- Joined
- Aug 13, 2016
The majority of the "elected" women helped by emerge America are local races like county, schoolboard or city where typically run unopposed.
Brianna Wu / John Walker Flynt - "Biggest Victim of Gamergate," Failed Game Developer, Failed Congressional Candidate
- Thread starter Jaimas
- Start date
- Joined
- Jan 24, 2015
Gee John, it's almost like not everyone within a particular demographic group thinks exactly alike.
- Joined
- Mar 17, 2017
Here is a link to the dem primary results:
http://results.elections.virginia.gov/vaelections/2017 June Democratic Primary/Site/GeneralAssembly.html
Jennifer Foy defeated Joshua King in District 2 by 12 votes.
Danica Roem won handily in Dist 13.
Two emerge candidates were the only contenders in 31, victory to Elizabeth Guzman.
Tia Walbridge eked out a win in 33 (against a woman, but not an Emerge "alumni")
42 was solely two emerge candidates; hard to lose that one.
In 51 Hala Ayala shitstomped some other guy to win.
56 the only contenders were two emerge candidates.
Karrie Delaney crushed 67.
Dawn Adams was victorious in 68 by a comfortable margin.
Now, let's break it down.
I am using Ballotpedia for the easy compilation of info here; we just want to take a glance at the numbers.
District 2 is "safely republican"; the current incumbent defeated the previous republican in the primary handily in 2016 and gave the dem candidate a smackdown, 61.3% to 38.5%. In other words, nobody gives a fuck cause the dem isn't going to win next go around.
District 13 is not particularly populated based on polling numbers; however a republican candidate, Bob Marshall, retained his position in 2013 and handily beat down the democratic challenger in 2015. While a small district, relatively speaking, he did win by a comfortable margin- 56.1 to 43.9%. Probably still safe for the republican, especially if Roem is one of the new-age #resist / #shepersisted / #Imwithher types.
In dist 31, a Republican defended his title in 2013 and then handily defeated a true and honest woman in 2015. While not by an overwhelming margin (53.4 to 46.6) it is also a smaller district, and these don't tend to have major turnover. A hard race for a newcomer dem.
District 33 is on republican lockdown, the 2015 race Dave "Huge Cock" Larock suplexed democratic contenders into submission, taking 59.9% of the vote to the democratic candidate's 36.5%. Call it safe republican for the next go around too- that's a big margin.
District 42 is also safe republican, with a 2015 race showing the incumbent repub candidate, Dave Albo, flexing his heteromisogynistic muscles to defeat another woman, Joana Garcia (double patriarchy points for defeating someone with a minority sounding name). 63.4 to 36.6%. good fucking luck to the Emerge candidates, you aren't going to win.
District 51 is a bit harder to call- the republican candidate was unopposed in 2015 in the general and primary! This either means the democrats in that district can't get their shit together, or this guy is really hard to beat. Looking back a bit there has been very little activity in the democratic primary in this district, and often it is unopposed.
In 56 the Republican candidate has been unopposed the past two elections in either the primary or general. Unless he's really goofed up in the past couple of years, that generally indicates "safe seat" to me. Bonus data points, though- he isn't running this year, and the republican primary was very active- 8824 votes recorded versus 5083 in the democratic primary. In a time period when dems should be riding an activist high, that does not bode well. There were also six republican contenders versus only two democratic; both emerge candidates- that additionally tells me that the republican depth is stronger there.
In 67, we have another republican district where the incumbent was unopposed in the general and primary most recently after winning in 2013. Good luck!
In 68, you have another strong republican district where the incumbent most recently defeated a democratic challenger by a strong margin of 62.7 to 36.8%.
So let's recap:
Emerge Candidates were only successful in the primary in districts where republicans are in charge. For those not aware of the US political system, parties aren't a mandated thing- but almost every candidate associates with one, and parties hold primaries, which are sort of like smaller elections, to decide what candidates to put into the general election. You win the primary, and lose the general, you get jack shit (in most states, there are a few exceptions, but not in VA and especially not in these races).
All districts which have Emerge candidates are either historically republican to the point of the republican normally running unopposed, or feature a wide Republican stranglehold in terms of vote numbers.
In these districts for which I was able to find primary vote numbers, Republican vote numbers were typically higher than democratic- which while not always an indicator of the general, generally indicates a more electrified base, since it shows that people actually give a fuck and get out and vote. Further, more people identify as Democratic that republican, but affiliated democrats are MUCH more likely to cross party lines than republicans (This is largely a southern affectation but not exclusively- many people register as their mammy and pappy did before them, but realize fully that the democratic party of today is not the democratic party of, say, the pre-LBJ years).
