478298
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN AND WHO GIVES A FUCK?
When DSP gets a $200, $500, or $1000 donation, what sort of meaning is behind it compared to a $25 or $50 donation? The answer in my opinion, is
hype.
I've always been of the opinion (along with many of you I suspect) that DSP
needs drama to consistently pull in whales. Remember, whales make up the lion's share of his donations --
HE NEEDS THEM TO KEEP PULLING IN A SIX-FIGURE ANNUAL INCOME. His biggest drama of the last couple years occurred with his de-partnering and move to YouTube. This generated a supernova of hype that reached across the autism vortex and brought in whales and wheelchairs alike to give tribute to the pigroach. This downward trend is signaling to me that he's falling back into an equilibrium, and if the whale tips are decreasing, then that means he needs to lean more into his fifty bit bitches for support (your carltonjuniors, snowkarls, RomeyROs, Rob Matthews, etc.) With the STDEV on an obvious downward trend, it's clear that the megatips that he has taken completely for granted have begun drying up. (note that if for example a $1000 tip was broken up into smaller chunks, that would drive up the AVG tip and drive down the STDEV).
Why is this a problem? DSP has very clearly begun to openly antagonize this demographic through CONSTANT begging, obvious lying, and inability to draw in new support. It is theoretically a lot easier to hook in an alfredaponte than an OnlyIcedCoffee, and he's going to need a shit ton of fifty bit bitches to make up for even a single lost whale. Obviously his remaining 50 bit bitches are either wheelchairs, trolls, or sycophants, but this logic should still mostly apply. I guess we'll just see if the trend continues.
I'm not sure if a single word of this was useful or interesting but thanks for reading anyway lmao.
