Let me start by asserting again I work in Wisconsin, not nationally. So raw data I have access to is limited to there under most circumstances.
That caveat out of the way:
Pennsylvania has been bringing a lot of pressure to bare on its Democrat governor, enough he's caved on specific legislation
https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2021/07/republican-election-law-overhaul-pennsylvania-voter-id/ The proposed changes are in line with Georgia and Texas, and the legislature has made clear it won't be a passive entity next time, removing the possibility of executive fortification.
As to Michigan. The Republicans there get to bypass the Governor entirely. They use a different process for determining electoral law. Those signatures will be easy to get, and thus Michigan will see a lot less fortification.
For Texas Polling, the Dallas Morning News is absolute shit, and Abbot and his entire cabinet were underwater... when they got elected. Democrats have this weird fascination with the idea of a Purple Texas, and constantly fudge the numbers as to the actual possibility. Put simply, I -professionally- do not trust the polling Texas and generally mentally add three points to any polls I see as a conservative increase. Going off vote percentages versus polling, I could probably double that and not be far off accurate.
Now Wisconsin. Simply put, Afghanistan is going to fuck Biden here. While there is some shenanigans I can't talk about for voting totals, Wisconsin is a purple state. Beyond that, even if we assume the election results as 100% accurate, then Biden only would have won a majority on the premise that the Wisconsin populace thought that Biden would bring more internal stability.
We hosted the Kenosha shooting, Milwaukee was threatened to burn twice, and Biden presented an appealing alternative. Afghanistan shattered the illusion that Biden was competent, and as a result, his polling went through the floor.
The government, constitutionally, can only ban the import of rounds. They cannot simply ban ammunition outright.
In a lucid moment? Yes. They aren't physically stopping him from doing anything, just exploiting his broken mind. He could call a press conference, have it up within the hour,m and simply say "I resign".