Data on How America Sold Out its Computer Science Graduates - The Promise That Became a Lie

Kevin Lynn
Jul 17, 2025

httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz.webp
Top 50 Computer Science Universities in North America

Last week, our Substack focused on how the American engineering degree, sold as a solid ticket to the American dream, has become less solid for recent graduates trying to find that first job. This week, we took a look at job prospects for computer science graduates. If you thought prospects for engineering graduates were poor, even more recent American computer science graduates are scrambling for scraps, while a growing number of foreign workers on employment visas are being guaranteed jobs.

In 2023, American colleges graduated 134,153 citizens or green card holders with bachelor's or master's degrees in computer science. That same year, our federal government handed out work permits to at least 110,098 foreign workers in computer occupations through just three major guest worker programs. That's equal to 82% of our graduating class who are guaranteed jobs even before any Americans walk across the stage for their diploma.

httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz (1).webp

This isn't competition. This is systematic displacement, dressed up in the language of diversity and global talent acquisition. And it's destroying the future we promised our own students.

The Salary Mirage​

httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz (2).webp


Let's start with the most obvious deception: the salary myth. Yes, computer science starting salaries have grown over the past decade, but the reality is far more sobering than the headlines suggest. Real wage growth has been virtually stagnant since 2015, increasing a measly $1,727 over eight years—a pathetic 1.8% bump that barely keeps pace with inflation.

The only significant salary increase occurred between 2014 and 2015, when starting salaries jumped $8,924 in a single year. Since then? Nothing. The market has spoken, and it's saying that American computer science graduates are worth exactly what they were nearly a decade ago.

Why? Because when you flood the labor market with foreign workers approved by the government for lower wages and worse working conditions, you don't get innovation—you get wage suppression. Every H-1B visa holder working for less than market value drives down compensation for everyone else. It's basic economics, and it's working exactly as Silicon Valley intended.

The Employment Catastrophe​

While salaries stagnated, employment prospects for new graduates have cratered. The percentage of computer science graduates employed full-time within six months of graduation has plummeted from 73.2% in 2014 to just 64.3% in 2023. For those who specialized in computer programming, the situation is even worse—employment rates have collapsed from 69% to 50% in the same period.

Let that sink in: Half of our computer programming graduates are not in full-time jobs within six months of graduation. In the supposed golden age of technology, when every company claims to be desperately seeking tech talent, half of our trained programmers still need work.

The unemployment rate among recent computer science majors sits at 6.1%—one of the highest among all surveyed majors. Meanwhile, 16.5% are stuck in jobs that don't require a college degree, according to U.S. Census data analyzed by the New York Federal Reserve. These aren't statistics; they're dreams deferred and futures destroyed.

httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz (3).webp

The H-1B visa program has exploded from 363,503 workers in 2011 to 685,117 in 2022—an 81% increase. Between 60% and 70% of these visas go to workers in computer occupations, directly taking entry-level positions from American graduates.

But H-1B is just the beginning. The STEM Optional Practical Training program allows international students to work for up to three years after graduation, with 30% of participants being computer science majors. Employers receive a 15% discount for every STEM OPT they hire because they don’t have to pay Social Security or Medicare taxes, while government labor protection or oversight is minimal. Meanwhile, the H-4 EAD program gives work permits to spouses of H-1B workers, who can work any job at any wage, with 63.75% working in computer science fields.

These aren't random policy decisions—they're deliberate choices to prioritize foreign workers over American students. We're literally training our own replacements and calling it progress.

The Decade of Displacement​

The scope of this problem becomes clear when you zoom out to 2016 through 2023. During this period, the United States graduated 838,279 American citizens with computer science bachelor's and master's degrees. Simultaneously, the government, at the behest of employers, imported or granted 833,132 foreign computer workers with guaranteed jobs through just three guest worker programs.

httpssubstack-post-media.s3.amaz (4).webp

Think about that ratio: for every one American we educated in computer science, one foreign guest worker got a job in the same field. We spent billions of dollars through federal student aid, state university funding, and private investment to build the world's best computer science education system—then systematically undermined its graduates with a flood of foreign competition.

