CN China Sets Up 'Planetary Defense' Unit Over 2032 Asteroid Threat - The asteroid is being monitored by multiple space agencies globally, and various methods of averting a collision have been proposed.

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China has established a "planetary defense" team to counter the threat of an asteroid that could hit Earth in 2032.

As concerns grow regarding the threat from space, Beijing's State Administration of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense has begun recruiting workers for its defense team, according to the South China Morning Post.

Newsweek contacted NASA and the Chinese Embassy in the U.K. for comment via email outside normal business hours.

Why It Matters​

On Friday, the European Space Agency said the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 was 2.2 percent, placing it at the top of the agency's risk list.

NASA has said the asteroid is the most dangerous space object near Earth. Though the chances of the asteroid making impact are small, space agencies around the world are preparing for its potential arrival

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Two staff members at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in the Gobi Desert in Inner Mongolia, China, on May 29, 2023.
Lidiya Stanchenko/Associated Press

What To Know​

China's State Administration of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defense has begun assembling a space defense team by posting recruitment listings for three available roles. One listing posted to WeChat said the center was recruiting graduates to study asteroid monitoring and create early warning methods.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 is estimated to be 40 to 90 meters (130 to 300 feet) wide and was initially discovered by the University of Hawaii's Institute of Astronomy in late December. Swiftly after its discovery, Beijing's agency posted the recruitment listings.

As it is scheduled to near Earth by 2032, the asteroid is being monitored by multiple space agencies globally, and various methods of averting a collision have been proposed.

The methods include using nuclear weapons to redirect the asteroid away from the planet or employing NASA's Double Asteroid Redirection Test, also known as the DART mission, which previously altered the course of an asteroid in 2022 by using kinetic impactors.

China's method of planetary defense would reportedly include crashing a DART-style spacecraft into the asteroid, bearing similarities to the U.S.'s DART mission, The Economist reported.

What People Are Saying​

Robin George Andrews, a science journalist, wrote on X, formerly Twitter: "The impact corridor (as it's known) is too wide right now, and the chances are too low, to talk about that. The red line here shows the possibilities (from D. Rankin). The damage mostly depends on the size of the asteroid, impact angle and location … An impact in a sparse desert or the middle of the ocean even on the larger end of the asteroid's size range (90m/300 feet) would be harmless. A direct hit on a city would be like a nuclear bomb hitting it."

He continued: "A 40m asteroid (smaller end) wouldn't make it to the ground, would explode mid-air and unleash an air blast that would knock over buildings and people and be extremely lethal. A 90m asteroid (larger end) might make it to the ground, make a crater, and emit a blast wave that would kill people for several miles away by damaging their internal organs through compressive force. People and buildings further afield will be violently knocked back."

What Happens Next​

The European Space Agency is providing regular updates on the asteroid's movements.

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This is the "risk corridor" for this asteroid. Note how it does not affect the United States or Europe.

View attachment 6976022

The potential damage of this asteroid is estimated to be around 7.6 megatons, which is like a single, small hydrogen bomb. For reference, the first hydrogen bomb in 1952 had a yield of 10.4 megatons. As such, this does not have the potential to destroy the planet or threaten human civilization.
Was going to post that, if it hits Venezuela it will end their misery, a net positive. If it hits Africa.............it hits Africa, who cares?. If it hits India, will they even notice?

On the other hand the other asteroid, Apophis, that's the real shit: 1200 megatons.

Chicxulub the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs was 100000000 megatons.
 
I've been told about a lot of killer asteroids that wound up being nothingburgers over the years, but this is the first time I've heard of the chinks actually being worried about one. Wonder if they know something we don't, or if it's just the first time they've been in a position to try and do something about it?
It’d be funny if they knocked it into India.
 
I don't believe China could actually accomplish something as complex as a D.A.R.T. mission, but all the world powers coming together as "the group who saved mankind from an asteroid" would probably do wonders for global relations.

I guarantee it will take a crisis involving something extraterrestrial for mankind to have any reason to unify behind a common cause. And even then America will still be expected to pay for 60% of it.

We can only hope someday it is a Star Trek scenario where we are contacted by benevolent aliens (with pointy ears) and that is the reason for a unified Earth.
 
I don't believe China could actually accomplish something as complex as a D.A.R.T. mission, but all the world powers coming together as "the group who saved mankind from an asteroid" would probably do wonders for global relations.
They would just use the situation to create global governance to "fight climate change."

DebbieDowner.webp
 
This is the "risk corridor" for this asteroid. Note how it does not affect the United States or Europe.

View attachment 6976022

The potential damage of this asteroid is estimated to be around 7.6 megatons, which is like a single, small hydrogen bomb. For reference, the first hydrogen bomb in 1952 had a yield of 10.4 megatons. As such, this does not have the potential to destroy the planet or threaten human civilization.
Some versions of the impact corridor show it going a little further east, potentially as far as Macau/Hong Kong. So there is a very small possibility that China could get hit. So it makes sense for them to want to do something or at least be seen to be trying.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: Hey Johnny Bravo
This is the "risk corridor" for this asteroid. Note how it does not affect the United States or Europe.

View attachment 6976022

The potential damage of this asteroid is estimated to be around 7.6 megatons, which is like a single, small hydrogen bomb. For reference, the first hydrogen bomb in 1952 had a yield of 10.4 megatons. As such, this does not have the potential to destroy the planet or threaten human civilization.
I say let it hit. It'll be the first interesting thing to happen on this rock since the space race. If it hits an ocean, we get some dead sea life and the possibility of recovering the thing intact. If it hits land, the astronomical community gets to study the remnants.
 
The largest bomb ever tested, Tsar Bomba, was 50 megatons. 1,200 megatons is a lot. It would not destroy the planet but the effects of the impact would be global and disastrous. Whichever country gets hit is kinda fucked. Luckily, it's not expected to hit us.

Also, NASA's DART mission was a massive success. Humans absolutely can redirect asteroids, given we know about the threat a year or so in advance.
If it hits land, the astronomical community gets to study the remnants.
These asteroids are generally boring.
 
(as long as you make them never have to pay taxes again lmao)
To quote a certain hotel owner who lives in a jar: Understandable.
We can only hope someday it is a Star Trek scenario where we are contacted by benevolent aliens (with pointy ears) and that is the reason for a unified Earth.
We'd more likely kill them and steal their tech to create a unified Terran Empire.

Not that I'd be complaining about that. The only good xenos is a subjugated one.
 
Why bother? Just let it hit

Why bother? Just let it hit.
Actually what happens if it hits the sea? How big a tsunami we talking about?
It is not the type of asteroid that is expected to actually hit the planet. This asteroid, if it comes to Earth, is expected to produce an airburst.
 
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