AI has been both impressive and disappointing, its great for graphic stuff but sucks at the real thing. Like if you're a massive coomer then this is your golden age, I seen stuff floating around that should make every pornographer and OF "model" sweat bullets, but when it comes to engineering and other STEM stuff the hallucinations are bad. My experience with AI coding has been really bad, I already talked about it in other threads. Thing is if an AI hallucinates while diffusing your big tiddy waifu then she might come out with an extra finger, no biggie. But if it hallucinates with code suddenly an entire datacenter goes down, part of the electric grid goes dark, your car drives into the side of a truck and Jill Stein wins an election.
And its not just STEM, AI has hallucinated with disastrous results in other areas like law and psychology. But the real problem that should make you scared is that corpos don't care, if they get to fire a bunch of people to replace it with an exponentially cheaper AI that works most of the time they are gonna do it, as long as paying for damages is less than not using the shitty AI, its the ford pinto business logic.
So no I don't think the glorified markov chains that is modern AI will surpass humans nor lead to AGI, but it will still replace a lot of people because greedy fucks run the world.