US Mini-Super Tuesday discussion and results


Polls close Mississippi: 7pm CST/8pm EST, Missouri: 7pm CST/8pm EST, Michigan: 7pm CST/8pm EST (in four Michigan counties, polls will close at 8pm CST/9pm EST), Idaho: 8pm PST/10pm EST (in Idaho's nine northern counties, polls will close at 9pm PST/11pm EST), North Dakota: Poll hours vary by county, all polls will close by 9pm CST/ 10pm EST. Washington: 9pm CST/11pm EST

Joe "Joementum!" Biden
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Tulsi Gabbard
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Bernie Sanders
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Biden, Tulsi and Sanders will take on each other in six states holding primary contests on March 10 in what has been dubbed “Mini Super Tuesday.”
Those states are:
  • Idaho, 20 pledged delegates
  • Michigan, 125 pledged delegates
  • Mississippi, 36 pledged delegates
  • North Dakota, 14 pledged delegates
  • Missouri, 68 pledged delegates
  • Washington, 89 pledged delegates
  • Democrats Abroad, 21 pledged delegates
The six states offer a combined 373 pledged delegates.

The former vice president, who swept the South on Super Tuesday, leads in pledged delegate totals ahead of the March 10 primaries. He currently has 664 pledged delegates compared to Sanders’ 573. A nominee needs a majority, or 1,991, delegates going into the convention to win the nomination on the first ballot.

Michigan offers the greatest prize on Tuesday with 125 delegates up for grabs. A Detriot Free Press survey released on Monday showed Biden with a 24-point advantage over Vermont’s self-described socialist senator in the Great Lakes State.

Sanders held rallies in Michigan over the weekend in hopes of garnering support in the state he won in 2016, when he edged out Hillary Clinton by less than two percentage points — 49.8 percent to Clinton’s 48.3 percent.
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Make or break for Bernie if he can't compete against Biden at this point. Should be some interesting results with anger from at least one side being inevitable. I'm looking forward to seeing the race in Idaho and Washington.

My mini-super Tuesday picks
Idaho(Biden), Michigan (Biden), Mississippi(Biden), Missouri (Biden), North Dakota (Biden), Washington (Biden), Democrats Abroad (Biden)
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Joementum in full swing!
Previous thread
 
I'm ambivalent about today.
On one hand, it would be really good to see my longstanding prediction of Joe Biden becoming the 2020 Democrat candidate for president.
On the other hand, Bernie vs Trump would be really fun.

No matter who wins, I kind of both win and lose. (:_(
 
I might be eating crow later tonight, but I believe that this time around, Bernie will lose Michigan. He won it last time because Clinton was a bad name over there and Bernie was the only alternative, not to mention that 2020 Bernie is different from 2016 Bernie.
Bernie might lose Michigan, but Biden won't win it either.
Biden snaps at Michigan auto worker over guns, curses at him (Reuters - archive)
choice quote said:
“You’re full of shit,” Biden told the man who accused him of “actively trying to end the Second Amendment.”

The former vice president, vying to be the Democrat who will take on President Donald Trump in the Nov. 3 election, later called the unidentified worker a “horse’s ass.”
He won't win hearts or minds being a creepy and heartless, senile old man.
 
I see Bernie getting Washington, North Dakota and Idaho. I’m still leaning with Bernie winning Michigan since he seems to be getting support with unions. Missouri and Mississippi seem a solid win for Biden.
 
I'm glad we have a new forum commie. It was getting stale in here.

Bernie might lose Michigan, but Biden won't win it either.
Biden snaps at Michigan auto worker over guns, curses at him (Reuters - archive)

He won't win hearts or minds being a creepy and heartless, senile old man.
I like when he went on a pro-gun rant immediately after. I'd almost vote for the Biden that's hit the phase of senility where he's extremely quarrelsome because the only thoughts stable enough to make it through the muddle are the emotionally charged one.
 
I see Bernie getting Washington, North Dakota and Idaho. I’m still leaning with Bernie winning Michigan since he seems to be getting support with unions. Missouri and Mississippi seem a solid win for Biden.
Washington has gone from guaranteed Bernie to a tossup in the last two weeks. If Biden is able to win the state and has the correspondingly abysmal voter turnout numbers I'd expect in that eventuality, it's a bad sign for the general. If he wins convincingly, I'm putting the PNW from solid blue to leaning purple, just due to demoralization among local Democrats.
 
I'm glad we have a new forum commie. It was getting stale in here.


I like when he went on a pro-gun rant immediately after. I'd almost vote for the Biden that's hit the phase of senility where he's extremely quarrelsome because the only thoughts stable enough to make it through the muddle are the emotionally charged one.
Is it senility, or maybe he has been a lying piece of shit scumbag for so long he has lost track of the ability to actually tell anything close to the truth anymore.
 
Something just dawned on me, Biden has been having debates where he spoke for approximately 10-15 minutes... I'm really looking forward to how he handles 20-30 minutes on camera now that it'll just be him and Sanders.
I wonder if they're gonna have an ear piece for biden and have some intern tell him what to say. Or better yet, just cancel all the debates up until the election since that would be giving ammo for Trump and he's Hitler times a thousand or some shit.
 
Boinie had a surprise victory in Michigan in 2016 and Nate Silver has been wrong far more often than right. However the anti-Sanders sentiment in 2020 is stronger than in 2016. I’ll predict a near tie, which means Sanders will continue to trail behind.
I feel like what we've been seeing with the polls is that the 2016 results were less an indicator of strength in Bernie and more of an indictment of how weak Hillary was.
 
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