Also as invasions by Russians go, they've been acting with a fairly uncharacteristic level of restraint and avoiding excessive civilian casualties, almost as if they're a civilized country. They aren't, but the mask is still on a bit. It becomes a lot more difficult to cut deals where they get access to ports and this NATO shit goes away if the people who have to sign on it haven't had friends, family and loved ones killed by Russians.
Maybe I'm

but imo this shit is not going to Defcon 1 or anything like it.