In other words, in all likelihood NONE of the emerge candidates will win, and even in a best case scenario they are looking at an uphill battle based on voter trends in their districts. It is rare anybody gives a shit about the actual intricacies of a particular district- state level elections are very largely along party or ideological lines, and the distinctions between candidates are made manifest in the primaries.
All that hard work, that will amount to jack shit in the end. Also their facebook page sucks and they crop their infographics really poorly so I hate them.
ADDITIONAL POINT TO CONSIDER: Virginia's primary system is open, and party affiliation is not enforced. Anybody can vote for any party member they choose. Republican voters are asked to sign a (non-binding) agreement stating that they are Republican party members. On their honor, with no penalties for lying. It's not likely anybody is orchestrating some weird plot to insert shitty candidates into the general by rigging the primary, sort of like how some (mostly sarcastic) people thought the democrats tried to do by getting DJT into the general for 2016.
http://results.elections.virginia.gov/vaelections/2017 June Democratic Primary/Site/GeneralAssembly.html
Jennifer Foy defeated Joshua King in District 2 by 12 votes.
Danica Roem won handily in Dist 13.
Two emerge candidates were the only contenders in 31, victory to Elizabeth Guzman.
Tia Walbridge eked out a win in 33 (against a woman, but not an Emerge "alumni")
42 was solely two emerge candidates; hard to lose that one.
In 51 Hala Ayala shitstomped some other guy to win.
56 the only contenders were two emerge candidates.
Karrie Delaney crushed 67.
Dawn Adams was victorious in 68 by a comfortable margin.
Now, let's break it down.
I am using Ballotpedia for the easy compilation of info here; we just want to take a glance at the numbers.
District 2 is "safely republican"; the current incumbent defeated the previous republican in the primary handily in 2016 and gave the dem candidate a smackdown, 61.3% to 38.5%. In other words, nobody gives a fuck cause the dem isn't going to win next go around.
District 13 is not particularly populated based on polling numbers; however a republican candidate, Bob Marshall, retained his position in 2013 and handily beat down the democratic challenger in 2015. While a small district, relatively speaking, he did win by a comfortable margin- 56.1 to 43.9%. Probably still safe for the republican, especially if Roem is one of the new-age #resist / #shepersisted / #Imwithher types.
In dist 31, a Republican defended his title in 2013 and then handily defeated a true and honest woman in 2015. While not by an overwhelming margin (53.4 to 46.6) it is also a smaller district, and these don't tend to have major turnover. A hard race for a newcomer dem.
District 33 is on republican lockdown, the 2015 race Dave "Huge Cock" Larock suplexed democratic contenders into submission, taking 59.9% of the vote to the democratic candidate's 36.5%. Call it safe republican for the next go around too- that's a big margin.
District 42 is also safe republican, with a 2015 race showing the incumbent repub candidate, Dave Albo, flexing his heteromisogynistic muscles to defeat another woman, Joana Garcia (double patriarchy points for defeating someone with a minority sounding name). 63.4 to 36.6%. good fucking luck to the Emerge candidates, you aren't going to win.
District 51 is a bit harder to call- the republican candidate was unopposed in 2015 in the general and primary! This either means the democrats in that district can't get their shit together, or this guy is really hard to beat. Looking back a bit there has been very little activity in the democratic primary in this district, and often it is unopposed.
In 56 the Republican candidate has been unopposed the past two elections in either the primary or general. Unless he's really goofed up in the past couple of years, that generally indicates "safe seat" to me. Bonus data points, though- he isn't running this year, and the republican primary was very active- 8824 votes recorded versus 5083 in the democratic primary. In a time period when dems should be riding an activist high, that does not bode well. There were also six republican contenders versus only two democratic; both emerge candidates- that additionally tells me that the republican depth is stronger there.
In 67, we have another republican district where the incumbent was unopposed in the general and primary most recently after winning in 2013. Good luck!
In 68, you have another strong republican district where the incumbent most recently defeated a democratic challenger by a strong margin of 62.7 to 36.8%.
So let's recap:
Emerge Candidates were only successful in the primary in districts where republicans are in charge. For those not aware of the US political system, parties aren't a mandated thing- but almost every candidate associates with one, and parties hold primaries, which are sort of like smaller elections, to decide what candidates to put into the general election. You win the primary, and lose the general, you get jack shit (in most states, there are a few exceptions, but not in VA and especially not in these races).
All districts which have Emerge candidates are either historically republican to the point of the republican normally running unopposed, or feature a wide Republican stranglehold in terms of vote numbers.
