Sanseito
takaichi thinks her approval rating will translate into more votes but there just isn't that much potential votes left for her to convert.
Komeito and CDP are forming a new party apparently and as far as I'm concerned, they're fucked. Their members hate each other and would have to walk back all of their positions to make it work. Komeito has always been a thorn in the side of the LDP right-wingers who have been trying to re-write Article 9 (which they absolutely should, on top of arming themselves with nukes).
Now, there is an even bigger thorn to the LDP: Sanseito. Sanseito has been taking advantage of the snap election by going with this campaign schtick "vote for Sanseito to support Takaichi to get her anti-immigration platform through" and a lot of voters are believing it.
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It worked so well that Sanseito recently seized the governorship from the LDP in the LDP stronghold of Fukui Prefecture on the 27 January gubernatorial election.
The Asahi Shimbun - Sanseito boosted by Fukui victory ahead of Lower House election
By AMANE SUGAWARA/ Staff Writer | January 27, 2026 at 17:32 JST |
Link |
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Kimi Onoda
With Ministers such as the seemingly mega-based Kimi Onoda leading the charge, it appears that the requirements for naturalization will be made much more stringent.
Kimi Onoda on behalf of the Takaichi administration recently made a video where although Japan will have a strong anti-illegal immigration and naturalization policy, Japan will still import foreign workers due to the so-called "labor shortage," pissing off Japanese people who wanted a halt to all immigration policy and a commencement of mass-scale deportations.
YouTube |
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Here is the translation. The bolded parts are what pissed people off.
Kimi Onoda said:
With that in mind, the comprehensive set of measures we have compiled this time is intended to bring “order” to foreign national policy. In order to ensure the safety and peace of mind of the public, we have incorporated a wide range of policies, including issues that we have been unable to address until now. We will squarely confront the anxieties and sense of unfairness felt by the public, and deal strictly with illegal acts by foreign nationals and violations of rules.
To that end, for example, we have included the strong promotion of a “Zero Illegal Overstayers Plan,” the tightening of residence screening, and measures to prevent nonpayment of taxes and social insurance premiums. At the same time, our basic approach is that foreign nationals, as long as they reside in Japan, are expected to act responsibly as members of Japanese society.
First, regarding the Specified Skilled Worker and Training and Employment programs, which are measures to address labor shortages, it is essential above all that each industry make efforts to improve productivity and secure domestic human resources. After rigorously examining such efforts, we will strictly set the expected number of accepted workers and reduce it compared to previous levels. This projected number does not mean that this many people will immediately enter Japan; it includes those already residing here, and it is set strictly as an upper limit.
In addition, the residence statuses covered by this projected number do not allow holders to bring family members, have limits on the period of stay, and do not lead directly to permanent residence in Japan. I would like to emphasize this point once again.
On the other hand, for those residing in Japan under statuses that can lead to permanent residence, we will also tighten the screening for permanent residence permits and naturalization. In reviewing residence status applications, we will thoroughly verify whether social insurance premiums are properly paid and whether taxes are being paid. Screening for naturalization and permanent residence status will likewise be made more stringent.
In addition, this set of measures includes responses to overtourism and consideration of rules regarding land acquisition by foreign nationals. By listening carefully to the various voices of the public, we have incorporated a comprehensive response package, and we will work steadily to implement it.
And some reactions (
Archive):
Kimi Onoda and the LDP's greatest rivals isn't from parties from the left-wing and centre, it's from right-wing parties that go nuclear against them attacking that they are not based enough, the most notorious of them being the Conservative Party of Japan, another hardliner right-wing party aside from Sanseito, who attacks Onoda's commitment to a strong anti-immigration policy as non-genuine (akin to the Japanese version of Meloni, who has proven to be utterly useless in Italy).
Recently, the Conservative Party of Japan has been spreading the idea that Onoda is supportive of importing 600,000 foreign laborers to support Japanese industries (
Archive). Onoda has constantly defended herself against the accusations, and there is truth that Onoda never really said this and that the idea being spread is overly-exaggerated to be a lie where Onoda clarifies that there are jobs that are not taken by Japanese people but only foreign workers and Japanese immigration policy need to revolve around this fact. Nevertheless, that number is the amount of migrants the LDP as a whole intends to import in a year over two years, totaling 1.23 million foreign laborers (which I believe includes foreign laborers in Japan currently according to Onoda in the video), under Takaichi's administration as part of the "Special Skills" program (
Archive). Even if Onoda has not indicated her support of this, her affiliation with the LDP has led to calls by right-wing rivals that Onoda is to not be trusted. The harassment against Onoda was so great that she started heavily blocking accounts belonging to supporters and members of the Conservative Party (
Archive).
Conclusion
It's a really interesting dilemma for Takaichi, Onoda, and the LDP: you have Sanseito that states that they needed to be voted in to support Takaichi's anti-migration agenda and then you have the Conservative Party of Japan that states that the LDP will backstab its voters and mass import labor. Even if Onoda and Takaichi are genuine in their wants to deport migrants, their associations to the LDP machine (and its want to import migrants) will ultimately stab them in the back as barely a lot of Japanese folks trust the LDP even though they approve of Takaichi highly.
I ultimately think the snap election will backfire on Takaichi and Onoda due to the bad taste Japanese people still have of the LDP and looking for more right-wing alternatives like Sanseito and the Conservative Party.