Data on How America Sold Out its Computer Science Graduates - The Promise That Became a Lie

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Kevin Lynn
Jul 17, 2025

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Top 50 Computer Science Universities in North America

Last week, our Substack focused on how the American engineering degree, sold as a solid ticket to the American dream, has become less solid for recent graduates trying to find that first job. This week, we took a look at job prospects for computer science graduates. If you thought prospects for engineering graduates were poor, even more recent American computer science graduates are scrambling for scraps, while a growing number of foreign workers on employment visas are being guaranteed jobs.

In 2023, American colleges graduated 134,153 citizens or green card holders with bachelor's or master's degrees in computer science. That same year, our federal government handed out work permits to at least 110,098 foreign workers in computer occupations through just three major guest worker programs. That's equal to 82% of our graduating class who are guaranteed jobs even before any Americans walk across the stage for their diploma.

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This isn't competition. This is systematic displacement, dressed up in the language of diversity and global talent acquisition. And it's destroying the future we promised our own students.

The Salary Mirage​

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Let's start with the most obvious deception: the salary myth. Yes, computer science starting salaries have grown over the past decade, but the reality is far more sobering than the headlines suggest. Real wage growth has been virtually stagnant since 2015, increasing a measly $1,727 over eight years—a pathetic 1.8% bump that barely keeps pace with inflation.

The only significant salary increase occurred between 2014 and 2015, when starting salaries jumped $8,924 in a single year. Since then? Nothing. The market has spoken, and it's saying that American computer science graduates are worth exactly what they were nearly a decade ago.

Why? Because when you flood the labor market with foreign workers approved by the government for lower wages and worse working conditions, you don't get innovation—you get wage suppression. Every H-1B visa holder working for less than market value drives down compensation for everyone else. It's basic economics, and it's working exactly as Silicon Valley intended.

The Employment Catastrophe​

While salaries stagnated, employment prospects for new graduates have cratered. The percentage of computer science graduates employed full-time within six months of graduation has plummeted from 73.2% in 2014 to just 64.3% in 2023. For those who specialized in computer programming, the situation is even worse—employment rates have collapsed from 69% to 50% in the same period.

Let that sink in: Half of our computer programming graduates are not in full-time jobs within six months of graduation. In the supposed golden age of technology, when every company claims to be desperately seeking tech talent, half of our trained programmers still need work.

The unemployment rate among recent computer science majors sits at 6.1%—one of the highest among all surveyed majors. Meanwhile, 16.5% are stuck in jobs that don't require a college degree, according to U.S. Census data analyzed by the New York Federal Reserve. These aren't statistics; they're dreams deferred and futures destroyed.

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The H-1B visa program has exploded from 363,503 workers in 2011 to 685,117 in 2022—an 81% increase. Between 60% and 70% of these visas go to workers in computer occupations, directly taking entry-level positions from American graduates.

But H-1B is just the beginning. The STEM Optional Practical Training program allows international students to work for up to three years after graduation, with 30% of participants being computer science majors. Employers receive a 15% discount for every STEM OPT they hire because they don’t have to pay Social Security or Medicare taxes, while government labor protection or oversight is minimal. Meanwhile, the H-4 EAD program gives work permits to spouses of H-1B workers, who can work any job at any wage, with 63.75% working in computer science fields.

These aren't random policy decisions—they're deliberate choices to prioritize foreign workers over American students. We're literally training our own replacements and calling it progress.

The Decade of Displacement​

The scope of this problem becomes clear when you zoom out to 2016 through 2023. During this period, the United States graduated 838,279 American citizens with computer science bachelor's and master's degrees. Simultaneously, the government, at the behest of employers, imported or granted 833,132 foreign computer workers with guaranteed jobs through just three guest worker programs.

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Think about that ratio: for every one American we educated in computer science, one foreign guest worker got a job in the same field. We spent billions of dollars through federal student aid, state university funding, and private investment to build the world's best computer science education system—then systematically undermined its graduates with a flood of foreign competition.

This isn't immigration policy; it's economic warfare against our own citizens.

The Mythology of Necessity​

Defenders of this system will tell you that we need foreign workers because Americans can't fill these roles. They'll point to skills gaps and talent shortages, conveniently ignoring the fact that we're graduating more computer science students than ever before.

If there's truly a shortage of qualified American workers, why are employment rates for new graduates in free fall? Why are starting salaries stagnant? Why are recent graduates taking jobs that don't require degrees?

The answer is simple: there is no shortage. There's only a desire for cheaper labor and more compliant workers. H-1B visa holders are tied to their employers and can be deported if they lose their jobs. They're less likely to demand raises, switch companies, or report workplace violations. They're the perfect workforce—if you're an employer looking to maximize profits at the expense of worker rights.

The Real Tragedy​

Behind every statistic is a human story. These are American students who did everything right—they studied hard, earned competitive degrees, and entered a field they were told would guarantee their success. Instead, they're competing against foreign workers who are often willing to work for less because their alternative is deportation.

