- Joined
- Jun 1, 2020
The arbitrary and sometimes unpredictable temperament of weather.
Despite our advances in forecasting technology, rapid refresh monitoring technology, and meteorologist training, we still miss the occasional destructive tornado (in other words, it goes unwarned by local offices and was completely unexpected in the forecast) and we (quite frequently) overhype a forecast. And the professionals will all tell you the way to fight back against fear of these unknowns is to "be prepared", with much emphasis being placed on "having multiple ways to receive warnings", but when all those warnings are issued by the one office that either regularly doesn't pick up certain threats or false positives other potential risks, then it doesn't matter how many ways you might have to receive warnings.
Some of the worst storms we've ever had where I live have almost always been something that was never adequately warned until well after the threat had sucker punched the local area. Professional meteorologists also chalk up any grey/lacking/poor performance on their parts to "Mother Nature doing what she will," which isn't incorrect, but it's kind of spooky when a phenomenon that could absolutely ruin your day at best and end your life at worst is left up to a completely unpredictable (by our current measures at least) gamble.
Despite our advances in forecasting technology, rapid refresh monitoring technology, and meteorologist training, we still miss the occasional destructive tornado (in other words, it goes unwarned by local offices and was completely unexpected in the forecast) and we (quite frequently) overhype a forecast. And the professionals will all tell you the way to fight back against fear of these unknowns is to "be prepared", with much emphasis being placed on "having multiple ways to receive warnings", but when all those warnings are issued by the one office that either regularly doesn't pick up certain threats or false positives other potential risks, then it doesn't matter how many ways you might have to receive warnings.
Some of the worst storms we've ever had where I live have almost always been something that was never adequately warned until well after the threat had sucker punched the local area. Professional meteorologists also chalk up any grey/lacking/poor performance on their parts to "Mother Nature doing what she will," which isn't incorrect, but it's kind of spooky when a phenomenon that could absolutely ruin your day at best and end your life at worst is left up to a completely unpredictable (by our current measures at least) gamble.