Not only is Switch 2 going to sell, it's going to break records.
This is honestly very funny. It's almost literally impossible because it would need to beat Switch 1, which will probably barely skim past PS2 itself (assuming they don't release another model). With how things look now there's just no way.
Theoretically it could happen if PS & Xbox both keep fucking up tremendously, if PC growth slows, and Nintendo addresses the complaints swiftly, but if all that stays the same it isn't happening. Switch 2 would need a 10-year life cycle and perpetually retarded competition to even come close otherwise.
Every single person vowing to "boycott Nintendo" will buy this at or around launch. If not, they'll buy on Black Friday or sometime in the next year.
For what? Mario Kart? Casuals are satisfied with MK8 when looking at these prices. You can't think DKB is going to carry this launch when it's not even a launch game. They have nothing else announced. We'll see how things look at launch in regard to the launch window, maybe we'll get some big announcements, but as of now the outlook is bleak.
The thing to remember is that this isn't the Wii U situation. People know what the Switch 2 is and "hardcore" gamers don't have a bad taste in their mouth from the Switch branding like they apparently do with the Wii brand.
It's not a Wii U situation in terms of severity, but it's definitely reminiscent of it AND the PS3 's situation. That's not good, to put it mildly. Switch was still carried by casuals, not to the degree of Wii, but it's still true, and the branding problem is similar (though less confusing). That alone virtually promises an inferior performance, at least early on, but then you add on the sticker shock (again, not quite PS3 level) and it looks even worse for them.
As long as there's a Mario Kart, Animal Crossing or a Splatoon available, Nintendo will be fine and they know it.
They knew that with Wii U too, how'd that work out? Where's Animal Crossing and Splatoon? Where's
anything else?
Also most people on the Switch didn't have a Wii U like we did, so those games you brought up were brand new experiences to them anyway. Recall that there are a good number of people who still don't that BOTW is a Wii U game in the first place.
Sure, but that doesn't change that this launch has a bad lineup. They didn't know BotW was a Wii U game and that made it a good launch game apparently, but MKW? Switch 1 casuals are probably fine with MK8. They didn't already have an evergreen Zelda but they do have a still-selling-well MK, so it's easy to see why it's a foolish choice for their sole notable launch exclusive.
Star Fox, Metroid and franchises like that are for old people like you and me. We don't matter much anymore because we're old. It's the young ones that matter and they don't care as much about these. They want Mario Kart, Splatoon, Animal Crossing, apparently Tomodachi Life and to play up to three 3rd party games to make them feel like they aren't getting completely shafted by them really being made for PlayStation, Xbox, and PC audiences.
Star Fox maybe, because it's been a while since its last game and even longer since its last relevant game (and even longer yet since its last good one), but not Metroid, it's the granddaddy of a popular genre among all age groups that still makes quality games. Tomodachi Life is fine on Switch 1 and again, those other games aren't even announced.
And I honestly dispute the premise anyway, the average age of gamers is 35 according to AI & Google, so unless you're literally old and not just "30's old" then you're wrong anyway. I'd actually imagine Nintendo's demographic in particular is actually even older, 40+ maybe.