These are young Americans drowning in student debt, unable to find work in their chosen field, watching as their government actively works against their interests. They're not asking for handouts or special treatment—they're asking for a fair chance to compete in their own country.

The Path Forward​

The solution isn't complicated, but it requires political courage that has been in short supply. We need to dramatically reduce the H-1B visa program, eliminate the STEM OPT extension, and end work permits for H-1B spouses. We need to prioritize American workers in American jobs funded by American taxpayers.

We need to stop pretending that flooding the labor market with foreign workers is somehow beneficial to American students. It's not. It's a policy choice that benefits employers at the expense of workers, and it's time to admit that truth.

The data is clear, the problem is obvious, and the solution is within reach. The only question is whether we have the political will to put American workers first—or whether we'll continue to sacrifice another generation of computer science graduates on the altar of cheap labor.

Our students deserve better. Our country deserves better. And it's time we started acting like it.

P.S.

We are doing this data-based series because our youngest, best, and brightest should be protected from the harmful aspects of anti-American citizen policies that, in the long run, hurt the national interests. If you agree, become a paid subscriber or go to our donation page and send some dollars or bitcoin our way.

Here’s the link:
https://instituteforsoundpublicpolicy.org/donate/

Data Sources​

Computer Science Starting Salary Data

https://www.naceweb.org/job-market/graduate-outcomes/first-destination/

American Computer Science Graduates Data

https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds

H-1B Data

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/ola_signed_h1b_characteristics_congressional_report_FY24.pdf

STEM OPT Work Permit Data

https://www.ice.gov/doclib/sevis/btn/25_0605_2024-sevis-btn.pdf

STEM OPT Computer Science Major Data

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12631

H-4 EAD Data

https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.uscis.gov%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Fdocument%2Fdata%2Fi765_application_for_employment_fy24.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK
https://www.cato.org/blog/facts-about-h-4-visas-spouses-h-1b-workers

Source (Archive)
 
Reminder to report H1B abuse to the USCIS tip line

 
Another thing to add, people who've applied for permanent residency are allowed to continue to live and work in the US while the application is in-progress without the need for an H-1B. I don't think they're counted in the numbers for H-1B. So these numbers don't even begin to cover how many there actually are.

I also don't see a mention of the L-1 visa, which is another one I've seen being used to bring in people.
 
One of the most infuriating things about this is that engineering degrees are not easy/fun degrees where you can party through school with. These degrees take hard work and long hours if you’re at a respectable university, so we have thousands of young people who worked their asses off and probably knocked a few years off their life expectancies for a career that is rapidly vanishing. A lot of us can’t even use the underwater basket-weaving excuse of “at least I had fun in college” to feel it was worth it.

Shit sucks man and everything is fake and gay.
 
I still think CS is one of the best paths forward if it even interests you a little and you have some combination of moderate intelligence and work ethic. But graduates get fucked with the massive import of H1-Bs. You can't act like there's some desperate need for foreign talent that you can't hire here while laying off hundreds of thousands of domestic workers as an industry.
 
To any young Kiwis out there, if you’re gunning for corporate developer gigs, have some examples of your personal works available on hand and be prepared to explain your methodology. If you don’t have any, change that. A college education is no longer a free ticket into a cushy job. You’ll need to be able to really show your excellence because it’s much easier (and cheaper) to puppy mill Indians until you find one who hasn’t lied on their resume.
 
Electronic Engineering was being sold so hard in the mid/late 1990's that I had a VA counselor try to tell me that I couldn't switch to computer science and had to stay in Electronic Engineering.

I finished my degree.

The fucking plants in Washington and Oregon moved to fucking Mexico.

Not surprised they're pulling the same thing with Computer Science, pulling the rug out.

Got forbid that an American citizen find a job.
 
I still think CS is one of the best paths forward if it even interests you a little and you have some combination of moderate intelligence and work ethic. But graduates get fucked with the massive import of H1-Bs. You can't act like there's some desperate need for foreign talent that you can't hire here while laying off hundreds of thousands of domestic workers as an industry.
In my current hunt for an engineering/STEM job, it seems like companies are actively avoiding hiring fresh graduates because god-forbid you have to train them to work on your IP-protected technology that is impossible to learn outside the company. Nope, we only want workers with 10+ years experience working on the thing nobody else does and we want them to start working w/o training NOW NOW NOW!

Companies are either being choosy beggars or this is a visa scam for Pajeet to bring Lovejeet to the US from India (probably both tbh).
 
In my current hunt for an engineering/STEM job, it seems like companies are actively avoiding hiring fresh graduates because god-forbid you have to train them to work on your IP-protected technology that is impossible to learn outside the company. Nope, we only want workers with 10+ years experience working on the thing nobody else does and we want them to start working w/o training NOW NOW NOW!