This isn't immigration policy; it's economic warfare against our own citizens.

The Mythology of Necessity​

Defenders of this system will tell you that we need foreign workers because Americans can't fill these roles. They'll point to skills gaps and talent shortages, conveniently ignoring the fact that we're graduating more computer science students than ever before.

If there's truly a shortage of qualified American workers, why are employment rates for new graduates in free fall? Why are starting salaries stagnant? Why are recent graduates taking jobs that don't require degrees?

The answer is simple: there is no shortage. There's only a desire for cheaper labor and more compliant workers. H-1B visa holders are tied to their employers and can be deported if they lose their jobs. They're less likely to demand raises, switch companies, or report workplace violations. They're the perfect workforce—if you're an employer looking to maximize profits at the expense of worker rights.

The Real Tragedy​

Behind every statistic is a human story. These are American students who did everything right—they studied hard, earned competitive degrees, and entered a field they were told would guarantee their success. Instead, they're competing against foreign workers who are often willing to work for less because their alternative is deportation.

These are young Americans drowning in student debt, unable to find work in their chosen field, watching as their government actively works against their interests. They're not asking for handouts or special treatment—they're asking for a fair chance to compete in their own country.

The Path Forward​

The solution isn't complicated, but it requires political courage that has been in short supply. We need to dramatically reduce the H-1B visa program, eliminate the STEM OPT extension, and end work permits for H-1B spouses. We need to prioritize American workers in American jobs funded by American taxpayers.

We need to stop pretending that flooding the labor market with foreign workers is somehow beneficial to American students. It's not. It's a policy choice that benefits employers at the expense of workers, and it's time to admit that truth.

The data is clear, the problem is obvious, and the solution is within reach. The only question is whether we have the political will to put American workers first—or whether we'll continue to sacrifice another generation of computer science graduates on the altar of cheap labor.

Our students deserve better. Our country deserves better. And it's time we started acting like it.

P.S.

We are doing this data-based series because our youngest, best, and brightest should be protected from the harmful aspects of anti-American citizen policies that, in the long run, hurt the national interests. If you agree, become a paid subscriber or go to our donation page and send some dollars or bitcoin our way.

Here’s the link:
https://instituteforsoundpublicpolicy.org/donate/

Data Sources​

Computer Science Starting Salary Data

https://www.naceweb.org/job-market/graduate-outcomes/first-destination/

American Computer Science Graduates Data

https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds

H-1B Data

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/reports/ola_signed_h1b_characteristics_congressional_report_FY24.pdf

STEM OPT Work Permit Data

https://www.ice.gov/doclib/sevis/btn/25_0605_2024-sevis-btn.pdf

STEM OPT Computer Science Major Data

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12631

H-4 EAD Data

https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.uscis.gov%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Fdocument%2Fdata%2Fi765_application_for_employment_fy24.xlsx&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK
https://www.cato.org/blog/facts-about-h-4-visas-spouses-h-1b-workers

Source (Archive)
 
The answer, as always, is get a JD. You'll be mowing lawns until you get your foot in the door, as there are 5 graduates for every job, but there isn't any trade out there with such complete, ironclad protectionism baked in as being an attorney.

Outsourced pajeets could easily handle 50%+ of the law industrial complex's workload for a fraction of the cost, but state and federal laws keep all the billable hours domestic.

If experience is any indication, lawyers are almost always the first dickheads to tell you all about how protectionism for your trade is just sour grapes and things like wage suppression, collusion, etc aren't even real.
 
I think both this article, and the engineering article , highlight the laws of supply and demand. Even before the AI revolution, and putting aside corporations abusing the H1-B visa (or temporary workers programs up here in Canada), I have noticed that societies worldwide place too much emphasis on STEM degrees, selling them as the only ticket to a middle-class life, while overlooking the fact that there are only so many jobs available that require that particular degree.
They've been pushing to annihilate the blue collar jobs too with mexicans. There's no front that isn't under constant assault from globalists. Government jobs and funding get prioritized to DEI. There's not really a good safe job to go for anymore. There's already WAY too many lawyers. Med school is a grift designed to intentionally constrict the supply of doctors (until that too gets flooded by jeets).