In these districts for which I was able to find primary vote numbers, Republican vote numbers were typically higher than democratic- which while not always an indicator of the general, generally indicates a more electrified base, since it shows that people actually give a fuck and get out and vote. Further, more people identify as Democratic that republican, but affiliated democrats are MUCH more likely to cross party lines than republicans (This is largely a southern affectation but not exclusively- many people register as their mammy and pappy did before them, but realize fully that the democratic party of today is not the democratic party of, say, the pre-LBJ years).
In other words, in all likelihood NONE of the emerge candidates will win, and even in a best case scenario they are looking at an uphill battle based on voter trends in their districts. It is rare anybody gives a shit about the actual intricacies of a particular district- state level elections are very largely along party or ideological lines, and the distinctions between candidates are made manifest in the primaries.
All that hard work, that will amount to jack shit in the end. Also their facebook page sucks and they crop their infographics really poorly so I hate them.
ADDITIONAL POINT TO CONSIDER: Virginia's primary system is open, and party affiliation is not enforced. Anybody can vote for any party member they choose. Republican voters are asked to sign a (non-binding) agreement stating that they are Republican party members. On their honor, with no penalties for lying. It's not likely anybody is orchestrating some weird plot to insert shitty candidates into the general by rigging the primary, sort of like how some (mostly sarcastic) people thought the democrats tried to do by getting DJT into the general for 2016.
- Joined
- Dec 6, 2015
She deleted this tweet:
I guess that was a little too close to admitting that SHE's part of the transgender community.
I guess that was a little too close to admitting that SHE's part of the transgender community.
- Joined
- Dec 3, 2013
- Joined
- Oct 27, 2014
Here candidate Wu discovers that sitting on one's arse and phoning people = $$$.
- Joined
- Jan 24, 2015
- Joined
- Feb 20, 2017
lol 2 and 3 star hotels. What a fucking loser. You'd think he could get a better hotel with how much he makes from Patreon and those speaking arrangements he has, unless of course he doesn't get a dime for them.
Charlie Delicious
kiwifarms.net
- Joined
- Mar 31, 2017
Most people climb Everest with their wallets, not their skills.
- Joined
- Feb 3, 2013
I don't even know why he's complaining. Does he need a fancy chef on staff in the hotel when he was just eating Potbelly every day anyway? Does he need expensive furniture and tasteful art in the room when he lives in an unfurnished house full of anime figures? Does he need friends around when he just stays home alone all day anyway while Frank works? What exactly is the difference between a cheap hotel and the Wu home? If anything, the hotel's probably cleaner.
- Joined
- Jan 24, 2015
- Joined
- Oct 28, 2014
Oh yeah, living your life out of hotels is such a hardship.
Way to show you're in touch with those blue collar dems you expect to represent, Wu.
- Joined
- Dec 3, 2013
It's almost like the comic book team had mostly men in it or something...
- Joined
- Dec 6, 2015
Could have at least spelt "Weadon"'s name right.
So another one on the SJW eating themselves hit list. Yesterday, Whedon was a gamergate hating, strong woman character writing member of the inner circle. Today he's apparently persona non grata. How is it that they expect to have any friends left if the slightest infraction instantly condemns you as a perpetual infidel?
So another one on the SJW eating themselves hit list. Yesterday, Whedon was a gamergate hating, strong woman character writing member of the inner circle. Today he's apparently persona non grata. How is it that they expect to have any friends left if the slightest infraction instantly condemns you as a perpetual infidel?
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2014
Who cares? Anyone who climbs Everest literally climbs past dozens of dead bodies on their way there, because nobody wants to clean them up. It's an incredibly stupid and deadly sport for very odd people with strange priorities.
ZKWNordman
kiwifarms.net
- Joined
- May 2, 2017
Look at all of that Wuspreading there. Wu is Wuspreading that Soylent coffee and phone right into the next person's space.
Edit: No, wait. As someone else pointed out, that's actually Wu pictured there in the center. Wu is taking up THREE SEAT AREAS with all of her shit. I realize the room is mostly empty but Christ. Organize your filthy crap.
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- Joined
- Sep 1, 2016
Yeah, if you've got a family. When I was single I traveled the US for work, and it was pretty damn sweet. Having to tell friends "sorry, can't hang, I'm in another state," sucked a bit, but overall positive.
Funnily enough, it helped me appreciate fly-over country a lot more, in contrast to Wu, who would likely hock loogies on Missouri if the windows on a 747 rolled down.
Also: I call huge BS on him spending 4 months a year away from home.
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- Joined
- Nov 14, 2013
You'd think someone who travels so much would be a high enough rewards level to get hotel upgrades for free.
- Joined
- Dec 6, 2015
I don't think Motel 6 has a loyalty programme.
- Joined
- Nov 14, 2013
The Godzilla of Tech Feminism must feel at home sleeping in filth.