Companies are either being choosy beggars or this is a visa scam for Pajeet to bring Lovejeet to the US from India (probably both tbh).
New grads are risky. Training them is expensive. They can also just leave after two years while doing nothing but costing you money right as they were about to be useful.

But that is the risk you take because you have to unless of course the government lets you import infinity labor from overseas. And yes, H1-B can be said to have similar issues, but you get the bonus of them being threatened with deportation if they don't get a job and a job real soon.
 
Defenders of this system will tell you that we need foreign workers because Americans can't fill these roles. They'll point to skills gaps and talent shortages, conveniently ignoring the fact that we're graduating more computer science students than ever before.

If there's truly a shortage of qualified American workers, why are employment rates for new graduates in free fall? Why are starting salaries stagnant? Why are recent graduates taking jobs that don't require degrees?

The answer is simple: there is no shortage. There's only a desire for cheaper labor and more compliant workers. H-1B visa holders are tied to their employers and can be deported if they lose their jobs. They're less likely to demand raises, switch companies, or report workplace violations. They're the perfect workforce—if you're an employer looking to maximize profits at the expense of worker rights.
The problem always comes back to the employers. The person doing the hiring is rarely the person who knows or can do the job they are hiring for. The employers don't want to train employees. And yes, they like hiring foreigners they can hold the threat of deportation over. Hell, they would probably pay people in company scrip if they could get away with it (Wal-Mart/Delaware North do in a manner). And on the off chance that an employer gets an employee who is not only good at their job but on some level is happy/content to do it, they won't pay them what the job is worth, which leads to job hopping and employers clutching their pearls about 'loyalty.'
 
The fucking plants in Washington and Oregon moved to fucking Mexico.

Not surprised they're pulling the same thing with Computer Science, pulling the rug out.
I'm not discounting the effects offshoring or importing foreign labor have on the market, but we're also 15+ years into computer science being the go-to "do this and you'll never have to worry about money" degrees. These things always go in cycles, and even in a scenario where companies can no longer import infinity pajeets to do the work for poverty wages and dependent on their employer to stay in their new apartment, it's been 20-ish years now that every high school counselor, teacher, and parent under the sun has been telling their kid go into this field. The bubble was always going to burst eventually, and we're at that point.

It happened to (undergrad) business degrees in the mid-1990's. It happened to education majors over the course of the 2010's. Nursing is now bouncing back after years of going downhill (probably because more Boomers are needing bedside care because their children don't talk to them and the healthcare industry cannot import enough Filipinos to keep up with demand). Liberal arts being worthless for career prospects has been a meme for so long even its enrollment levels have gone up, especially as associate degrees.

These kids, on top of everything else that's plagued the industry for decades now, just have the misfortune of graduating during an uncertain economy at the height of their chosen major's bubble.
 
I'm glad I quit college for computer science and became an electrician
They can't replace electricians and plumbers with AI or pajeets..... yet...
And Trump approved, too.

You're not going to vote your way out of this, brothers, and that leaves one option.
What do you mean? I'm pretty sure the history books say the founding fathers were able to vote away British tyranny at the ballot box... oh wait, sorry, checking it again it says... they armed up, formed militias, and killed all the people tyrannizing them. What a concept.
 
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Skill shortage visas should only ever be temporary gaps for while there is a shortage. It sounds like:

1. There was a shortage
2. They issued temporary visas
3. Americans used the time to upskill
3. Now there is no longer a shortage.
4. Therefore, we should start canceling the H1-Bs.

Of course, nothing is ever supposed to work as intended because that would just be silly. So 4 will never happen.
 
I'm not discounting the effects offshoring or importing foreign labor have on the market, but we're also 15+ years into computer science being the go-to "do this and you'll never have to worry about money" degrees.
In the mid 90's? Long before the saturation of H1-Bs? Schools were telling kids they'd make a million bucks a year if they just had a degree with "computer" in it.

I read a lot of forgettable collegiate fiction writing around that time as the maturing net meant you could self-publish for all to see.

And the "hero" (thinly-disguised author insert) was always seemingly someone who made six figures setting up email servers one day a week and adventured the other 4 days with fancy cars and hot girlfriends aplenty. But they were completely humble about it, they still wore jeans and sneakers to those art unveilings!


By the time a "hot" new career or in-demand due to shortage one has been identified and revamped by colleges? Its already over and you'll graduate into a saturated industry. If you didn't see it coming 5 years before it was being talked about in all the brochures and papers? You were too late.
 
I think both this article, and the engineering article , highlight the laws of supply and demand. Even before the AI revolution, and putting aside corporations abusing the H1-B visa (or temporary workers programs up here in Canada), I have noticed that societies worldwide place too much emphasis on STEM degrees, selling them as the only ticket to a middle-class life, while overlooking the fact that there are only so many jobs available that require that particular degree.
 
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