- Joined
- Oct 17, 2019
Holy shit. That’s a nice contrast.
These telegram botters aren’t hard to find either. There’s a lot and they all get cheaper and cheaper to compete with one another.
Edit: I noticed the post with less views got more reactions/interactions. That’s just not possible. The reactions themselves are a window into his real view numbers too. I think it’s like 1% of your audience participates. If true, the number of 4K eyeballs on his channel still seems about right. Who knows, it could be lower or even higher. But I don’t think it’s far off.
TGStat gives some great insight into channels. It follows every possible metric you could imagine. So what do we know about Nick's channel? We see
1) his reach is diminishing
2) he's losing subs
3) He has a higher than normal rate of impressions
4) His channels is promoted by the same handful of people
Lets take a look:
1) Diminishing Reach: This is evident when selecting various categories of TGStat. However, the easiest way is to see the total impressions and impressions within 24 hrs when compared to just one month ago.
An archive of the same Stat page from last month shows us that
44% of his subs read his posts
31% of his subs read the posts within 24 hrs
Compare this to today, (link above) and we see a substantial decline in just one month
2) Losing Subs
3) Higher than normal impressions: Is included in point 1. For comparison, lets take a couple of popular international news channel and compare them
First, Bellum Acta with 71, 000 subs
Second, /CIG/ Counter Intelligence
This engagement rate is pretty normal. 10-15% impressions and about 10% reading posts within the first 24 hrs. Nick's is 4x and 3x higher respectively. Use the same screen grabs again from #1 regarding diminishing reach to see the massive difference.
4) Promoted by the same handful of people: Nicks promotion should be a much larger network if he's growing and as popular as he claims. Unfortunately, one key metric to analyzing someone's Telegram presence is just how many people forward his posts or mention the channel. Its not looking good for Nick
His biggest day had 24 forwards from his channel. 24. Not 2,400. Not 240. Only 24
But it gets much worse when you take a look at who is promoting him. Its mostly channels with under 10k subs, or its from channels with less than 100 subs
But here's where it gets interesting...the top promoters listed in order. These are the level of mentions you would expect for a channel with half of his sub count. This is for the entire history of his channel. If his main channel of communicating to the world was something other than Telegram, I would expect these numbers. But he hasn't been on twitter in a long time. Notice the "Public Channel Leaderboard" channel is on there. This is a channel that just mentions top channels on the right. Its set to make automated posts with channels listed. Its in his top 20 and its quite literally a nothing channel that just repeats itself
Bonus Impossible
Through the highest points of Stop the Steal grift, Nick somehow got 99.7-99.9% of his channel to view/read his messages for three months. We do see bursts when channels start. Their initial messages get forwarded everywhere to alert others that the channel exists. So obviously if you start with 10 subs and 20 people see the message, the impressions will be 200% of your sub count.
Lets compare to Bellum Acta again, and we see that for one month we saw a grid spike over 100%. Likely bots forwarding and/or viewing. But notice that a global breaking news channel - that often has exclusive information or first to report happenings, is very steady and normal. In the beginning we see a near 100% impressions (they likely only had 50-100 subs, so that's normal)
This is what a normal channel over 10K real subs should look like. Every metric of Bellum Acta or /CIG/ looks similar and very normal. Every metric of Nick's channel looks strange and fake
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