CN China unexpectedly cuts 2 key rates, withdraws cash from banking system

China unexpectedly cuts 2 key rates, withdraws cash from banking system​

SHANGHAI, Aug 15 (Reuters) - China's central bank unexpectedly cut a key interest rate for the second time this year and withdrew some cash from the banking system on Monday, to try to revive credit demand to support the COVID-hit economy.

Economists and analysts said they believe Chinese authorities are keen to support the sluggish economy by allowing a widening policy divergence with other major economies that are raising interest rates aggressively.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC) said it was lowering the rate on 400 billion yuan ($59.33 billion) of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions by 10 basis points (bps) to 2.75%, from 2.85%.

In a poll of 32 market watchers last week, all respondents had forecast the MLF rate would be left unchanged and 29 had predicted there would be a partial rollover.

"The rate cut surprises us," said Xing Zhaopeng, senior China strategist at ANZ.

"It should be a response to the weak credit data on Friday. The government remains cautious about growth and will not let go."

New bank lending in China tumbled more than expected in July while broad credit growth slowed, as fresh COVID flare-ups, worries about jobs and a deepening property crisis made companies and consumers wary of taking on more debt.

he PBOC attributed its move to "keep banking system liquidity reasonably ample". And with 600 billion yuan worth of MLF loans maturing, the operation resulted a net 200 billion yuan of fund withdrawal.

Market participants have largely priced in the partial rollover as the banking system was already flush with cash, with interbank money rates hovering at two-year lows and persistently below policy rates.

"Now with hindsight, today's 10-bp cut may be seen as 'front-loading' before the policy room gets narrower going forward as the PBOC sees structural inflation pressure," said Frances Cheung, rates strategist at OCBC Bank.

The PBOC reiterated it would step up the implementation of its prudent monetary policy and keep liquidity reasonably ample, while closely monitoring domestic and external inflation changes, it said in its second-quarter monetary policy report.

"Despite the warning of inflation risk and flush liquidity condition, the dominating downside risks under the COVID spread and property-sector rout prompted the PBOC to cut rates to stimulate demand," said Ken Cheung, chief Asian FX strategist at Mizuho Bank.

China's 10-year treasury futures jumped more than 0.7% in early trade following the rate decision, while yields on sovereign bond for the same tenor fell about 5 basis points.

The central bank also injected 2 billion yuan through seven-day reverse repos while cutting the borrowing cost by the same margin of 10 bps to 2.0% from 2.1%, according to an online statement.

The PBOC lowered both rates by 10 bps in January.

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On one side, China seems unstoppable

But on the other, their foundations are made of chopsticks

I for one believe they just dont fall because they have too many roots on too many governments and institutions so, if they fall, they WILL take them down with them so its best for these governments and institutions to not allow that to happen.
 
On one side, China seems unstoppable

But on the other, their foundations are made of chopsticks

I for one believe they just dont fall because they have too many roots on too many governments and institutions so, if they fall, they WILL take them down with them so its best for these governments and institutions to not allow that to happen.
I’d argue they are a key cog to globalization which is why some companies like Apple only double down on China, even with the things going the way they are.
 
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And when it crashes its going to take China's construction industries with it, and that will take out China's steel industry, which will cause global steel prices to explode, and since every western country got rid of their own steel manufacturing in favor of cheap chink metal its going to hurt. When the real estate crashes in China its going to have a truly massive domino effect that will go global and will cause a recession/depression,
Chinese steel is such shit most companies outside of China have already ceased sourcing from China. Indian or Russian steel is apparently far better for a similar price.
 
Chinese steel is such shit most companies outside of China have already ceased sourcing from China. Indian or Russian steel is apparently far better for a similar price.
From some quick googling, it seems like despite the decay of the domestic steel industry, America still does produce most of the steel that it uses, and imports most of the remainder from Brazil, Mexico and Russia. From the info I can find, Chinese steel seems to account for about 2% of US steel consumption; most of their exports go to other Asian countries, with Europe also taking a significant share. While I'm sure there will be knock-on effects from the rest of the world's economy collapsing, as far as actual steel consumption goes the US should be taking only a relatively light hit.

Its nice to know that America isn't as dependent on chinese steel as I originally thought, but I am still worried about china eating shit on their real estate bubble. Everyone who is dependent on china will eat shit along with them and will cause others to eat shit, and so on. It will be an interesting few years when it does pop regardless.
 
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Chinese steel is such shit most companies outside of China have already ceased sourcing from China. Indian or Russian steel is apparently far better for a similar price.
Don't make me tap the greentext.
Learning Mandarin.png
 
China cant go reserve nor can russia
Given that the US has been the sole hegemenon for decades, I don't think you can make such conclusive statements. Now that the world has seen that you can be cut off from the global economy with the "Swift" motion of Uncle Sam's finger (if you do something they don't like), they would be inclined to diversify their portfolio and the reconsider petrodollar.
 
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