Do you have any safe job you'd tell an 18 year old to go into?
 
They've been pushing to annihilate the blue collar jobs too with mexicans. There's no front that isn't under constant assault from globalists. Government jobs and funding get prioritized to DEI. There's not really a good safe job to go for anymore. There's already WAY too many lawyers. Med school is a grift designed to intentionally constrict the supply of doctors (until that too gets flooded by jeets).

Do you have any safe job you'd tell an 18 year old to go into?
Accounting was that job but all the firms are now selling out to private equity to fund boomer partners retiring and then outsourcing the Lower level work to India (which the takes twice as long to correct at a minimum)
 
Do you have any safe job you'd tell an 18 year old to go into?
I still think oilfield/process (now) and energy generation (future) is the way to go, considering you basically can't push H1Bs into it because they're functionally retarded and will cripple your expensive as fuck process

This only applies to my little area of it but that's what I'm seeing, the few naturalized citizens who happen to be some flavor of SEA or African or whatever are 90% retards and are hazed out immediately or are the savants who manage to make it happen and are actually good

Put simply: I've never met a single manager anywhere, even the new kids, that would put a non-American (or American retard even) as a crow
 
Also blame the fucking open software revolution. Nobody bothers to pay to have software written anymore because there are legions of dumbasses who will write it for free and give it away.

Maybe 95% of the software jobs out there today are so de-skilled anyway that they don't require good people. The industry is full of people whose idea of writing software is doing a google search for open software packages and integrating them together with python scripts. Your average H1B pajeet may have his flaws, but even he can do that kind of job with little problem.
 
Fuck. If you thought tech support and tech is already shitty, its about to get shittier. Kinda like how Deus Ex 1 had rudimentary ass looking tech compared to Human Revolution... and then you see that even in that setting, shit has declined signifiantly.

Do you have any safe job you'd tell an 18 year old to go into?
Unironically Trades or even Custodial work. Keep in mind Jeets have the caste system bullshit beat into their shit-filled heads. And as such, any job that requires actual skill and diligence is seen as work for Dalits (even if they are Dalits themselves) and would rather worm their way into white collar jobs or jobs that let them run things. Such as 7-11s and Liquor stores.
 
Where does that period during 2020-2022 where new grads were getting $200K salaries for knowing nothing except grinding leetcode fit into this?
 
I'm glad I quit college for computer science and became an electrician
There are no well-paying jobs that are safe from mass migration. If you put the entire population of the US, Canada, all of Europe including Russia, Australia and NZ together, India would still have almost twice as many people as that.
 
For anyone in the younger generations I can't imagine what path they should take, never give actual advice to what to do in life, it feels more like there isnt any kind of a right answer. Whatever future was promised to them as children (if one was even promised at all) is gone. Tech which was supposed to replace the lost blue collar side is now a desolate place to have to try to make it.

I see people spitting poison talking about the Jeet flood and the subhuman subcontinentals which I fully understand but never forget, your fellow countrymen (if they even can be called that in the modern economic zones the West has become) is what let them in, preferred them over you, and left you in the dust. The enemy is within
 
I have a job I like that a monkey could do. The part I don't like is training Indians and nepalese computer science students that want to do it as a gig while they are studying on my tax €'s (ok they pay 5000€, per semester, but that is not nearly covering the cost), first of all they are not that smart, I'd rather train a real monkey, and second I know after they finish their degree they are not staying, but moving to the US.
The universities get money from the government per graduate, so they have an incentive to churn them out, and politicians have this naive idea that they will stay in the domestic tech sector for half the pay compared to the US, so my tax € are of course also subsidising their housing.
 
You can change No Irish Need Apply to No American Need Apply due to every goddamn Indian flooding the fucking place.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Dropa5pack
New grads are risky. Training them is expensive. They can also just leave after two years while doing nothing but costing you money right as they were about to be useful.
That's true of anyone these days. Anyone worth it is going to jump from job to job because companies aren't loyal. Why should the staff be?
 
Back