- Joined
- Feb 20, 2023
So the title says it all. I find Trump's foreign policy to be incoherent. Trump markets himself as an isolationist, and he does some things to imply that, but he also does things that contradict this, mainly his undying support for Israel and his militant opposition to China.
So he wants to fight China. However, many of his foreign policy moves make this harder. The biggest issue is that he alienates allies by doing things like cutting off foreign aid, threatening to invade Canada, and proposing to annex Greenland. The last two are not likely to happen, but why even suggest them? This gives China room to expand its influence, especially in the developing world. His reluctance to support Ukraine is another example—alienating America's closest allies in Europe.
If Trump were to cut off Ukraine, giving Putin a huge win, this would indirectly benefit China since Russia and China are now closer than ever after the war and subsequent sanctions. Previous foreign policy strategists hoped to give Russia some leeway to prevent it from fully aligning with China, but at this point, that ship has sailed.
Then there's his undying support for Israel. We all know about the now infamous executive order cutting off all foreign aid except for Israel and Egypt (with aid to Egypt essentially serving as a bribe to maintain peace with Israel). This also alienates allies—especially Muslim ones in the Middle East. Trump had to give major concessions to these Muslim allies just to get them to support Israel. He did things like Recognizing Morocco's territorial claim over the Western Sahara angered other parts of Africa, particularly Black Christian nations that the U.S. could have persuaded more easily. Promising a full NATO-style defense treaty with Saudi Arabia (which ultimately didn’t go through due to October 7th). MAGA supporters complain about America sending old shells to Ukraine, but if this treaty had passed, the U.S. would have been required to send troops to defend Saudi Arabia. This would have made war with Iran even more likely—a war that could cross a red line for China and BRICS while costing America billions and risking thousands of lives. And all of this just to get Saudi Arabia to open an embassy in Israel. This is also alienating European allies who are more and more moving to recognize Palestinian statehood. Trump is threatening sanctions against the Netherlands for the arrest warrant issued on Netanyahu. I know America has always played it fast and loose with international courts but this would take away any plausible deniability America has.
So he wants to fight China. However, many of his foreign policy moves make this harder. The biggest issue is that he alienates allies by doing things like cutting off foreign aid, threatening to invade Canada, and proposing to annex Greenland. The last two are not likely to happen, but why even suggest them? This gives China room to expand its influence, especially in the developing world. His reluctance to support Ukraine is another example—alienating America's closest allies in Europe.
If Trump were to cut off Ukraine, giving Putin a huge win, this would indirectly benefit China since Russia and China are now closer than ever after the war and subsequent sanctions. Previous foreign policy strategists hoped to give Russia some leeway to prevent it from fully aligning with China, but at this point, that ship has sailed.
Then there's his undying support for Israel. We all know about the now infamous executive order cutting off all foreign aid except for Israel and Egypt (with aid to Egypt essentially serving as a bribe to maintain peace with Israel). This also alienates allies—especially Muslim ones in the Middle East. Trump had to give major concessions to these Muslim allies just to get them to support Israel. He did things like Recognizing Morocco's territorial claim over the Western Sahara angered other parts of Africa, particularly Black Christian nations that the U.S. could have persuaded more easily. Promising a full NATO-style defense treaty with Saudi Arabia (which ultimately didn’t go through due to October 7th). MAGA supporters complain about America sending old shells to Ukraine, but if this treaty had passed, the U.S. would have been required to send troops to defend Saudi Arabia. This would have made war with Iran even more likely—a war that could cross a red line for China and BRICS while costing America billions and risking thousands of lives. And all of this just to get Saudi Arabia to open an embassy in Israel. This is also alienating European allies who are more and more moving to recognize Palestinian statehood. Trump is threatening sanctions against the Netherlands for the arrest warrant issued on Netanyahu. I know America has always played it fast and loose with international courts but this would take away any plausible deniability America has.
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