Well, it's almost time for Hollywood's annual circlejerk, and I figured I'd open the floor to everyone's predictions/who they want to win. I'd personally be okay with Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Shape of Water and Dunkirk at least scoring Best Picture nominations, while it'd be criminal if Blade Runner 2049 doesn't win Best Cinematography.
Best Actress is probably going to be between Frances McDormand (Three Billboards), Saorise Ronan (Lady Bird), and Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water), and for me is the most interesting race this year.
For Best Actor, Daniel Day-Lewis getting nominated for Phantom Thread is practically a guarantee at this point, and Timothee Chalamet has a good chance of getting one as well for Call Me By Your Name. James Franco (The Disaster Artist) is a maybe. And I know this will not happen, but I really hope Andy Serkis finally gets recognition for War for the Planet of the Apes.
I'm not as sure about Best Supporting Actor, but I'm really pushing for Sam Rockwell for his work in Three Billboards this year (which has a fair chance), and I'd love to see Patrick Stewart get some love for Logan (which won't happen).
Jordan Peele (Get Out), Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk), Guillermo Del Toro (The Shape of Water), and Martin McDonough (Three Billboards) all have shots at Best Director.
And as for Best Picture, the films most likely to be nominated IMO are Get Out, Lady Bird, Call Me By Your Name, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards, and Dunkirk.
I think the Disney/Pixar cabal has already ensured that Coco will win Best Animated Feature (in a year without much else in the way of breakout animated films that weren't either sequels or spinoffs) but I'm definitely hoping to see Sunao Katabuchi's In This Corner of the World, a tragicomic film about the effects of World War II rationing and firebombings on Kure, a shipbuilding town not too far from Hiroshima, at least get nominated. I think it has a solid chance even if it's not a Ghibli film.
I'm having a hard time even predicting the Best Animated Feature nominees that aren't Coco, though. Cars 3 will probably be ignored like every other Pixar sequel that isn't Toy Story, Despicable Me 3 and Baby Boss don't seem like Oscar nomination-worthy material, and, if The Lego Movie got snubbed for being a toy tie-in cartoon (regardless of how good it actually was), I don't see Lego Batman having much of chance (interestingly Warner also submitted Lego Ninjago). Which is another reason why I think In this Corner of the World has a serious shot at nomination, that there weren't all that many "good" mainstream animated films this year.
“The Big Bad Fox & Other Tales”
“Birdboy: The Forgotten Children”
“The Boss Baby”
“The Breadwinner”
“Captain Underpants The First Epic Movie”
“Cars 3”
“Cinderella the Cat”
“Coco”
“Despicable Me 3”
“The Emoji Movie”
“Ethel & Ernest”
“Ferdinand”
“The Girl without Hands”
“In This Corner of the World”
“The Lego Batman Movie”
“The Lego Ninjago Movie”
“Loving Vincent”
“Mary and the Witch’s Flower”
“Moomins and the Winter Wonderland”
“My Entire High School Sinking into the Sea”
“Napping Princess”
“A Silent Voice”
“Smurfs: The Lost Village”
“The Star”
“Sword Art Online: The Movie – Ordinal Scale”
“Window Horses The Poetic Persian Epiphany of Rosie Ming”
Please note that being on the Oscar shortlist is not an indicator of quality, but rather, simply, an indication that someone associated with the film's distribution filled out the paperwork and paid whatever the submission fee is and then the Academy determined that the film isn't ineligible. If you're wondering why Your Name isn't there, it was already submitted for 2016.
There will be a huge circlejerk fest about how thanks to all the brave women who came forward, Hollywood is going to oust all the sex pests in the industry and make sure it can never happen again, and aren't they all great for realizing Weinstein was a creep.
The sexual harrassment scandals are a huge elephant in the room that they can't avoid and because it's the Academy Awards they'll address it in the most autofellating way possible.
I think the Disney/Pixar cabal has already ensured that Coco will win Best Animated Feature (in a year without much else in the way of breakout animated films that weren't either sequels or spinoffs) but I'm definitely hoping to see Sunao Katabuchi's In This Corner of the World, a tragicomic film about the effects of World War II rationing and firebombings on Kure, a shipbuilding town not too far from Hiroshima, at least get nominated. I think it has a solid chance even if it's not a Ghibli film.
I'm having a hard time even predicting the Best Animated Feature nominees that aren't Coco, though. Cars 3 will probably be ignored like every other Pixar sequel that isn't Toy Story, Despicable Me 3 and Baby Boss don't seem like Oscar nomination-worthy material, and, if The Lego Movie got snubbed for being a toy tie-in cartoon (regardless of how good it actually was), I don't see Lego Batman having much of chance (interestingly Warner also submitted Lego Ninjago). Which is another reason why I think In this Corner of the World has a serious shot at nomination, that there weren't all that many "good" mainstream animated films this year.
“The Big Bad Fox & Other Tales”
“Birdboy: The Forgotten Children”
“The Boss Baby”
“The Breadwinner”
“Captain Underpants The First Epic Movie”
“Cars 3”
“Cinderella the Cat”
“Coco”
“Despicable Me 3”
“The Emoji Movie”
“Ethel & Ernest”
“Ferdinand”
“The Girl without Hands”
“In This Corner of the World”
“The Lego Batman Movie”
“The Lego Ninjago Movie”
“Loving Vincent”
“Mary and the Witch’s Flower”
“Moomins and the Winter Wonderland”
“My Entire High School Sinking into the Sea”
“Napping Princess”
“A Silent Voice”
“Smurfs: The Lost Village”
“The Star”
“Sword Art Online: The Movie – Ordinal Scale”
“Window Horses The Poetic Persian Epiphany of Rosie Ming”
Please note that being on the Oscar shortlist is not an indicator of quality, but rather, simply, an indication that someone associated with the film's distribution filled out the paperwork and paid whatever the submission fee is and then the Academy determined that the film isn't ineligible. If you're wondering why Your Name isn't there, it was already submitted for 2016.
I can just tell you all the probable nominees:
* Coco
* Loving Vincent
* Random GKIDS Movie that won't win.
* Another random GKIDS movie that won't win.
* *Insert Anime, LEGO Batman or third random GKIDS movie that won't win here.*
