Only 53% of Bernie Sanders voters will definitely support 2020 democratic nominee if he doesn't win

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Only 53% of Bernie Sanders voters will definitely support 2020 democratic nominee if he doesn't win

NewsWeek Article (Archive)

Only a small majority of Bernie Sanders voters say they will definitely support the eventual Democratic nominee at the 2020 election if the independent Vermont senator does not win the race, according to a poll.

The National Emerson College Poll of 1,128 registered voters between January 21 and January 23 found that 53 percent of Sanders supporters said "yes" when asked if they would support the Democratic nominee even if it is not their candidate.

Another 31 percent of Sanders supporters said it depends on who the nominee is and 16 percent flat-out said no. The poll, conducted via landline calls and an online panel, has a 2.8 percentage point margin of error.

The poll suggests some Sanders supporters are out of step with their own chosen candidate on the question of supporting the Democratic nominee regardless of who it is.

"Let me be clear: If any of the women on this stage or any of the men on this stage win the nomination—I hope that's not the case, I hope it's me—but if they do I will do everything in my power to make sure that they are elected in order to defeat the most dangerous president in the history of our country," Sanders said at the recent Iowa debate.

By comparison to Sanders, 87 percent of former vice president Joe Biden's supporters said yes to voting for whoever wins the nomination, 9 percent it depends on the winning candidate, and 5 percent said no to anyone that is not Biden.

And 90 percent of Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren's supporters said they would vote for whoever is the nominee, while the remaining 10 percent said it depended on who won the nomination.

None of Warren's supporters said they would not vote for the eventual nominee if she loses the Democratic race.

According to the Emerson poll, Biden is the narrow frontrunner in the primary race at 30 percent followed by Sanders in second at 27 percent. Warren polled at 13 percent.

Below the top three was tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang at 8 percent, billionaire Michael Bloomberg at 7 percent, and former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg at 6 percent.

Emerson noted that since its last national poll in December, Biden has lost 2 points, Warren gained 1 point, Buttigieg lost 2 points, Sanders and Yang each gained 2 points, and Bloomberg gained 3 points.

"If Bloomberg continues to gain support it could come at Biden's expense, which could create a pathway for Sanders to the nomination," said Spencer Kimball, director of Emerson College Polling, in a statement.

"On the other hand, Yang is pulling votes away from Sanders with younger voters and this is a very interesting age dynamic."

The Democratic contest's opening Iowa caucus is coming up on February 3 and kicks off the primaries season. The winner will formally receive the Democratic party nomination for the 2020 election at its national convention in mid-July. The next presidential election takes place in November.

A recent poll by SurveyUSA found that, of all the prominent Democratic candidates, Sanders leads Trump in a face-off by 9 points, the widest margin. The poll found that 52 percent of voters would choose Sanders and 43 percent Trump.

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16% saying flat-out no as well. What the fuck Democrats.
 
Bernie Sanders appeals to "the youth" because reee college debt and a generation conditioned to accept socialism as "good".

Clearly there aren't...wait...

Why do all of these polls only collect data from fractions of fractions of the available voterbase of America? It's amazingly easy to skew polls any which way because of this.

Because it takes time and money to do a poll and 1000 people gets you a margin of error of around 3%, while getting 4000 people only cuts it down to 1.5%.

At least those are the accepted value for poll things.
 
So when you do the math, the number of people who responded the way this clickbait title said they did is what, 15-25 people out of 54 out of the 1,100 something? And people wonder why pollsters in the UK and US are always fucking wrong when voting time kicks down the door to shit on our heads.
 
Come on now, uncle boiney has it in the bag, he just needs to unleash his secret weapon: his running mate/VP:

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Hey, he could still surprise you
 
The cynic in me guesses that while they may say that NOW, by the time the election rolls around, they'll feel otherwise. That's usually what happens.
I was one of those Sanders supporters in 2016.

They will write his name in, they will vote third party, they will vote for Trump. Because they know the system is rigged and hate being backstabbed by their own party. 56% might be a low number if Bloomberg wins the nomination.

Conversely - the 2016 Dem Convention was packed with Wall Street types. Anyone believe they are going to vote for Sanders? Someone needs to run the numbers on which Democrats are going to support a socialist, I'm betting a larger percentage would not. The Democrat party is a huge thing, filled with diverse interests, and most of them are not socialists in any sense of the word.

My guess is the only thing that will de-escalate both sides is a contested convention. There needs to be shouting, rioting and catharsis for wounds to heal. The likelihood of that is almost zero, these Democrats are willing to put the fix in because they believe in the right side of history and all that.

As a matter of fact, I believe the only candidate that would satisfy all sides is Klobuchar. Dukakis with mammaries.
 
I only a personal anecdote of mine. Bernie came to UC Davis during the 2016 democratic primary season and managed to get a large crowd with Tulsi also showing up as well. When I went to go vote in the primaries back then for bernie, the voting station was like a ghost town filled with old ladies manning it. That is the power of the youth vote turnout, jackshit. I don't even know if a federal holiday will solve it if people can't do it when they just in school and its not like they need a hall pass to leave the classroom.

I guess the sort of people who'd support a socialist candidate don't leave their basement.
 
Biden is a hair sniffing creep and Warren is a troon ass licker. Yang likes to dump his creme in dudes' mouths. And Buttigieg... well, he's just a softboi.

Bernie is the only chance the Democrats have and you've got to be a robovoter or a moron (not mutually exclusive) not to see that.
 
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